IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Santa Clara
West Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.3	#106
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#86
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.0	#95

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.3	#125

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.4%	0.7%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.3%	8.8%	3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	2.4%	3.6%	1.0%
Average Seed	10.1	10.0	10.7

.500 or above	60.2%	72.9%	44.0%
.500 or above in Conference	62.2%	70.2%	52.1%
Conference Champion	3.5%	4.7%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	2.6%	1.6%	4.0%

First Four	1.4%	2.0%	0.6%
First Round	5.6%	7.6%	3.0%
Second Round	2.0%	2.8%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	0.8%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 56.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 2	3 - 5	3 - 9
Quad 3	6 - 4	10 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 1	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	93	McNeese St.	W	71-69	56%
Nov 10, 2025	50	@ Xavier	L	71-80	20%
Nov 15, 2025	104	Nevada	W	70-68	59%
Nov 18, 2025	287	Idaho St.	W	78-64	90%
Nov 21, 2025	233	Louisiana	W	77-66	84%
Nov 27, 2025	70	Saint Louis	L	72-76	37%
Dec 03, 2025	269	Utah Tech	W	80-67	87%
Dec 06, 2025	81	@ New Mexico	L	76-81	32%
Dec 13, 2025	69	Arizona St.	L	73-77	37%
Dec 17, 2025	88	North Texas	L	63-64	45%
Dec 20, 2025	94	Loyola Chicago	L	72-73	45%
Dec 28, 2025	117	@ Oregon St.	L	70-72	44%
Dec 30, 2025	265	@ Portland	W	80-73	72%
Jan 02, 2026	244	Pepperdine	W	81-69	84%
Jan 04, 2026	180	San Diego	W	83-74	76%
Jan 08, 2026	18	@ Gonzaga	L	71-86	10%
Jan 10, 2026	135	Loyola Marymount	W	76-70	69%
Jan 14, 2026	219	Pacific	W	79-68	81%
Jan 17, 2026	49	St. Mary's	L	63-67	38%
Jan 24, 2026	180	@ San Diego	W	80-77	58%
Jan 28, 2026	77	San Francisco	W	74-73	49%
Jan 31, 2026	135	@ Loyola Marymount	L	72-73	49%
Feb 04, 2026	219	@ Pacific	W	76-71	65%
Feb 07, 2026	128	@ Washington St.	L	77-78	48%
Feb 11, 2026	121	Seattle	W	72-67	65%
Feb 14, 2026	18	Gonzaga	L	74-83	22%
Feb 21, 2026	77	@ San Francisco	L	71-77	31%
Feb 25, 2026	49	@ St. Mary's	L	60-70	21%
Feb 28, 2026	117	Oregon St.	W	73-69	64%
Projected Record						15 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.0	0.4	0.1		3.5	1st
2nd												0.3	1.1	2.8	3.1	1.4	0.3				9.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	2.5	4.8	3.6	1.0	0.1					12.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	3.7	5.5	3.2	0.5	0.0						13.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.8	3.9	5.8	3.0	0.4	0.0							13.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.7	3.6	5.4	2.4	0.3									12.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	3.0	4.8	2.0	0.2										10.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.3	4.2	1.8	0.2											8.9	8th
9th					0.3	1.8	3.1	1.6	0.2	0.0											6.9	9th
10th				0.3	1.4	2.1	1.1	0.2													5.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0													2.8	11th
12th	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0															1.2	12th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.4	3.0	4.8	7.0	9.5	11.1	12.1	12.8	11.5	9.6	7.1	4.7	2.7	1.2	0.4	0.1			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.3	0.0
16-2	79.2%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
15-3	44.2%	1.2		0.5	0.6	0.1
14-4	13.4%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	3.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.8	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	4.9			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
17-1	0.4%		82.5%	29.5%	52.9%	7.5					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		75.1%
16-2	1.2%		67.5%	33.2%	34.3%	8.5				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.1						0.4		51.3%
15-3	2.7%		46.1%	25.0%	21.1%	9.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.0					1.4		28.1%
14-4	4.7%		27.1%	14.1%	13.0%	10.4								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.1					3.5		15.2%
13-5	7.1%		15.2%	10.5%	4.7%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	0.1	0.0				6.1		5.3%
12-6	9.6%		7.4%	6.1%	1.3%	11.2											0.1	0.4	0.1	0.0				8.9		1.4%
11-7	11.5%		3.5%	3.2%	0.3%	11.5											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			11.1		0.3%
10-8	12.8%		1.8%	1.6%	0.2%	11.8											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0		12.5		0.2%
9-9	12.1%		0.8%	0.8%		12.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		12.0
8-10	11.1%		0.3%	0.3%		12.2													0.0	0.0				11.1
7-11	9.5%		0.1%	0.1%		13.0														0.0				9.5
6-12	7.0%		0.2%	0.2%		15.0																0.0		7.0
5-13	4.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
4-14	3.0%																							3.0
3-15	1.4%																							1.4
2-16	0.7%																							0.7
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.3%	4.0%	2.4%	10.1			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.5	1.4	2.5	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	93.7		2.4%