IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Brown
Ivy League
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.8	#207
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.2	#36
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.5	#180

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#258

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Average Seed	10.7	10.8	10.2

.500 or above	43.6%	60.1%	31.4%
.500 or above in Conference	39.4%	48.5%	32.7%
Conference Champion	4.7%	6.7%	3.2%
Last Place in Conference	18.1%	12.2%	22.5%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
First Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Away) - 42.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.7	0.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.3	0.1 - 2.0
Quad 2	0.6 - 3.3	0.7 - 5.3
Quad 3	3.1 - 5.9	3.8 - 11.2
Quad 4	9.1 - 3.9	12.9 - 15.1

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	225	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	82-81	43%
Nov 11, 2018	228	@ NJIT	W	75-74	44%
Nov 16, 2018	306	Umass Lowell	W	85-79	78%
Nov 17, 2018	324	Sacred Heart	W	79-72	82%
Nov 18, 2018	216	Army	W	79-78	62%
Nov 25, 2018	315	Bryant	W	84-78	79%
Nov 28, 2018	103	@ Rhode Island	L	72-79	20%
Dec 01, 2018	260	@ Navy	W	72-69	49%
Dec 05, 2018	33	@ Butler	L	70-84	7%
Dec 08, 2018	222	Stony Brook	W	74-73	63%
Dec 22, 2018	274	@ Marist	W	81-78	50%
Dec 29, 2018	45	@ San Diego St.	L	70-83	9%
Jan 02, 2019	327	Maine	W	81-73	83%
Jan 08, 2019	162	@ Canisius	L	76-79	31%
Jan 19, 2019	122	Yale	L	75-81	40%
Jan 25, 2019	122	@ Yale	L	75-81	23%
Feb 01, 2019	276	@ Dartmouth	W	76-73	51%
Feb 02, 2019	77	@ Harvard	L	67-77	14%
Feb 08, 2019	125	Penn	L	73-79	41%
Feb 09, 2019	145	Princeton	L	71-75	46%
Feb 15, 2019	248	@ Cornell	W	80-78	47%
Feb 16, 2019	229	@ Columbia	W	82-81	44%
Feb 22, 2019	77	Harvard	L	67-77	30%
Feb 23, 2019	276	Dartmouth	W	76-73	70%
Mar 01, 2019	229	Columbia	W	82-81	63%
Mar 02, 2019	248	Cornell	W	80-78	66%
Mar 08, 2019	145	@ Princeton	L	71-75	27%
Mar 09, 2019	125	@ Penn	L	73-79	23%
Projected Record						12.9 - 15.1	5.9 - 8.1

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.5	1.1	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.1		4.7	1st
2nd								0.0	1.2	2.7	2.7	1.1	0.1				7.9	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.0	5.2	3.5	0.8	0.1					11.7	3rd
4th						0.3	3.7	6.9	3.7	0.4	0.0						15.0	4th
5th				0.0	0.6	4.5	8.0	3.7	0.4	0.0							17.2	5th
6th			0.0	0.9	5.0	7.3	2.7	0.2									16.2	6th
7th		0.1	1.9	5.6	6.0	2.0	0.1										15.7	7th
8th	0.9	2.8	4.2	2.9	0.7	0.0											11.6	8th

Total	0.9	3.0	6.1	9.4	12.3	14.2	14.7	12.9	10.4	7.1	4.7	2.9	1.1	0.3	0.1			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
13-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
12-2	90.9%	1.0		0.8	0.2	0.0
11-3	58.9%	1.7		0.9	0.7	0.1	0.0
10-4	23.3%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1
9-5	6.7%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	4.7%	4.7		2.5	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.1%		12.3%		12.3%	4.5				0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		12.3%
13-1	0.3%		18.4%		18.4%	10.7										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.3		18.4%
12-2	1.1%		8.0%		8.0%	11.2									0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0					1.0		8.0%
11-3	2.9%		1.1%		1.1%	11.9												0.0	0.0	0.0				2.8		1.1%
10-4	4.7%		0.6%		0.6%	12.0												0.0	0.0					4.7		0.6%
9-5	7.1%																							7.1
8-6	10.4%																							10.4
7-7	12.9%																							12.9
6-8	14.7%																							14.7
5-9	14.2%																							14.2
4-10	12.3%																							12.3
3-11	9.4%																							9.4
2-12	6.1%																							6.1
1-13	3.0%																							3.0
0-14	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	10.7				0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				99.8		0.2%