Preseason Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#238
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.0#256
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#188
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#289
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 8.9% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.9 14.0 14.9
.500 or above 39.9% 83.8% 39.3%
.500 or above in Conference 40.9% 71.7% 40.5%
Conference Champion 3.9% 13.8% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 3.1% 14.2%
First Four0.8% 2.1% 0.7%
First Round3.1% 6.8% 3.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.80.0 - 0.8
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.30.0 - 1.1
Quad 20.1 - 1.20.1 - 2.3
Quad 31.8 - 5.52.0 - 7.8
Quad 411.3 - 7.913.3 - 15.7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 8   @ Villanova L 63-84 1%    
  Nov 15, 2018 193   Hartford L 69-72 52%    
  Nov 20, 2018 316   @ New Hampshire W 69-64 56%    
  Nov 25, 2018 327   Maine W 76-69 80%    
  Nov 28, 2018 154   @ Massachusetts L 69-74 24%    
  Dec 01, 2018 222   @ Stony Brook L 69-70 36%    
  Dec 05, 2018 276   @ Dartmouth W 71-69 46%    
  Dec 08, 2018 293   Lafayette W 74-71 69%    
  Dec 16, 2018 280   Drexel W 74-72 57%    
  Dec 19, 2018 299   Bethune-Cookman W 81-78 70%    
  Dec 22, 2018 222   Stony Brook L 69-70 58%    
  Jan 03, 2019 291   @ Manhattan W 69-66 49%    
  Jan 05, 2019 110   @ Rider L 74-82 18%    
  Jan 10, 2019 183   Monmouth L 71-74 48%    
  Jan 13, 2019 220   Fairfield L 72-73 57%    
  Jan 17, 2019 162   Canisius L 71-75 46%    
  Jan 19, 2019 268   Niagara W 80-78 64%    
  Jan 25, 2019 274   @ Marist W 76-74 45%    
  Jan 27, 2019 178   St. Peter's L 61-65 47%    
  Feb 01, 2019 162   @ Canisius L 71-75 27%    
  Feb 03, 2019 268   @ Niagara W 80-78 45%    
  Feb 08, 2019 133   @ Iona L 73-80 21%    
  Feb 12, 2019 110   Rider L 74-82 34%    
  Feb 15, 2019 274   Marist W 76-74 65%    
  Feb 17, 2019 284   @ Siena W 69-67 46%    
  Feb 19, 2019 133   Iona L 73-80 37%    
  Feb 24, 2019 183   @ Monmouth L 71-74 30%    
  Mar 01, 2019 178   @ St. Peter's L 61-65 30%    
  Mar 03, 2019 291   Manhattan W 69-66 68%    
Projected Record 13.3 - 15.7 7.8 - 10.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 3.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.9 2.9 1.0 0.1 9.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.0 3.7 0.9 0.1 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 1.2 4.0 3.9 0.9 0.1 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.4 4.5 1.1 0.1 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.9 1.4 0.1 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.0 4.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.9 3.3 0.9 0.1 10.8 10th
11th 0.4 1.2 2.6 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 9.1 11th
Total 0.4 1.3 3.2 5.0 7.4 9.2 10.6 10.9 11.2 10.2 9.6 7.1 5.7 4.0 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 97.6% 0.6    0.6 0.1
15-3 80.4% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 52.3% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.3% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 80.4% 42.0% 38.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.3%
17-1 0.2% 54.9% 45.7% 9.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.9%
16-2 0.7% 21.3% 17.4% 4.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 4.8%
15-3 1.2% 26.4% 26.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.1%
14-4 2.2% 16.8% 16.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8
13-5 4.0% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.5 0.0%
12-6 5.7% 7.8% 7.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.3
11-7 7.1% 7.6% 7.6% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 6.6
10-8 9.6% 4.5% 4.5% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.2
9-9 10.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.9
8-10 11.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.0
7-11 10.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
6-12 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.6
5-13 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-14 7.4% 7.4
3-15 5.0% 5.0
2-16 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.2
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.5% 3.4% 0.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 96.5 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%