Oregon
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1  Edward Cheserek SR 30:26
48  Matthew Maton SO 31:34
84  Tanner Anderson SO 31:46
110  Sam Prakel JR 31:52
140  Levi Thomet FR 32:00
143  Travis Neuman JR 32:00
242  Tim Gorman SR 32:20
294  Jake Leingang SR 32:29
335  Austin Tamagno FR 32:36
491  Bryan Fernandez JR 32:54
National Rank #7 of 312
West Region Rank #2 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 97.7%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Nationals


National Champion 1.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 23.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 71.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 96.9%


Regional Champion 13.9%
Top 5 in Regional 96.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Edward Cheserek Matthew Maton Tanner Anderson Sam Prakel Levi Thomet Travis Neuman Tim Gorman Jake Leingang Austin Tamagno Bryan Fernandez
UW Invitational 10/01 469 31:20 31:50 31:54 31:49 33:47 32:34 33:03 32:17
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Open) 10/15 32:10 32:15
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 270 30:29 31:11 31:31 31:52 31:40 33:09
Pac-12 Conference 10/28 352 30:30 31:53 31:57 32:00 31:48 31:28 32:24 33:05 32:38 34:01
West Region Championships 11/11 442 30:58 31:20 31:54 33:03 32:19 32:11 32:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 97.7% 8.5 280 1.1 3.0 4.1 6.0 8.8 10.1 11.3 10.7 8.3 8.1 5.4 5.6 3.6 3.2 2.6 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.9 90 13.9 30.9 26.7 16.5 8.6 3.0 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Edward Cheserek 100% 1.0 62.3 15.4 6.0 3.1 2.8 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Matthew Maton 98.2% 54.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.7 1.2
Tanner Anderson 97.8% 79.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4
Sam Prakel 97.8% 94.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1
Levi Thomet 97.7% 117.4 0.1
Travis Neuman 97.7% 117.2 0.1 0.1
Tim Gorman 97.7% 168.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Edward Cheserek 1.0 82.8 8.0 4.3 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Matthew Maton 13.7 0.1 0.9 1.5 2.6 3.6 4.6 5.3 5.4 5.5 4.9 5.1 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.3 4.1 3.4 2.5 2.4 1.9 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.9
Tanner Anderson 19.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.4 2.1 2.5 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.4 4.5 5.0 3.8 4.2 3.8 3.0 2.9 2.5 2.6 2.0 2.6
Sam Prakel 25.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.9 1.4 2.2 1.8 2.8 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.2 3.7 2.9 3.5 2.8 2.2 3.6 2.9
Levi Thomet 30.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.9 2.1 3.1 2.8 2.9 2.8 3.5 2.8 3.8
Travis Neuman 30.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.8 2.3 2.2 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.8 2.8
Tim Gorman 46.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 13.9% 100.0% 13.9 13.9 1
2 30.9% 100.0% 30.9 30.9 2
3 26.7% 99.3% 5.4 4.0 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.5 1.7 2.8 2.7 2.2 0.1 0.2 26.5 3
4 16.5% 97.9% 2.0 2.4 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.6 0.2 0.3 16.2 4
5 8.6% 89.0% 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.4 1.0 7.7 5
6 3.0% 75.0% 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 2.3 6
7 0.4% 87.5% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 97.7% 13.9 30.9 5.4 6.0 5.4 4.1 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.2 4.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 2.4 44.8 52.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Colorado St. 85.2% 1.0 0.9
Colorado 84.0% 1.0 0.8
UTEP 82.2% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 2.0 1.6
Michigan 66.4% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 23.1% 1.0 0.2
Washington 16.7% 2.0 0.3
Bradley 9.8% 1.0 0.1
Furman 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
California 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Missouri 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.5
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 11.0