Preseason Rankings
Rutgers
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#140
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.9#281
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#228
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#56
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.2% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.4% 5.1% 0.9%
Average Seed 9.1 9.0 10.4
.500 or above 18.7% 21.3% 5.7%
.500 or above in Conference 6.6% 7.5% 2.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 48.8% 45.7% 64.1%
First Four0.9% 1.1% 0.3%
First Round4.8% 5.6% 1.1%
Second Round2.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 83.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.5 - 6.20.5 - 6.2
Quad 1b0.9 - 4.61.5 - 10.8
Quad 22.2 - 5.23.7 - 16.0
Quad 32.5 - 2.26.2 - 18.2
Quad 44.7 - 0.910.9 - 19.1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 252   Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-67 83%    
  Nov 11, 2018 280   Drexel W 72-64 86%    
  Nov 16, 2018 31   St. John's L 64-73 28%    
  Nov 19, 2018 135   Eastern Michigan L 62-63 60%    
  Nov 23, 2018 223   Boston University W 69-63 79%    
  Nov 28, 2018 23   @ Miami (FL) L 61-72 11%    
  Nov 30, 2018 10   Michigan St. L 60-73 18%    
  Dec 03, 2018 22   @ Wisconsin L 57-68 11%    
  Dec 08, 2018 267   @ Fordham W 66-58 68%    
  Dec 15, 2018 52   @ Seton Hall L 65-72 19%    
  Dec 22, 2018 229   Columbia W 74-68 79%    
  Dec 29, 2018 327   Maine W 74-61 92%    
  Jan 05, 2019 32   Maryland L 62-71 31%    
  Jan 09, 2019 40   Ohio St. L 62-70 32%    
  Jan 12, 2019 68   @ Minnesota L 67-73 23%    
  Jan 15, 2019 27   @ Purdue L 62-72 14%    
  Jan 18, 2019 62   Northwestern L 60-66 39%    
  Jan 21, 2019 35   Nebraska L 62-71 31%    
  Jan 26, 2019 57   @ Penn St. L 62-69 20%    
  Jan 30, 2019 25   Indiana L 62-72 28%    
  Feb 02, 2019 40   @ Ohio St. L 62-70 17%    
  Feb 05, 2019 19   Michigan L 57-68 25%    
  Feb 09, 2019 76   @ Illinois L 68-73 27%    
  Feb 13, 2019 62   @ Northwestern L 60-66 22%    
  Feb 16, 2019 34   Iowa L 68-77 32%    
  Feb 20, 2019 10   @ Michigan St. L 60-73 9%    
  Feb 24, 2019 68   Minnesota L 67-73 42%    
  Mar 02, 2019 34   @ Iowa L 68-77 17%    
  Mar 06, 2019 57   Penn St. L 62-69 38%    
  Mar 10, 2019 25   @ Indiana L 62-72 13%    
Projected Record 10.9 - 19.1 4.7 - 14.3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.2 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.5 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 2.9 0.8 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.3 4.0 1.1 0.1 12.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 4.3 7.2 4.9 1.6 0.1 19.7 13th
14th 3.8 8.5 10.4 9.1 4.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 37.7 14th
Total 3.8 8.6 11.8 14.0 14.4 11.5 10.8 8.0 6.1 4.4 2.8 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 98.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 76.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 62.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 35.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 0.8% 99.2% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 32.7% 67.3% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.2% 100.0% 1.3% 98.7% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 0.6% 92.5% 5.4% 87.1% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.1%
12-8 1.0% 78.0% 5.7% 72.2% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 76.6%
11-9 1.7% 59.7% 1.4% 58.3% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 59.2%
10-10 2.8% 41.8% 4.5% 37.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 39.0%
9-11 4.4% 14.7% 2.3% 12.4% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.8 12.7%
8-12 6.1% 4.8% 2.1% 2.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 2.7%
7-13 8.0% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 0.0%
6-14 10.8% 1.2% 1.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
5-15 11.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
4-16 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
3-17 14.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.9
2-18 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
1-19 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.6
0-20 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.8
Total 100% 5.3% 1.0% 4.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 94.7 4.4%