Preseason Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#209
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.7#266
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#196
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#245
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 15.4% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 51.2% 67.3% 39.2%
.500 or above in Conference 62.9% 72.9% 55.3%
Conference Champion 13.8% 19.1% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 5.1% 10.7%
First Four2.0% 2.2% 1.8%
First Round9.9% 14.5% 6.4%
Second Round0.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 42.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.1 - 0.90.1 - 1.9
Quad 20.5 - 2.00.6 - 3.9
Quad 33.4 - 6.04.0 - 9.9
Quad 410.6 - 5.514.6 - 15.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 228   @ NJIT W 69-68 43%    
  Nov 09, 2018 183   Monmouth L 71-73 54%    
  Nov 11, 2018 248   @ Cornell W 74-72 46%    
  Nov 19, 2018 269   Binghamton W 69-66 70%    
  Nov 21, 2018 12   @ Syracuse L 56-74 3%    
  Nov 24, 2018 284   @ Siena W 69-65 52%    
  Nov 30, 2018 250   @ South Florida W 68-66 47%    
  Dec 02, 2018 179   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 73-75 33%    
  Dec 05, 2018 229   @ Columbia W 75-74 43%    
  Dec 08, 2018 57   @ Penn St. L 63-75 10%    
  Dec 15, 2018 274   Marist W 75-72 69%    
  Dec 29, 2018 167   @ Pittsburgh L 65-68 31%    
  Jan 03, 2019 260   @ Navy W 67-64 49%    
  Jan 06, 2019 242   American W 70-68 65%    
  Jan 09, 2019 171   @ Bucknell L 72-75 32%    
  Jan 12, 2019 185   Lehigh L 74-76 54%    
  Jan 16, 2019 216   @ Army W 73-72 41%    
  Jan 19, 2019 223   @ Boston University W 70-69 42%    
  Jan 23, 2019 293   Lafayette W 74-70 73%    
  Jan 26, 2019 300   @ Loyola Maryland W 72-67 56%    
  Jan 30, 2019 216   Army W 73-72 61%    
  Feb 02, 2019 223   Boston University W 70-69 62%    
  Feb 04, 2019 185   @ Lehigh L 74-76 35%    
  Feb 09, 2019 300   Loyola Maryland W 72-67 74%    
  Feb 13, 2019 206   @ Holy Cross L 64-65 39%    
  Feb 16, 2019 242   @ American W 70-68 45%    
  Feb 19, 2019 171   Bucknell L 72-75 50%    
  Feb 23, 2019 260   Navy W 67-64 68%    
  Feb 27, 2019 206   Holy Cross L 64-65 58%    
  Mar 02, 2019 293   @ Lafayette W 74-70 54%    
Projected Record 14.6 - 15.4 9.6 - 8.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.3 3.8 3.3 1.9 1.0 0.2 13.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.7 4.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 4.9 3.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.5 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 5.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.5 4.7 7.2 8.3 9.6 11.1 10.7 10.7 9.7 7.5 6.1 3.8 1.9 1.0 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
16-2 97.7% 1.9    1.8 0.1
15-3 87.2% 3.3    2.5 0.8 0.0
14-4 62.6% 3.8    2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 30.6% 2.3    0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0
12-6 11.0% 1.1    0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 8.8 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 82.0% 73.5% 8.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.2%
17-1 1.0% 64.0% 62.4% 1.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 4.2%
16-2 1.9% 46.7% 46.7% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.1%
15-3 3.8% 42.4% 42.0% 0.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 2.2 0.6%
14-4 6.1% 29.1% 29.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 4.3 0.0%
13-5 7.5% 20.7% 20.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 6.0
12-6 9.7% 14.3% 14.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 8.3
11-7 10.7% 11.8% 11.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.5
10-8 10.7% 5.3% 5.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.1
9-9 11.1% 3.8% 3.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.7
8-10 9.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.3
7-11 8.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.2
6-12 7.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.0
5-13 4.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-14 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.1 3.2 3.5 89.2 0.1%