Preseason Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#184
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.2#200
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#177
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#191
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 4.9% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.7
.500 or above 45.2% 49.6% 24.2%
.500 or above in Conference 45.6% 48.5% 31.9%
Conference Champion 4.3% 4.8% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 9.8% 19.3%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round4.1% 4.6% 1.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Neutral) - 82.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 2.00.1 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.3 - 1.70.4 - 3.6
Quad 21.1 - 3.51.5 - 7.1
Quad 34.1 - 5.45.6 - 12.5
Quad 48.4 - 2.514.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 329   Youngstown St. W 80-70 83%    
  Nov 16, 2018 350   Chicago St. W 82-67 95%    
  Nov 19, 2018 18   Clemson L 62-76 10%    
  Nov 20, 2018 75   Illinois St. L 69-77 24%    
  Nov 21, 2018 119   St. Bonaventure L 70-74 35%    
  Nov 28, 2018 325   Alabama St. W 77-68 86%    
  Dec 01, 2018 336   Detroit Mercy W 83-72 89%    
  Dec 05, 2018 169   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-78 37%    
  Dec 15, 2018 99   Marshall L 77-83 42%    
  Dec 18, 2018 259   Tennessee St. W 68-63 75%    
  Dec 22, 2018 7   @ Nevada L 68-86 4%    
  Jan 05, 2019 211   Western Michigan W 73-71 67%    
  Jan 08, 2019 219   @ Central Michigan W 74-72 48%    
  Jan 12, 2019 186   @ Northern Illinois W 72-71 41%    
  Jan 15, 2019 135   Eastern Michigan L 65-68 49%    
  Jan 19, 2019 170   @ Miami (OH) L 69-70 38%    
  Jan 22, 2019 219   Central Michigan W 74-72 68%    
  Jan 26, 2019 186   Northern Illinois W 72-71 60%    
  Feb 02, 2019 142   @ Ohio L 73-76 33%    
  Feb 05, 2019 126   @ Toledo L 73-77 30%    
  Feb 08, 2019 159   Kent St. L 72-73 55%    
  Feb 12, 2019 65   Buffalo L 74-83 31%    
  Feb 16, 2019 111   @ Ball St. L 71-76 28%    
  Feb 19, 2019 205   @ Bowling Green W 75-73 46%    
  Feb 23, 2019 170   Miami (OH) L 69-70 57%    
  Feb 26, 2019 65   @ Buffalo L 74-83 16%    
  Mar 02, 2019 142   Ohio L 73-76 53%    
  Mar 05, 2019 205   Bowling Green W 75-73 64%    
  Mar 08, 2019 159   @ Kent St. L 72-73 36%    
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 8.2 - 9.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 2.9 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 4.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 4.5 3.1 0.4 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 3.9 3.3 1.0 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.1 2.7 0.7 0.1 8.4 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 7.3 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 2.2 3.8 6.1 8.5 10.0 10.9 11.5 10.6 10.2 8.3 6.8 4.4 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.4% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 77.9% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
14-4 43.1% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
12-6 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 99.5% 70.5% 28.9% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.2%
17-1 0.2% 90.4% 49.1% 41.3% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.1%
16-2 0.6% 56.3% 27.3% 29.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 39.9%
15-3 1.4% 38.9% 26.7% 12.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 16.6%
14-4 3.1% 18.2% 16.3% 2.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5 2.3%
13-5 4.4% 13.7% 13.0% 0.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.8 0.8%
12-6 6.8% 9.3% 9.1% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.2 0.2%
11-7 8.3% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.9 0.0%
10-8 10.2% 3.7% 3.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 9.8
9-9 10.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.4
8-10 11.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.3
7-11 10.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 10.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
5-13 8.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.5
4-14 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.4% 3.9% 0.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.5 95.6 0.6%