Temple
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#78
Achievement Rating+14.1#36
Pace67.8#234
Improvement+0.7#121

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#116
First Shot+1.4#137
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#123
Layup/Dunks+7.4#9
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#282
Freethrows-3.0#310
Improvement+0.1#164

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#58
First Shot+2.7#92
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#55
Layups/Dunks-0.8#213
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
Freethrows+2.8#41
Improvement+0.6#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 1.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.1% 38.6% 21.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.1% 33.6% 17.0%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.8
.500 or above 97.1% 98.4% 92.3%
.500 or above in Conference 76.3% 78.6% 67.1%
Conference Champion 8.5% 9.3% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four6.6% 7.0% 5.3%
First Round31.1% 34.4% 18.2%
Second Round11.9% 13.5% 6.1%
Sweet Sixteen2.9% 3.4% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 79.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 260   La Salle W 75-67 92%     1 - 0 -0.6 -8.4 +7.3
  Nov 09, 2018 297   Detroit Mercy W 83-67 94%     2 - 0 +5.5 +2.7 +2.7
  Nov 13, 2018 108   Georgia W 81-77 69%     3 - 0 +5.6 +1.3 +3.8
  Nov 16, 2018 299   Loyola Maryland W 81-67 94%     4 - 0 +3.4 -2.0 +5.0
  Nov 19, 2018 92   Virginia Commonwealth L 51-57 54%     4 - 1 -0.2 -10.2 +9.7
  Nov 20, 2018 192   California W 76-59 80%     5 - 1 +15.1 +4.4 +11.6
  Nov 27, 2018 85   @ Missouri W 79-77 41%     6 - 1 +11.2 +18.1 -6.7
  Dec 01, 2018 103   @ Saint Joseph's W 77-70 46%     7 - 1 +14.9 +3.5 +11.2
  Dec 05, 2018 21   @ Villanova L 59-69 19%     7 - 2 +6.1 +0.9 +3.7
  Dec 12, 2018 136   Massachusetts W 65-63 76%     8 - 2 +1.2 -11.9 +13.0
  Dec 15, 2018 88   Davidson W 77-75 53%     9 - 2 +8.1 +2.8 +5.2
  Dec 22, 2018 249   @ Drexel W 79-70 80%    
  Jan 02, 2019 42   @ Central Florida L 61-68 28%    
  Jan 06, 2019 117   @ Wichita St. L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 09, 2019 31   Houston L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 12, 2019 180   South Florida W 71-60 84%    
  Jan 16, 2019 263   @ East Carolina W 74-64 81%    
  Jan 19, 2019 94   Penn W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 24, 2019 114   Memphis W 79-73 69%    
  Jan 27, 2019 29   Cincinnati L 62-65 41%    
  Jan 31, 2019 31   @ Houston L 61-69 22%    
  Feb 02, 2019 216   @ Tulane W 74-67 74%    
  Feb 06, 2019 84   Connecticut W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 09, 2019 123   @ Tulsa W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 13, 2019 101   SMU W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 16, 2019 180   @ South Florida W 68-63 68%    
  Feb 23, 2019 123   Tulsa W 72-66 72%    
  Feb 26, 2019 114   @ Memphis L 76-77 48%    
  Mar 03, 2019 216   Tulane W 77-64 87%    
  Mar 07, 2019 84   @ Connecticut L 73-75 41%    
  Mar 09, 2019 42   Central Florida L 64-65 48%    
Projected Record 20.8 - 10.2 10.4 - 7.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 8.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.7 3.1 0.7 0.1 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.0 6.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.5 3.8 7.2 3.2 0.4 15.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.8 3.2 0.4 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.1 3.6 0.4 10.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.3 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.9 3.1 0.7 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 5.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.9 6.7 9.9 12.3 15.3 15.1 12.6 9.5 6.5 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 95.6% 1.3    1.1 0.2
15-3 77.0% 2.5    1.6 0.8 0.0
14-4 44.8% 2.9    1.1 1.4 0.4 0.0
13-5 13.4% 1.3    0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.5% 8.5 4.4 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 24.3% 75.7% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.4% 98.5% 21.5% 77.0% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
15-3 3.2% 93.5% 19.3% 74.2% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 91.9%
14-4 6.5% 83.9% 15.9% 68.0% 8.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 80.9%
13-5 9.5% 73.1% 14.9% 58.2% 9.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.1 0.3 2.6 68.4%
12-6 12.6% 56.1% 10.6% 45.4% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.5 50.8%
11-7 15.1% 37.9% 6.3% 31.6% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.4 33.7%
10-8 15.3% 22.1% 4.5% 17.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 11.9 18.4%
9-9 12.3% 11.1% 2.8% 8.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 11.0 8.6%
8-10 9.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 12.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.6 0.9%
7-11 6.7% 1.5% 1.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.6
6-12 3.9% 1.5% 1.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
5-13 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 0.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.8
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 35.1% 7.2% 28.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.9 3.1 4.1 5.6 7.0 7.1 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 64.9 30.1%