UTEP
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
18  Jonah Koech FR 31:15
19  Anthony Rotich SR 31:15
100  Cosmas Boit JR 31:51
181  Antony Kosgei FR 32:12
271  Daniel Cheruiyot JR 32:28
894  Evans Kiprono JR 33:38
National Rank #12 of 308
Mountain Region Rank #3 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 86.8%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 29.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 75.8%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 94.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jonah Koech Anthony Rotich Cosmas Boit Antony Kosgei Daniel Cheruiyot Evans Kiprono
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 494 31:28 31:28 31:52 32:09 32:26 33:10
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 437 31:12 31:11 31:46 32:24 32:03 33:53
Conference USA Championships 10/31 846 32:26 32:25 32:26 32:37 32:38 34:07
Mountain Region Championships 11/13 417 31:10 31:10 31:30 32:04 32:32 32:58
NCAA Championship 11/21 434 30:55 30:57 31:55 31:53 32:48 34:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 86.8% 13.4 390 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.2 3.9 4.9 5.1 5.8 6.2 6.9 6.1 5.7 5.4 5.2 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.4 2.5 2.6 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0
Region Championship 100% 3.4 103 0.2 23.2 39.5 19.3 12.0 5.1 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonah Koech 99.4% 25.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.2 2.3 2.2 1.8 2.1 1.6 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.2 1.4
Anthony Rotich 99.2% 28.2 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.4 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.7 2.6 2.6 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.5
Cosmas Boit 87.2% 90.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Antony Kosgei 86.8% 140.7
Daniel Cheruiyot 86.8% 175.4
Evans Kiprono 86.8% 245.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonah Koech 5.2 6.4 13.7 11.1 9.4 8.0 6.4 5.7 4.6 4.8 3.9 4.1 3.2 2.9 2.9 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5
Anthony Rotich 5.6 6.1 12.2 10.5 9.0 7.8 7.7 6.4 5.3 5.1 4.4 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.3 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3
Cosmas Boit 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.9 3.5 4.3 4.7 5.0 6.0 5.5 4.8 5.3 5.5 4.5 4.7 4.5 3.5 3.6 3.3
Antony Kosgei 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 1.6 2.1 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.5 4.6 4.9
Daniel Cheruiyot 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.1
Evans Kiprono 69.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 23.2% 100.0% 23.2 23.2 2
3 39.5% 91.5% 8.1 4.8 4.3 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.1 1.6 1.9 2.3 3.3 36.2 3
4 19.3% 87.2% 2.5 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.9 2.5 16.8 4
5 12.0% 67.0% 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.1 4.0 8.0 5
6 5.1% 42.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 2.9 2.2 6
7 0.5% 29.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 86.8% 0.2 23.2 8.1 7.3 7.2 5.1 3.5 3.0 3.1 3.8 3.8 4.7 4.0 4.4 5.6 13.2 23.4 63.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 98.1% 1.0 1.0
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina St. 87.9% 1.0 0.9
Virginia Tech 61.7% 1.0 0.6
Colorado St. 53.4% 2.0 1.1
Texas A&M 50.0% 1.0 0.5
Air Force 40.3% 1.0 0.4
Texas 38.3% 1.0 0.4
Southern Utah 36.0% 2.0 0.7
Penn 30.0% 1.0 0.3
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
California 23.4% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Michigan 22.0% 2.0 0.4
Florida 8.5% 2.0 0.2
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 2.0 0.0
Navy 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 2.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Mid. Tenn. State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.1
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 19.0