Mississippi
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
33  Sean Tobin SR 31:25
128  Derek Gutierrez SR 31:54
145  Parker Scott FR 31:58
193  Waleed Suliman FR 32:08
264  Ryan Manahan SR 32:21
383  Brandon Harvey JR 32:36
448  Taylor Caldwell JR 32:43
680  Trevor Gilley SR 33:10
733  Ben Savino FR 33:16
817  Nolan Hesse SR 33:24
935  Tyler Moore FR 33:33
1,181  Dylan Day JR 33:54
National Rank #21 of 315
South Region Rank #2 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.2%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 5.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 57.7%


Regional Champion 89.7%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sean Tobin Derek Gutierrez Parker Scott Waleed Suliman Ryan Manahan Brandon Harvey Taylor Caldwell Trevor Gilley Ben Savino Nolan Hesse Tyler Moore
OSU Cowboy Jamboree (Orange) 09/30 586 31:33 31:55 32:01 32:41 32:20 32:31 32:22 32:48 33:05 32:59 33:55
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 33:09 33:58 33:10
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 475 31:23 31:46 31:44 32:02 32:16 33:01 32:51
SEC Championship 10/27 636 31:40 32:04 32:07 32:13 32:33 32:42 33:12 33:24 33:46 33:14
South Region Championships 11/10 471 30:52 31:38 32:06 31:46 32:35 34:15 33:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.2% 19.1 496 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.6 1.7 2.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 4.4 6.2 6.1 6.5 7.3 7.0 6.6 6.9 5.4 5.2 4.1 4.0 3.0 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.6
Region Championship 100% 1.1 79 89.7 8.0 2.0 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sean Tobin 99.5% 43.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.3 2.1 1.5 1.4 2.2 1.7 2.0 1.4 1.4
Derek Gutierrez 98.2% 108.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Parker Scott 98.2% 117.0 0.1 0.1
Waleed Suliman 98.2% 143.6 0.1
Ryan Manahan 98.2% 173.7
Brandon Harvey 98.2% 206.9
Taylor Caldwell 98.2% 216.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sean Tobin 6.0 0.1 0.6 2.8 12.6 17.8 16.1 13.0 11.6 7.3 4.0 3.5 2.2 1.9 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3
Derek Gutierrez 11.9 0.1 0.5 2.2 5.7 7.5 8.7 10.5 8.8 6.7 5.4 4.5 4.3 4.5 4.0 3.7 3.8 2.4 2.4 2.0 1.4 1.8 1.4
Parker Scott 13.3 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.7 4.8 8.1 8.3 8.7 7.7 6.5 6.6 5.5 4.8 4.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.0
Waleed Suliman 17.3 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.3 3.6 5.7 6.0 5.5 6.0 7.4 5.5 4.8 5.1 4.7 3.9 4.0 3.3 2.8 3.1 2.6
Ryan Manahan 22.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.7 2.3 2.4 4.3 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.8 4.7 5.1 5.5 5.3 4.2 3.0
Brandon Harvey 30.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.6 4.0 3.9 4.4 4.5
Taylor Caldwell 35.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.2 3.0 3.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 89.7% 100.0% 89.7 89.7 1
2 8.0% 100.0% 8.0 8.0 2
3 2.0% 20.5% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.6 0.4 3
4 0.4% 28.6% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 98.2% 89.7 8.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.9 97.7 0.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Utah State 39.2% 1.0 0.4
Georgetown 31.5% 1.0 0.3
Penn State 26.3% 1.0 0.3
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 1.2% 2.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Campbell 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.1
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 8.0