IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.2	#170
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.3	#246
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.2	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#135

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.6%	12.5%	4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.9%	3.8%	0.6%
Average Seed	12.5	11.4	12.8

.500 or above	40.3%	69.8%	37.4%
.500 or above in Conference	46.5%	64.2%	44.8%
Conference Champion	4.7%	9.1%	4.2%
Last Place in Conference	11.2%	4.2%	11.9%

First Four	0.6%	1.8%	0.5%
First Round	5.3%	11.9%	4.7%
Second Round	0.9%	3.0%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	1.0%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 9.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 1.6	0.1 - 1.6
Quad 1b	0.3 - 2.0	0.4 - 3.6
Quad 2	1.4 - 4.1	1.8 - 7.7
Quad 3	4.9 - 5.7	6.7 - 13.3
Quad 4	6.7 - 2.2	13.4 - 15.6

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2018	33	@ Butler	L	64-75	9%
Nov 16, 2018	199	North Dakota St.	W	68-66	56%
Nov 17, 2018	73	Montana	L	66-73	26%
Nov 18, 2018	234	Pepperdine	W	73-69	63%
Nov 24, 2018	216	Army	W	73-70	70%
Nov 28, 2018	44	@ Xavier	L	68-78	12%
Dec 05, 2018	138	@ Wright St.	L	66-68	32%
Dec 08, 2018	169	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	75-76	60%
Dec 16, 2018	128	@ Northern Kentucky	L	68-71	30%
Dec 20, 2018	348	South Carolina St.	W	79-64	94%
Dec 30, 2018	196	Evansville	W	64-62	65%
Jan 05, 2019	219	Central Michigan	W	72-69	70%
Jan 08, 2019	186	Northern Illinois	W	70-69	62%
Jan 12, 2019	65	@ Buffalo	L	72-80	17%
Jan 15, 2019	126	@ Toledo	L	71-74	30%
Jan 19, 2019	184	Akron	W	70-69	62%
Jan 22, 2019	111	@ Ball St.	L	69-73	28%
Jan 26, 2019	205	Bowling Green	W	73-71	68%
Jan 29, 2019	126	Toledo	L	71-74	50%
Feb 02, 2019	135	@ Eastern Michigan	L	63-66	32%
Feb 05, 2019	159	@ Kent St.	L	69-70	38%
Feb 09, 2019	142	Ohio	L	71-73	53%
Feb 16, 2019	211	@ Western Michigan	W	71-68	49%
Feb 19, 2019	111	Ball St.	L	69-73	47%
Feb 23, 2019	184	@ Akron	W	70-69	43%
Feb 26, 2019	205	@ Bowling Green	W	73-71	48%
Mar 01, 2019	65	Buffalo	L	72-80	32%
Mar 05, 2019	159	Kent St.	L	69-70	58%
Mar 08, 2019	142	@ Ohio	L	71-73	34%
Projected Record						13.4 - 15.6	8.2 - 9.8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.8	1.2	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1		4.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	1.9	2.4	1.5	0.5	0.0				6.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.8	2.6	3.0	1.6	0.2	0.0					8.3	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	3.0	3.6	1.2	0.1							8.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.5	2.9	3.6	1.3	0.1								8.5	5th
6th								0.3	2.8	4.7	1.9	0.2	0.0								9.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.1	4.5	2.7	0.3	0.0									9.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.8	4.4	2.5	0.4	0.0										9.2	8th
9th					0.1	1.4	4.1	3.3	0.4	0.0											9.4	9th
10th				0.2	1.7	3.5	3.2	0.8	0.1												9.5	10th
11th		0.0	0.4	1.6	3.2	2.5	0.6	0.0													8.4	11th
12th	0.2	1.1	1.9	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.1														6.9	12th

Total	0.2	1.2	2.3	3.8	6.2	7.9	10.1	11.0	10.9	11.4	9.7	8.3	6.6	4.9	2.9	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	97.3%	0.8		0.7	0.1
15-3	72.3%	1.2		0.9	0.3	0.0
14-4	41.5%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	16.2%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	4.7%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.7%	4.7		2.6	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		53.9%	6.1%	47.8%	6.8		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0						0.0		50.9%
17-1	0.3%		69.0%	53.3%	15.6%	6.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		33.5%
16-2	0.8%		64.9%	35.5%	29.4%	9.7					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3		45.6%
15-3	1.7%		38.6%	23.9%	14.7%	11.0						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.1		19.3%
14-4	2.9%		26.2%	20.8%	5.3%	11.9									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		2.2		6.7%
13-5	4.9%		14.1%	12.8%	1.3%	12.5										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		4.2		1.5%
12-6	6.6%		10.1%	9.6%	0.5%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	5.9		0.5%
11-7	8.3%		8.2%	8.0%	0.2%	13.7												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	7.6		0.2%
10-8	9.7%		5.1%	5.1%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	9.2
9-9	11.4%		3.8%	3.8%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.9
8-10	10.9%		2.2%	2.2%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	10.6
7-11	11.0%		1.1%	1.1%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	10.8
6-12	10.1%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																0.0	0.0	10.0
5-13	7.9%		0.4%	0.4%		15.6																0.0	0.0	7.9
4-14	6.2%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
3-15	3.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.8
2-16	2.3%																							2.3
1-17	1.2%																							1.2
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.6%	4.8%	0.8%	12.5		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.4	94.4		0.9%