Preseason Rankings
Yale
Ivy League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#122
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.8#130
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#110
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.7% 25.0% 14.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% 2.5% 0.5%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.6
.500 or above 80.3% 87.0% 65.5%
.500 or above in Conference 80.2% 83.7% 72.3%
Conference Champion 23.3% 26.5% 16.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.3% 4.7%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 1.1%
First Round21.1% 24.3% 14.1%
Second Round4.5% 5.5% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Neutral) - 68.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.40.1 - 1.4
Quad 1b0.2 - 1.00.3 - 2.4
Quad 21.1 - 2.41.4 - 4.8
Quad 34.7 - 3.66.1 - 8.4
Quad 49.7 - 1.815.8 - 10.2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 198   California W 75-70 69%    
  Nov 17, 2018 101   @ Memphis L 72-73 35%    
  Nov 21, 2018 124   @ Vermont W 70-69 39%    
  Nov 28, 2018 315   @ Bryant W 84-72 80%    
  Dec 01, 2018 23   Miami (FL) L 68-78 20%    
  Dec 05, 2018 185   Lehigh W 79-75 74%    
  Dec 08, 2018 4   @ Duke L 71-86 6%    
  Dec 11, 2018 278   Albany W 74-65 86%    
  Dec 20, 2018 183   @ Monmouth W 76-72 55%    
  Dec 22, 2018 133   Iona W 78-77 62%    
  Jan 02, 2019 338   Kennesaw St. W 80-65 94%    
  Jan 05, 2019 342   @ Cal St. Northridge W 78-61 88%    
  Jan 19, 2019 207   @ Brown W 81-75 60%    
  Jan 25, 2019 207   Brown W 81-75 77%    
  Feb 01, 2019 77   @ Harvard L 67-71 29%    
  Feb 02, 2019 276   @ Dartmouth W 76-67 70%    
  Feb 08, 2019 145   Princeton W 71-69 65%    
  Feb 09, 2019 125   Penn W 73-72 61%    
  Feb 15, 2019 229   @ Columbia W 81-74 64%    
  Feb 16, 2019 248   @ Cornell W 80-72 66%    
  Feb 22, 2019 276   Dartmouth W 76-67 85%    
  Feb 23, 2019 77   Harvard L 67-71 47%    
  Mar 01, 2019 248   Cornell W 80-72 82%    
  Mar 02, 2019 229   Columbia W 81-74 79%    
  Mar 08, 2019 125   @ Penn W 73-72 42%    
  Mar 09, 2019 145   @ Princeton W 71-69 46%    
Projected Record 15.8 - 10.2 8.7 - 5.3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.6 6.9 4.6 1.3 23.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 6.0 8.9 5.5 1.1 23.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 7.2 7.4 2.2 0.1 19.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 6.1 4.7 0.9 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.6 2.8 0.4 9.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.4 0.1 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.6 8th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 3.1 5.9 8.4 11.1 13.6 14.9 14.4 12.2 8.0 4.6 1.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
13-1 100.0% 4.6    4.3 0.3
12-2 86.4% 6.9    5.3 1.7 0.0
11-3 53.9% 6.6    3.3 2.9 0.4 0.0
10-4 22.4% 3.2    0.8 1.5 0.8 0.1
9-5 3.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 23.3% 23.3 15.0 6.6 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.3% 84.6% 71.4% 13.2% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 46.1%
13-1 4.6% 68.8% 55.2% 13.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 30.4%
12-2 8.0% 48.1% 43.0% 5.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 4.2 9.0%
11-3 12.2% 35.3% 33.7% 1.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 7.9 2.5%
10-4 14.4% 26.4% 26.3% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 10.6 0.2%
9-5 14.9% 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.3 12.5 0.0%
8-6 13.6% 12.0% 12.0% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 12.0
7-7 11.1% 7.9% 7.9% 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 10.2
6-8 8.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.1
5-9 5.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.1 0.1 5.8
4-10 3.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-11 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-12 0.8% 0.8
1-13 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 21.7% 20.3% 1.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.8 3.9 4.9 4.2 3.3 1.6 78.3 1.8%