Preseason Rankings
Vermont
America East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#124
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.0#342
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#97
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.0% 55.4% 40.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.4 13.1 14.1
.500 or above 84.0% 90.6% 72.5%
.500 or above in Conference 95.3% 97.0% 92.3%
Conference Champion 54.9% 60.7% 44.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four2.6% 2.0% 3.7%
First Round48.8% 54.5% 38.9%
Second Round7.5% 9.3% 4.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.1% 2.7% 1.2%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 63.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.50.1 - 1.5
Quad 1b0.2 - 0.80.3 - 2.2
Quad 20.9 - 1.71.2 - 3.9
Quad 34.5 - 3.65.7 - 7.5
Quad 413.0 - 2.718.7 - 10.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 223   @ Boston University W 71-64 63%    
  Nov 12, 2018 1   @ Kansas L 62-79 3%    
  Nov 16, 2018 54   @ Louisville L 68-74 21%    
  Nov 21, 2018 122   Yale L 69-70 61%    
  Nov 25, 2018 171   Bucknell W 73-70 71%    
  Nov 28, 2018 208   @ George Washington W 69-63 59%    
  Nov 30, 2018 237   @ Towson W 70-63 65%    
  Dec 03, 2018 129   @ George Mason W 70-69 39%    
  Dec 08, 2018 77   Harvard L 63-67 47%    
  Dec 16, 2018 70   Northeastern L 66-71 44%    
  Dec 18, 2018 119   St. Bonaventure L 69-70 59%    
  Dec 21, 2018 136   @ Lipscomb W 76-75 41%    
  Jan 02, 2019 276   Dartmouth W 72-63 84%    
  Jan 05, 2019 278   @ Albany W 70-61 70%    
  Jan 09, 2019 327   @ Maine W 76-62 83%    
  Jan 12, 2019 193   Hartford W 71-66 74%    
  Jan 16, 2019 316   @ New Hampshire W 70-58 78%    
  Jan 19, 2019 269   Binghamton W 70-61 84%    
  Jan 23, 2019 214   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 71-65 78%    
  Jan 26, 2019 222   @ Stony Brook W 69-63 61%    
  Feb 02, 2019 306   @ Umass Lowell W 79-68 75%    
  Feb 06, 2019 327   Maine W 76-62 92%    
  Feb 09, 2019 278   Albany W 70-61 84%    
  Feb 13, 2019 316   New Hampshire W 70-58 89%    
  Feb 16, 2019 193   @ Hartford W 71-66 54%    
  Feb 21, 2019 214   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 71-65 60%    
  Feb 23, 2019 269   @ Binghamton W 70-61 68%    
  Mar 02, 2019 222   Stony Brook W 69-63 78%    
  Mar 05, 2019 306   Umass Lowell W 79-68 87%    
Projected Record 18.7 - 10.3 12.2 - 3.8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.2 7.1 12.6 14.7 12.0 6.0 54.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.3 6.7 3.9 0.6 20.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 3.1 0.7 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 1.7 0.2 6.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.9 0.7 0.1 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.6 4.0 6.0 9.1 11.8 14.5 16.6 15.3 12.0 6.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 6.0    6.0
15-1 100.0% 12.0    11.7 0.4
14-2 96.2% 14.7    12.7 2.0 0.0
13-3 76.1% 12.6    8.8 3.5 0.2
12-4 48.6% 7.1    3.3 2.8 0.8 0.1
11-5 18.5% 2.2    0.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 54.9% 54.9 43.1 9.8 1.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 6.0% 91.2% 87.6% 3.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 28.6%
15-1 12.0% 79.2% 77.2% 2.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.4 2.8 1.8 0.7 0.0 2.5 8.9%
14-2 15.3% 69.0% 68.4% 0.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.1 2.9 1.5 0.2 4.7 2.0%
13-3 16.6% 57.6% 57.6% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.3 3.3 2.3 0.5 7.0 0.0%
12-4 14.5% 47.5% 47.5% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.6 0.9 7.6
11-5 11.8% 34.1% 34.1% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 1.1 7.8
10-6 9.1% 26.9% 26.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 6.6
9-7 6.0% 15.6% 15.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 5.0
8-8 4.0% 9.9% 9.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.6
7-9 2.6% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.4
6-10 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
5-11 0.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-12 0.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-13 0.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 50.0% 49.4% 0.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 3.1 6.9 10.6 11.8 9.9 5.2 50.0 1.1%