Preseason Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#276
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.2#249
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#275
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.6 11.4 10.1
.500 or above 22.8% 50.2% 20.3%
.500 or above in Conference 19.2% 34.7% 17.8%
Conference Champion 1.5% 3.9% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 37.3% 24.3% 38.5%
First Four0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 8.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.60.1 - 2.6
Quad 20.4 - 3.70.6 - 6.3
Quad 32.1 - 6.02.7 - 12.3
Quad 47.8 - 5.310.4 - 17.6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 88   @ Davidson L 62-74 8%    
  Nov 11, 2018 300   @ Loyola Maryland W 70-68 45%    
  Nov 21, 2018 65   @ Buffalo L 70-84 6%    
  Nov 24, 2018 137   @ San Francisco L 63-71 16%    
  Nov 29, 2018 274   Marist L 72-73 50%    
  Nov 30, 2018 278   Albany W 67-66 50%    
  Dec 05, 2018 238   Quinnipiac L 69-71 54%    
  Dec 08, 2018 327   Maine W 73-68 76%    
  Dec 10, 2018 324   Sacred Heart W 71-67 73%    
  Dec 13, 2018 223   Boston University L 68-70 52%    
  Dec 15, 2018 278   @ Albany W 67-66 39%    
  Dec 21, 2018 315   @ Bryant W 76-73 51%    
  Dec 30, 2018 316   New Hampshire W 67-64 70%    
  Jan 02, 2019 124   @ Vermont L 63-72 16%    
  Jan 12, 2019 77   Harvard L 60-73 20%    
  Jan 26, 2019 77   @ Harvard L 60-73 10%    
  Feb 01, 2019 207   Brown L 73-76 49%    
  Feb 02, 2019 122   Yale L 67-76 30%    
  Feb 08, 2019 248   Cornell L 72-73 56%    
  Feb 09, 2019 229   Columbia L 73-75 52%    
  Feb 15, 2019 125   @ Penn L 65-74 16%    
  Feb 16, 2019 145   @ Princeton L 64-71 19%    
  Feb 22, 2019 122   @ Yale L 67-76 15%    
  Feb 23, 2019 207   @ Brown L 73-76 30%    
  Mar 01, 2019 145   Princeton L 64-71 36%    
  Mar 02, 2019 125   Penn L 65-74 32%    
  Mar 08, 2019 229   @ Columbia L 73-75 34%    
  Mar 09, 2019 248   @ Cornell L 72-73 37%    
Projected Record 10.4 - 17.6 4.4 - 9.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.3 2.6 4.4 1.8 0.2 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.4 6.1 2.1 0.2 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 6.4 7.8 2.4 0.1 18.1 6th
7th 0.4 3.6 8.8 7.5 1.8 0.1 22.3 7th
8th 3.4 8.0 8.9 5.0 1.1 0.0 26.4 8th
Total 3.4 8.4 12.5 15.2 15.5 14.4 11.3 8.3 5.2 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 77.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
11-3 71.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 26.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-5 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 3.7% 3.7% 6.0 0.0 0.0 3.7%
13-1 0.1% 19.1% 19.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 19.1%
12-2 0.3% 8.8% 8.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.8%
11-3 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% 12.0 0.0 0.7 1.9%
10-4 1.7% 1.7
9-5 2.8% 2.8
8-6 5.2% 5.2
7-7 8.3% 8.3
6-8 11.3% 11.3
5-9 14.4% 14.4
4-10 15.5% 15.5
3-11 15.2% 15.2
2-12 12.5% 12.5
1-13 8.4% 8.4
0-14 3.4% 3.4
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%