Oregon
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1  Edward Cheserek JR 29:53
47  Travis Neuman SO 31:30
70  Matthew Maton FR 31:40
77  Jake Leingang JR 31:43
103  Tanner Anderson FR 31:51
117  Matthew Melancon SR 31:56
152  Sam Prakel SO 32:04
169  Ryan Gil SR 32:09
265  Blake Haney SO 32:27
340  Bryan Fernandez SO 32:38
National Rank #4 of 308
West Region Rank #2 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Nationals


National Champion 4.4%
Top 5 at Nationals 69.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 95.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.8%


Regional Champion 22.8%
Top 5 in Regional 99.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Edward Cheserek Travis Neuman Matthew Maton Jake Leingang Tanner Anderson Matthew Melancon Sam Prakel Ryan Gil Blake Haney Bryan Fernandez
Washington Invitational 10/02 418 31:26 31:54 31:42 31:48 31:56 31:52 32:19 32:39
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 384 31:10 31:39 31:35 31:48 32:03 32:17 32:27
Pac 12 Championships 10/30 340 30:50 31:23 31:38 31:51 32:37 32:00 32:01 32:06 33:03
West Region Championships 11/13 414 30:55 31:20 32:09 32:04 31:54 32:10 32:15
NCAA Championship 11/21 228 29:34 31:22 31:43 31:24 31:31 31:48 32:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 4.8 218 4.4 11.0 16.9 21.5 16.2 10.5 6.6 4.3 2.9 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 2.0 64 22.8 61.2 12.5 2.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Edward Cheserek 100% 1.0 83.1 12.9 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Travis Neuman 99.9% 48.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.3
Matthew Maton 99.9% 68.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7
Jake Leingang 99.9% 73.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5
Tanner Anderson 99.9% 91.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Matthew Melancon 99.9% 103.3 0.0 0.1 0.0
Sam Prakel 99.9% 122.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Edward Cheserek 1.0 98.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Travis Neuman 9.8 1.5 3.5 5.8 7.0 7.1 7.4 6.9 6.7 5.5 4.8 4.1 4.0 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.3 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.0
Matthew Maton 14.5 0.1 0.4 1.8 2.3 3.6 4.1 4.8 5.2 5.6 5.1 5.4 5.3 3.9 4.6 3.8 3.3 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.5 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.6
Jake Leingang 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.7 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.5 5.5 5.1 4.9 5.0 4.1 4.2 3.6 3.9 2.8 3.0 2.3 2.7 2.1 2.4 1.7
Tanner Anderson 20.5 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.8 3.7 4.0 4.7 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.3 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.7
Matthew Melancon 23.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.9 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.1
Sam Prakel 29.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.5 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.2 3.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 22.8% 100.0% 22.8 22.8 1
2 61.2% 100.0% 61.2 61.2 2
3 12.5% 100.0% 6.0 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.5 3
4 2.6% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.6 4
5 0.6% 96.7% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 5
6 0.2% 55.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6
7 0.1% 75.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 99.9% 22.8 61.2 6.0 3.9 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 84.0 15.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Stanford 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Georgetown 98.1% 1.0 1.0
BYU 97.8% 1.0 1.0
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
UTEP 80.8% 1.0 0.8
Washington 77.6% 2.0 1.6
UCLA 64.4% 2.0 1.3
Virginia Tech 61.7% 1.0 0.6
Colorado St. 53.4% 1.0 0.5
Air Force 40.3% 2.0 0.8
Texas 38.3% 1.0 0.4
Southern Utah 36.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
California 23.4% 2.0 0.5
Eastern Michigan 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 3.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 12.4
Minimum 5.0
Maximum 23.0