IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lehigh
Patriot League
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.1	#185
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.7	#55
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.7	#140

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#239

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.6%	25.8%	14.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.2	14.8

.500 or above	59.7%	75.3%	49.9%
.500 or above in Conference	75.4%	82.9%	70.7%
Conference Champion	22.3%	30.0%	17.4%
Last Place in Conference	4.0%	2.5%	5.0%

First Four	2.6%	2.3%	2.7%
First Round	17.5%	24.8%	12.9%
Second Round	1.6%	2.8%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 38.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.3	0.0 - 1.3
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.2	0.1 - 2.5
Quad 2	0.4 - 1.9	0.5 - 4.4
Quad 3	3.2 - 4.5	3.7 - 8.9
Quad 4	11.8 - 4.6	15.5 - 13.5

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	183	@ Monmouth	L	77-78	39%
Nov 09, 2018	23	@ Miami (FL)	L	68-82	6%
Nov 13, 2018	274	Marist	W	82-77	77%
Nov 16, 2018	145	Princeton	L	72-74	52%
Nov 21, 2018	284	@ Siena	W	75-70	58%
Nov 24, 2018	14	@ Kansas St.	L	65-81	4%
Dec 01, 2018	286	Arkansas St.	W	82-76	77%
Dec 05, 2018	122	@ Yale	L	75-79	26%
Dec 08, 2018	331	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	76-66	74%
Dec 22, 2018	160	St. Francis (PA)	L	78-79	56%
Dec 30, 2018	11	@ West Virginia	L	70-86	5%
Jan 02, 2019	293	Lafayette	W	80-74	78%
Jan 06, 2019	300	Loyola Maryland	W	78-71	79%
Jan 09, 2019	206	@ Holy Cross	W	70-68	45%
Jan 12, 2019	209	@ Colgate	W	76-74	46%
Jan 16, 2019	242	American	W	75-72	71%
Jan 19, 2019	171	Bucknell	L	79-80	57%
Jan 23, 2019	260	@ Navy	W	73-68	55%
Jan 26, 2019	223	Boston University	W	76-73	68%
Jan 30, 2019	293	@ Lafayette	W	80-74	60%
Feb 02, 2019	216	@ Army	W	79-77	46%
Feb 04, 2019	209	Colgate	W	76-74	65%
Feb 09, 2019	260	Navy	W	73-68	73%
Feb 11, 2019	171	@ Bucknell	L	79-80	38%
Feb 16, 2019	223	@ Boston University	W	76-73	49%
Feb 20, 2019	216	Army	W	79-77	67%
Feb 24, 2019	206	Holy Cross	W	70-68	64%
Feb 27, 2019	242	@ American	W	75-72	52%
Mar 02, 2019	300	@ Loyola Maryland	W	78-71	62%
Projected Record						15.5 - 13.5	10.8 - 7.2

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	1.3	3.4	5.3	5.8	3.8	1.8	0.7		22.3	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	1.9	5.2	5.3	3.0	0.8	0.1				16.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.5	5.6	4.1	1.4	0.3	0.0					13.9	3rd
4th									0.1	2.2	5.0	3.4	0.9	0.1							11.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	1.6	4.6	2.8	0.7	0.1								9.8	5th
6th							0.1	1.3	3.6	2.4	0.3	0.0									7.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.0	3.2	2.1	0.3	0.0										6.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	0.8	2.3	1.5	0.3	0.0											5.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.3	1.0	0.2	0.0												3.8	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.4	0.1														2.4	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.9	1.9	2.7	4.4	6.4	7.7	9.7	10.8	11.6	11.4	10.2	8.6	6.7	3.9	1.8	0.7			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
17-1	100.0%	1.8		1.8	0.0
16-2	96.3%	3.8		3.5	0.3
15-3	87.8%	5.8		4.9	1.0	0.0
14-4	61.6%	5.3		3.2	1.8	0.2	0.0
13-5	33.4%	3.4		1.4	1.4	0.5	0.1
12-6	11.3%	1.3		0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0							0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	22.3%	22.3		15.7	5.0	1.3	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.7%		76.4%	76.0%	0.4%	11.6						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.2		1.6%
17-1	1.8%		67.9%	64.2%	3.7%	12.7								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.6		10.3%
16-2	3.9%		59.3%	58.9%	0.4%	13.4								0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	1.6		1.0%
15-3	6.7%		48.7%	48.7%	0.0%	14.0												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	0.9	0.2	3.4		0.0%
14-4	8.6%		36.9%	36.9%		14.4													0.1	0.4	1.2	1.1	0.4	5.4
13-5	10.2%		26.2%	26.2%	0.0%	14.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.7	7.5		0.0%
12-6	11.4%		20.0%	20.0%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.1	9.2
11-7	11.6%		11.8%	11.8%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	10.3
10-8	10.8%		6.7%	6.7%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.6	10.0
9-9	9.7%		5.1%	5.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.5	9.2
8-10	7.7%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																0.0	0.3	7.4
7-11	6.4%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.2	6.3
6-12	4.4%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.1	4.3
5-13	2.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
4-14	1.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
3-15	0.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		18.6%	18.6%	0.1%	14.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.6	4.6	4.9	4.9	81.4		0.1%