Mississippi
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
111  Mary Alex England SR 20:04
148  Bo Ummels SR 20:10
197  Emily Bean JR 20:18
236  Shelby Brown JR 20:24
258  Britt Ummels SR 20:27
299  Hannah Christen JR 20:33
421  Anna Braswell SO 20:47
555  Nikki Park SO 21:01
588  Anna Elkin FR 21:04
606  Elisabeth Gaillet SR 21:06
640  Tavyn Lovitt SR 21:08
651  Julia England SO 21:09
730  Kat MacNeal JR 21:14
789  Maddy Nikkel JR 21:18
1,142  Scarlett Fox SR 21:41
1,147  Maddie McHugh SO 21:41
1,157  Madison Rawson JR 21:42
1,729  Saga Barzowski SR 22:16
1,946  Jessica Thurman FR 22:30
National Rank #26 of 344
South Region Rank #1 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 96.2%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 7.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 36.0%


Regional Champion 60.1%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Mary Alex England Bo Ummels Emily Bean Shelby Brown Britt Ummels Hannah Christen Anna Braswell Nikki Park Anna Elkin Elisabeth Gaillet Tavyn Lovitt
Rebel Invitational 09/09 879 20:45 20:38 20:38 20:44 20:44 20:37 20:58 21:17 21:02
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 501 20:04 20:09 20:09 20:07 20:22 20:33 20:46 21:06
Penn State National Open 10/14 639 20:01 20:16 20:18 20:43 20:32 20:33 20:54 21:20 21:16 21:08
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/14 1233 21:05
SEC Championship 10/28 452 19:53 19:54 20:11 20:11 20:25 20:17 20:26 20:56 20:54 20:55
South Region Championships 11/11 516 20:08 20:04 20:02 20:22 20:20 21:08 20:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 96.2% 22.0 533 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.6 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.5 4.4 4.1 4.3 4.3 5.4 5.5 6.1 6.5 5.9 6.4 5.9 6.1
Region Championship 100% 1.6 82 60.1 26.7 10.2 2.4 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Alex England 96.5% 103.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Bo Ummels 96.3% 119.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Emily Bean 96.2% 145.7 0.1
Shelby Brown 96.2% 165.5
Britt Ummels 96.2% 172.1
Hannah Christen 96.2% 186.9
Anna Braswell 96.2% 214.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Alex England 8.6 2.3 3.8 5.6 6.4 6.7 7.8 6.6 7.6 6.1 6.7 5.7 5.4 4.6 4.1 3.2 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.9 2.1 1.3 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.8
Bo Ummels 11.2 0.6 2.4 2.5 3.9 4.2 5.5 6.0 6.3 6.3 6.1 5.8 5.0 6.1 4.8 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.9 3.5 2.8 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.2
Emily Bean 16.3 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 2.8 2.9 3.6 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.7 5.2 5.3 4.6 4.2 5.4 5.1 3.8 4.3 4.1 3.6 3.8 3.0 2.6
Shelby Brown 20.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.8 2.1 3.3 3.2 3.9 3.8 4.1 5.4 4.6 4.3 3.9 4.2 4.5 3.3 3.8 3.3
Britt Ummels 22.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.4 3.3 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.5 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.9 4.4 4.2
Hannah Christen 26.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.4 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.7 3.3 3.0 4.3 4.0 2.8 4.2
Anna Braswell 39.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.5 2.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 60.1% 100.0% 60.1 60.1 1
2 26.7% 100.0% 26.7 26.7 2
3 10.2% 76.0% 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.7 2.5 7.8 3
4 2.4% 68.8% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.7 4
5 0.6% 9.1% 0.1 0.5 0.1 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 96.2% 60.1 26.7 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.9 1.0 3.8 86.8 9.5




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 92.0% 1.0 0.9
Miss State 82.8% 1.0 0.8
Oklahoma State 65.3% 1.0 0.7
Minnesota 31.9% 1.0 0.3
California 28.9% 1.0 0.3
Florida 27.8% 1.0 0.3
West Virginia 27.1% 1.0 0.3
Missouri 24.4% 1.0 0.2
Kentucky 11.3% 1.0 0.1
Air Force 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 7.3% 2.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 2.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 2.7% 1.0 0.0
Texas 2.2% 2.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.5
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 12.0