UTEP
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
19  Jonah Koech SO 31:18
43  Antony Kosgei SO 31:33
53  Cosmas Boit SR 31:35
100  Michael Saruni FR 31:50
247  Daniel Cheruiyot SR 32:22
759  Evans Kiprono SR 33:24
975  Emmanuel Korir FR 33:41
National Rank #10 of 312
Mountain Region Rank #4 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 94.9%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 5.7%
Top 10 at Nationals 38.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 87.9%


Regional Champion 0.9%
Top 5 in Regional 88.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jonah Koech Antony Kosgei Cosmas Boit Michael Saruni Daniel Cheruiyot Evans Kiprono Emmanuel Korir
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 402 31:25 31:28 31:44 31:52 32:06 33:48 33:52
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 540 31:18 31:17 31:47 32:25 33:02 33:22
Conference USA Championship 10/29 367 31:28 31:41 31:29 31:42 31:56 33:22 33:39
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 458 31:17 31:31 31:37 31:58 32:43 32:58 33:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 94.9% 12.4 357 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 4.3 5.9 8.3 6.4 7.6 7.1 6.5 7.0 6.3 5.6 4.3 3.4 3.8 2.8 3.2 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 4.2 113 0.9 4.1 14.8 44.2 24.5 9.1 2.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonah Koech 99.4% 25.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.0 2.0 2.3 2.8 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.1 2.4 1.7 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.5 2.1 1.9 1.2
Antony Kosgei 97.9% 47.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.4 0.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.8
Cosmas Boit 96.8% 54.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.3 0.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1
Michael Saruni 95.7% 89.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3
Daniel Cheruiyot 94.9% 171.7
Evans Kiprono 95.1% 244.0
Emmanuel Korir 95.3% 248.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonah Koech 6.3 5.7 12.4 9.7 8.6 7.5 4.9 4.6 4.4 3.9 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.3 2.4 2.6 2.1 2.0 1.1 1.7 1.1 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.9 1.2
Antony Kosgei 13.1 0.5 1.6 2.4 3.5 3.6 5.2 4.7 5.1 5.5 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.6 3.9 3.3 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.3 1.8 2.0
Cosmas Boit 15.0 0.4 0.8 1.9 2.6 4.3 3.7 4.4 4.7 4.1 4.8 3.9 3.0 3.8 4.3 3.8 4.0 3.8 3.9 3.4 2.9 3.2 1.9 2.1 2.2 1.8
Michael Saruni 23.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.7 1.4 1.3 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.3 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.5
Daniel Cheruiyot 42.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6
Evans Kiprono 73.9
Emmanuel Korir 82.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.9% 100.0% 0.9 0.9 1
2 4.1% 100.0% 4.1 4.1 2
3 14.8% 99.7% 0.7 0.5 1.2 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 14.8 3
4 44.2% 98.0% 0.7 2.2 3.4 2.8 5.0 4.3 5.3 5.6 3.8 3.5 4.0 3.0 0.9 43.3 4
5 24.5% 92.0% 0.2 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.7 3.7 4.2 2.8 2.6 2.2 1.9 2.0 22.6 5
6 9.1% 82.9% 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.6 7.5 6
7 2.5% 74.0% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.9 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 94.9% 0.9 4.1 0.7 1.2 3.6 6.2 5.9 8.3 8.3 11.4 12.4 9.4 8.7 8.0 6.3 5.1 5.0 90.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Mid. Tenn. State 81.0% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 71.5% 1.0 0.7
Texas 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 9.8% 2.0 0.2
Furman 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.6% 2.0 0.0
Alabama 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
California 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Missouri 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.9
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 11.0