California
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
84  Marissa Williams FR 19:59
330  Megan Bordes JR 20:39
373  Mariel Mendoza SR 20:43
442  Kelsey Santisteban SR 20:50
460  Georgia Bell JR 20:51
500  Nuria Tio Peig SO 20:55
583  Jordyn Colter FR 21:02
1,020  Natalie Herberg FR 21:36
2,103  Katherine Haysbert SO 22:51
National Rank #49 of 339
West Region Rank #8 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 10.2%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.9%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 17.8%
Top 10 in Regional 87.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Marissa Williams Megan Bordes Mariel Mendoza Kelsey Santisteban Georgia Bell Nuria Tio Peig Jordyn Colter Natalie Herberg Katherine Haysbert
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 603 19:52 20:23 21:15 20:46 21:00 21:34
Stanford Invitational 09/26 22:56
Capital Cross Challenge 10/03 1051 21:01 20:57 20:55 20:45 21:18 22:17
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 753 19:55 20:59 20:41 21:07 20:19 21:05 20:41
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/17 21:29 23:12
Pac 12 Championships 10/30 845 19:59 20:35 20:49 20:48 21:04 23:43 21:41
West Region Championships 11/13 790 20:21 20:29 20:17 20:38 21:03 22:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 10.2% 26.5 637 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.7 0.4
Region Championship 100% 7.7 263 0.2 1.4 16.3 17.4 15.4 15.8 12.6 8.8 5.4 3.6 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Williams 50.0% 71.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3
Megan Bordes 10.2% 174.7
Mariel Mendoza 10.2% 182.9
Kelsey Santisteban 10.2% 201.0
Georgia Bell 10.2% 203.0
Nuria Tio Peig 10.2% 208.8
Jordyn Colter 10.2% 223.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Williams 15.1 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.4 4.7 4.4 4.1 4.7 4.0 3.8 3.4 3.0 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.3 2.5 2.4
Megan Bordes 55.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5
Mariel Mendoza 59.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3
Kelsey Santisteban 68.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Georgia Bell 70.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Nuria Tio Peig 74.8 0.0 0.0
Jordyn Colter 83.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3
4 1.4% 86.8% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 4
5 16.3% 34.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 2.0 10.7 5.7 5
6 17.4% 17.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 14.4 3.0 6
7 15.4% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.2 0.1 7
8 15.8% 0.1% 0.0 15.8 0.0 8
9 12.6% 12.6 9
10 8.8% 8.8 10
11 5.4% 5.4 11
12 3.6% 3.6 12
13 1.7% 1.7 13
14 0.7% 0.7 14
15 0.5% 0.5 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 10.2% 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.0 3.3 89.8 0.0 10.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Kansas 26.0% 1.0 0.3
Yale 19.5% 1.0 0.2
Air Force 10.1% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 2.0 0.2
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 2.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0