IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina
Southeastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.1	#71
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.3	#287
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.5	#83

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.6	#57

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.4%	1.4%	0.5%
Top 6 Seed	3.9%	4.0%	0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.8%	18.0%	3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	17.4%	17.6%	3.5%
Average Seed	8.1	8.1	7.7

.500 or above	52.5%	53.1%	14.8%
.500 or above in Conference	16.1%	16.3%	4.6%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.4%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	29.1%	28.8%	51.6%

First Four	3.3%	3.4%	0.5%
First Round	16.2%	16.3%	3.5%
Second Round	8.8%	8.9%	1.5%
Sweet Sixteen	2.4%	2.5%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.8%	0.8%	0.0%
Final Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 98.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 11
Quad 2	3 - 3	6 - 15
Quad 3	2 - 1	8 - 15
Quad 4	8 - 0	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	349	N.C. A&T	W	81-58	99%
Nov 09, 2025	276	Southern Miss	W	79-62	94%
Nov 12, 2025	263	Presbyterian	W	74-57	93%
Nov 18, 2025	148	Radford	W	70-60	82%
Nov 21, 2025	66	Butler	L	69-70	46%
Nov 23, 2025	72	Northwestern	W	66-65	50%
Nov 28, 2025	313	Charleston Southern	W	78-58	96%
Dec 02, 2025	76	Virginia Tech	W	69-65	63%
Dec 06, 2025	348	Stetson	W	81-58	98%
Dec 13, 2025	342	The Citadel	W	77-54	97%
Dec 16, 2025	42	@ Clemson	L	61-68	26%
Dec 22, 2025	312	South Carolina St.	W	79-59	95%
Dec 30, 2025	296	Albany	W	78-59	94%
Jan 03, 2026	41	Vanderbilt	L	71-72	44%
Jan 06, 2026	53	@ LSU	L	67-72	33%
Jan 10, 2026	52	Georgia	W	68-67	52%
Jan 14, 2026	17	@ Arkansas	L	64-76	15%
Jan 17, 2026	22	@ Auburn	L	64-75	19%
Jan 20, 2026	47	Oklahoma	L	70-71	50%
Jan 24, 2026	36	@ Texas A&M	L	63-71	24%
Jan 28, 2026	5	Florida	L	67-77	19%
Jan 31, 2026	53	LSU	W	70-69	52%
Feb 03, 2026	38	@ Texas	L	65-73	25%
Feb 07, 2026	37	Missouri	L	71-73	43%
Feb 14, 2026	19	@ Alabama	L	73-84	17%
Feb 17, 2026	5	@ Florida	L	64-80	9%
Feb 21, 2026	32	Mississippi St.	L	68-71	41%
Feb 24, 2026	7	Kentucky	L	69-77	25%
Feb 28, 2026	52	@ Georgia	L	65-70	33%
Mar 03, 2026	16	Tennessee	L	60-66	31%
Mar 07, 2026	30	@ Mississippi	L	64-73	23%
Projected Record						16 - 15	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1				0.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0					0.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1						1.2	3rd
4th											0.2	0.8	0.7	0.1							1.7	4th
5th										0.1	0.9	0.9	0.2								2.2	5th
6th									0.0	0.6	1.7	0.6	0.0								3.0	6th
7th								0.0	0.3	1.5	1.1	0.1									3.1	7th
8th								0.1	1.4	2.2	0.4	0.0									4.1	8th
9th							0.0	1.0	2.9	1.1	0.1	0.0									5.2	9th
10th						0.0	0.5	2.7	2.6	0.2											6.1	10th
11th						0.2	2.3	3.7	1.0												7.2	11th
12th					0.1	1.6	4.5	2.2	0.2												8.6	12th
13th				0.1	1.4	4.5	3.5	0.6	0.0												10.1	13th
14th			0.1	1.5	4.5	4.6	1.3	0.0													12.0	14th
15th		0.3	2.2	5.2	5.2	1.7	0.1														14.7	15th
16th	1.7	4.4	6.5	4.9	1.6	0.2															19.5	16th

Total	1.7	4.7	8.9	11.7	12.9	12.7	12.3	10.5	8.5	5.7	4.4	2.7	1.6	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.1					Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	70.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	25.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	8.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0				0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	16.6%	83.4%	2.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
15-3	0.1%		100.0%	9.9%	90.1%	3.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
14-4	0.4%		100.0%	14.2%	85.8%	3.5		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
13-5	1.0%		100.0%	7.1%	92.9%	5.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0											100.0%
12-6	1.6%		98.2%	4.4%	93.9%	5.9			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0							0.0		98.2%
11-7	2.7%		93.8%	4.1%	89.7%	7.2			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.0						0.2		93.5%
10-8	4.4%		82.9%	2.1%	80.8%	8.1				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.6	0.1						0.8		82.5%
9-9	5.7%		67.2%	0.5%	66.7%	8.9					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.0					1.9		67.0%
8-10	8.5%		35.8%	0.2%	35.6%	9.7						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.3	0.8	0.0					5.5		35.7%
7-11	10.5%		11.2%	0.3%	10.9%	10.3								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0					9.3		10.9%
6-12	12.3%		2.3%	0.1%	2.3%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					12.0		2.3%
5-13	12.7%		0.1%		0.1%	11.0												0.0						12.7		0.1%
4-14	12.9%																							12.9
3-15	11.7%																							11.7
2-16	8.9%																							8.9
1-17	4.7%																							4.7
0-18	1.7%																							1.7

Total	100%		17.8%	0.5%	17.3%	8.1		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.5	2.4	2.8	3.0	3.6	1.9	0.1					82.2		17.4%