Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#211
Achievement Rating-2.9#204
Pace66.0#262
Improvement+4.4#28

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#159
First Shot-0.2#187
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#126
Layup/Dunks-2.8#284
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#15
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+8.3#2

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#267
First Shot-0.6#190
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#348
Layups/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#138
Freethrows+2.3#39
Improvement-3.9#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.7% 20.3% 15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 98.6% 100.0% 96.1%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 60.3% 75.1% 35.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.4% 5.8% 7.4%
First Round15.9% 17.9% 12.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 62.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 19   @ Villanova L 53-86 4%     0 - 1 -15.2 -9.8 -8.2
  Nov 15, 2018 188   Hartford L 54-68 56%     0 - 2 -18.5 -21.4 +2.2
  Nov 20, 2018 347   @ New Hampshire W 69-63 81%     1 - 2 -6.5 -5.9 -0.6
  Nov 25, 2018 314   Maine W 58-50 80%     2 - 2 -4.1 -12.6 +9.5
  Nov 28, 2018 190   @ Massachusetts L 62-69 35%     2 - 3 -6.1 -14.2 +8.5
  Dec 01, 2018 170   @ Stony Brook L 61-71 30%     2 - 4 -7.6 -7.8 +0.2
  Dec 05, 2018 203   @ Dartmouth W 64-59 37%     3 - 4 +5.3 -11.3 +16.6
  Dec 08, 2018 295   Lafayette W 88-77 76%     4 - 4 +0.7 +7.3 -6.7
  Dec 16, 2018 243   Drexel L 83-92 57%     4 - 5 -13.9 +0.5 -14.0
  Dec 19, 2018 303   Bethune-Cookman W 87-63 77%     5 - 5 +13.0 +14.8 -0.7
  Dec 22, 2018 170   Stony Brook L 73-76 50%     5 - 6 -6.1 +2.2 -8.4
  Jan 03, 2019 308   @ Manhattan W 63-59 60%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -1.7 +0.8 -2.0
  Jan 05, 2019 195   @ Rider L 67-72 36%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -4.3 -9.1 +5.1
  Jan 10, 2019 271   Monmouth W 89-83 72%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -3.0 -0.2 -3.9
  Jan 13, 2019 286   Fairfield W 80-78 74%     8 - 7 3 - 1 -7.8 +7.6 -15.3
  Jan 17, 2019 247   Canisius L 63-65 68%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -9.9 -6.7 -3.4
  Jan 19, 2019 299   Niagara L 72-75 77%     8 - 9 3 - 3 -13.6 -1.1 -12.8
  Jan 25, 2019 235   @ Marist W 92-78 45%     9 - 9 4 - 3 +12.3 +21.9 -8.9
  Jan 27, 2019 310   St. Peter's W 77-58 79%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +7.5 +9.3 +0.0
  Feb 01, 2019 247   @ Canisius L 70-75 47%     10 - 10 5 - 4 -7.3 -1.8 -5.8
  Feb 03, 2019 299   @ Niagara W 84-73 58%     11 - 10 6 - 4 +5.9 +12.7 -5.9
  Feb 08, 2019 222   @ Iona W 66-65 41%     12 - 10 7 - 4 +0.3 -5.1 +5.4
  Feb 12, 2019 195   Rider W 98-88 57%     13 - 10 8 - 4 +5.2 +4.1 -0.8
  Feb 15, 2019 235   Marist L 61-63 66%     13 - 11 8 - 5 -9.2 -5.6 -4.0
  Feb 17, 2019 251   @ Siena W 107-100 48%     14 - 11 9 - 5 +4.4 +15.0 -11.8
  Feb 19, 2019 222   Iona W 79-76 63%    
  Feb 24, 2019 271   @ Monmouth W 68-67 51%    
  Mar 01, 2019 310   @ St. Peter's W 66-63 60%    
  Mar 03, 2019 308   Manhattan W 67-59 79%    
Projected Record 16.5 - 12.5 11.5 - 6.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 10.0 33.7 16.6 60.3 1st
2nd 0.6 16.3 2.8 19.6 2nd
3rd 3.3 5.4 8.7 3rd
4th 0.0 5.7 0.3 6.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.9 3.2 5th
6th 1.0 0.4 1.4 6th
7th 0.6 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 2.0 13.0 32.0 36.4 16.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 16.6    15.2 1.4
12-6 92.4% 33.7    13.9 15.5 4.1 0.3
11-7 31.2% 10.0    0.1 1.0 3.2 3.8 1.7 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 60.3% 60.3 29.2 17.9 7.2 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 16.6% 24.1% 24.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 2.4 1.4 12.6
12-6 36.4% 20.6% 20.6% 15.8 0.0 1.4 6.1 28.9
11-7 32.0% 16.9% 16.9% 15.9 0.4 5.0 26.6
10-8 13.0% 12.3% 12.3% 16.0 0.1 1.5 11.4
9-9 2.0% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 4.3 14.2 81.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.0% 100.0% 15.3 0.0 3.8 60.0 36.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.6%
Lose Out 0.8%