Preseason Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#68
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.4#71
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#58
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#81
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 5.0% 0.7%
Top 4 Seed 4.7% 5.0% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 11.0% 5.0% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.7% 32.1% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.1% 29.4% 8.4%
Average Seed 7.6 7.6 9.3
.500 or above 59.2% 61.5% 25.2%
.500 or above in Conference 38.1% 39.5% 17.6%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 10.7% 25.3%
First Four3.5% 3.6% 1.9%
First Round28.9% 30.2% 9.0%
Second Round16.1% 16.9% 3.9%
Sweet Sixteen6.3% 6.6% 1.6%
Elite Eight2.4% 2.5% 0.5%
Final Four1.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 93.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.3 - 5.61.3 - 5.6
Quad 1b1.8 - 3.33.2 - 8.9
Quad 24.0 - 3.77.2 - 12.6
Quad 34.2 - 1.511.4 - 14.1
Quad 45.3 - 0.316.6 - 14.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 253   Nebraska Omaha W 86-73 94%    
  Nov 12, 2018 87   Utah W 73-71 69%    
  Nov 18, 2018 64   Texas A&M L 75-76 49%    
  Nov 20, 2018 217   Santa Clara W 76-65 84%    
  Nov 21, 2018 42   Washington L 76-78 43%    
  Nov 26, 2018 78   @ Boston College W 78-77 45%    
  Nov 30, 2018 74   Oklahoma St. W 76-75 53%    
  Dec 02, 2018 40   @ Ohio St. L 72-75 31%    
  Dec 05, 2018 35   Nebraska L 73-76 49%    
  Dec 08, 2018 286   Arkansas St. W 85-70 93%    
  Dec 11, 2018 213   North Florida W 92-81 89%    
  Dec 21, 2018 347   N.C. A&T W 88-65 99%    
  Dec 30, 2018 331   Mount St. Mary's W 80-61 97%    
  Jan 03, 2019 22   @ Wisconsin L 67-72 25%    
  Jan 08, 2019 32   Maryland L 73-76 50%    
  Jan 12, 2019 140   Rutgers W 73-67 77%    
  Jan 16, 2019 76   @ Illinois W 79-78 43%    
  Jan 19, 2019 57   Penn St. L 73-74 56%    
  Jan 22, 2019 19   @ Michigan L 68-73 24%    
  Jan 27, 2019 34   Iowa L 80-83 50%    
  Jan 30, 2019 76   Illinois W 79-78 63%    
  Feb 03, 2019 27   @ Purdue L 73-77 28%    
  Feb 06, 2019 22   Wisconsin L 67-72 43%    
  Feb 09, 2019 10   @ Michigan St. L 71-79 19%    
  Feb 13, 2019 35   @ Nebraska L 73-76 30%    
  Feb 16, 2019 25   Indiana L 72-77 45%    
  Feb 21, 2019 19   Michigan L 68-73 43%    
  Feb 24, 2019 140   @ Rutgers W 73-67 58%    
  Feb 28, 2019 62   @ Northwestern L 71-72 38%    
  Mar 05, 2019 27   Purdue L 73-77 45%    
  Mar 08, 2019 32   @ Maryland L 73-76 30%    
Projected Record 16.6 - 14.4 8.5 - 11.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.9 0.9 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.3 1.9 3.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.8 1.8 0.1 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 3.7 3.3 0.8 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.7 1.3 0.1 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 3.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.8 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.2 13th
14th 0.2 1.0 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.4 14th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.3 5.7 7.5 9.3 10.4 11.2 9.9 9.4 8.5 7.0 5.0 3.7 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 99.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 84.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-4 61.3% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 40.7% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 32.5% 67.5% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 29.0% 71.0% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 18.6% 81.4% 2.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 100.0% 16.6% 83.4% 3.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.3% 100.0% 10.9% 89.0% 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.7% 99.1% 7.8% 91.4% 5.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.1%
13-7 5.0% 93.7% 8.0% 85.7% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 93.2%
12-8 7.0% 82.5% 6.5% 76.0% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 81.3%
11-9 8.5% 64.2% 4.5% 59.8% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.0 62.6%
10-10 9.4% 40.3% 4.3% 36.0% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.6 37.6%
9-11 9.9% 18.2% 3.9% 14.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.1 14.9%
8-12 11.2% 5.6% 2.6% 3.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.6 3.1%
7-13 10.4% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.1%
6-14 9.3% 1.4% 1.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.1
5-15 7.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
4-16 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
3-17 4.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.3
2-18 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 30.7% 3.6% 27.1% 7.6 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.8 2.4 3.9 3.3 3.9 3.5 3.6 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 69.3 28.1%