IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Army
Patriot League
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#216
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.1	#59
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#222

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.4	#223

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.4%	12.1%	6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.8	15.3

.500 or above	58.7%	66.3%	40.3%
.500 or above in Conference	61.5%	65.9%	50.8%
Conference Champion	12.7%	15.0%	7.2%
Last Place in Conference	8.3%	7.1%	11.4%

First Four	2.7%	2.6%	2.7%
First Round	9.1%	10.9%	4.9%
Second Round	0.6%	0.7%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Home) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.0	0.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.3	0.0 - 1.3
Quad 2	0.4 - 1.7	0.4 - 2.9
Quad 3	3.3 - 5.8	3.7 - 8.7
Quad 4	11.9 - 5.7	15.5 - 14.5

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	274	Marist	W	79-76	71%
Nov 11, 2018	4	@ Duke	L	68-90	1%
Nov 16, 2018	324	Sacred Heart	W	77-70	72%
Nov 17, 2018	306	Umass Lowell	W	82-77	68%
Nov 18, 2018	207	@ Brown	L	78-79	38%
Nov 24, 2018	170	@ Miami (OH)	L	70-73	30%
Nov 28, 2018	269	Binghamton	W	72-69	69%
Dec 01, 2018	220	Fairfield	W	76-75	62%
Dec 04, 2018	228	@ NJIT	W	72-71	42%
Dec 08, 2018	212	@ Air Force	L	71-72	39%
Dec 12, 2018	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	79-77	46%
Dec 22, 2018	268	Niagara	W	83-80	68%
Jan 02, 2019	171	Bucknell	L	76-79	50%
Jan 05, 2019	293	Lafayette	W	77-73	74%
Jan 09, 2019	223	@ Boston University	W	74-73	42%
Jan 12, 2019	300	@ Loyola Maryland	W	76-71	55%
Jan 16, 2019	209	Colgate	L	72-73	59%
Jan 19, 2019	260	Navy	W	70-68	69%
Jan 23, 2019	206	Holy Cross	L	67-68	58%
Jan 26, 2019	293	@ Lafayette	W	77-73	54%
Jan 30, 2019	209	@ Colgate	L	72-73	39%
Feb 02, 2019	185	Lehigh	L	77-79	54%
Feb 06, 2019	206	@ Holy Cross	L	67-68	39%
Feb 09, 2019	242	@ American	W	73-72	44%
Feb 13, 2019	223	Boston University	W	74-73	61%
Feb 16, 2019	260	@ Navy	W	70-68	48%
Feb 20, 2019	185	@ Lehigh	L	77-79	33%
Feb 24, 2019	242	American	W	73-72	63%
Feb 27, 2019	300	Loyola Maryland	W	76-71	73%
Mar 02, 2019	171	@ Bucknell	L	76-79	31%
Projected Record						15.5 - 14.5	9.5 - 8.5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	1.0	2.4	3.5	3.0	2.0	0.6	0.1		12.7	1st
2nd											0.3	1.9	4.2	3.8	2.0	0.4	0.0				12.7	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.8	4.9	3.5	1.1	0.1						12.7	3rd
4th									0.2	2.1	5.0	3.4	0.6	0.0							11.4	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.1	4.8	2.9	0.5	0.1								10.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	2.0	4.9	3.1	0.4	0.0									10.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	2.1	3.8	2.4	0.3	0.0										9.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.8	3.3	2.1	0.4	0.0											8.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.6	2.0	2.4	1.6	0.3	0.0												7.1	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.3	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0													5.0	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.9	3.7	5.2	7.5	8.6	10.1	10.6	11.5	10.8	9.3	7.3	5.6	3.4	2.1	0.6	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.6		0.6	0.0
16-2	98.5%	2.0		1.9	0.1
15-3	87.0%	3.0		2.3	0.7	0.0
14-4	62.0%	3.5		2.0	1.2	0.2	0.0
13-5	32.7%	2.4		0.9	1.1	0.3	0.0
12-6	10.3%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1
11-7	1.0%	0.1			0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	12.7%	12.7		8.0	3.7	0.8	0.2	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		58.9%	48.9%	9.9%	10.4				0.0	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		19.4%
17-1	0.6%		56.9%	56.9%		12.9					0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.3
16-2	2.1%		47.1%	47.1%	0.0%	13.7												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	1.1		0.1%
15-3	3.4%		35.5%	35.5%	0.0%	14.3												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	2.2		0.0%
14-4	5.6%		27.9%	27.9%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	4.0
13-5	7.3%		23.1%	23.1%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.4	0.7	0.6	5.6
12-6	9.3%		18.2%	18.2%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	7.6
11-7	10.8%		10.4%	10.4%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	9.7
10-8	11.5%		7.0%	7.0%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	10.7
9-9	10.6%		4.3%	4.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	10.2
8-10	10.1%		2.2%	2.2%		15.9																0.0	0.2	9.8
7-11	8.6%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
6-12	7.5%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	7.4
5-13	5.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
4-14	3.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
3-15	1.9%																							1.9
2-16	1.2%																							1.2
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		10.4%	10.4%	0.0%	14.9				0.0	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	3.0	4.2	89.6		0.0%