Temple
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#70
Achievement Rating+11.1#46
Pace70.9#129
Improvement+0.3#173

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#89
First Shot+2.4#113
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#112
Layup/Dunks+3.8#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement+1.5#106

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#71
First Shot+4.3#49
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#241
Layups/Dunks-0.8#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#73
Freethrows+2.2#46
Improvement-1.1#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.5% 40.3% 19.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.0% 35.8% 15.4%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four18.9% 22.4% 11.7%
First Round22.3% 27.0% 12.5%
Second Round6.0% 7.4% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Home) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 198   La Salle W 75-67 87%     1 - 0 +3.0 -3.8 +6.3
  Nov 09, 2018 260   Detroit Mercy W 83-67 92%     2 - 0 +7.6 +3.5 +4.1
  Nov 13, 2018 113   Georgia W 81-77 71%     3 - 0 +5.3 -1.1 +6.0
  Nov 16, 2018 281   Loyola Maryland W 81-67 93%     4 - 0 +4.5 -0.2 +4.2
  Nov 19, 2018 47   Virginia Commonwealth L 51-57 41%     4 - 1 +3.4 -9.3 +12.3
  Nov 20, 2018 257   California W 76-59 88%     5 - 1 +11.4 +2.0 +10.5
  Nov 27, 2018 89   @ Missouri W 79-77 44%     6 - 1 +10.6 +19.0 -8.2
  Dec 01, 2018 182   @ Saint Joseph's W 77-70 71%     7 - 1 +8.4 +1.4 +6.8
  Dec 05, 2018 19   @ Villanova L 59-69 16%     7 - 2 +7.8 +1.3 +4.8
  Dec 12, 2018 190   Massachusetts W 65-63 86%     8 - 2 -2.6 -13.2 +10.5
  Dec 15, 2018 79   Davidson W 77-75 53%     9 - 2 +8.3 +4.6 +3.6
  Dec 22, 2018 243   @ Drexel W 82-64 81%     10 - 2 +15.9 +1.0 +14.1
  Jan 02, 2019 52   @ Central Florida L 73-78 32%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +6.9 +9.1 -2.3
  Jan 06, 2019 112   @ Wichita St. W 85-81 51%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +10.9 +5.8 +4.5
  Jan 09, 2019 20   Houston W 73-69 31%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +16.2 +7.9 +8.3
  Jan 12, 2019 118   South Florida W 82-80 72%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +3.0 +0.7 +2.0
  Jan 16, 2019 267   @ East Carolina W 85-74 83%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +7.8 +8.1 -1.0
  Jan 19, 2019 132   Penn L 70-77 75%     14 - 4 -7.2 -1.0 -6.3
  Jan 24, 2019 76   Memphis W 85-76 63%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +12.7 +0.8 +10.5
  Jan 27, 2019 31   Cincinnati L 68-72 40%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +5.5 +3.2 +2.2
  Jan 31, 2019 20   @ Houston L 66-73 16%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +10.7 +2.1 +8.8
  Feb 02, 2019 290   @ Tulane W 75-67 86%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +3.5 +2.8 +0.7
  Feb 06, 2019 83   Connecticut W 81-63 64%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +21.3 +16.5 +6.4
  Feb 09, 2019 96   @ Tulsa L 58-76 47%     17 - 7 7 - 4 -10.2 -10.5 +0.5
  Feb 13, 2019 104   SMU W 82-74 69%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +9.9 +10.2 +0.1
  Feb 16, 2019 118   @ South Florida W 70-69 52%     19 - 7 9 - 4 +7.6 -1.1 +8.6
  Feb 23, 2019 96   Tulsa W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 26, 2019 76   @ Memphis L 79-81 41%    
  Mar 03, 2019 290   Tulane W 80-63 95%    
  Mar 07, 2019 83   @ Connecticut L 74-76 43%    
  Mar 09, 2019 52   Central Florida W 69-68 53%    
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 2.5 8.8 4.7 16.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 7.6 26.1 16.0 2.1 51.9 3rd
4th 0.0 3.0 16.0 7.3 0.3 26.5 4th
5th 0.1 3.7 0.9 4.7 5th
6th 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.4 7.2 24.5 35.9 25.0 6.9 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 6.9% 77.2% 9.2% 68.0% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 1.6 74.9%
13-5 25.0% 53.0% 8.2% 44.8% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.1 3.8 0.8 0.0 11.8 48.8%
12-6 35.9% 31.1% 6.7% 24.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.0 4.2 1.1 0.1 24.8 26.2%
11-7 24.5% 13.8% 4.3% 9.4% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 21.1 9.9%
10-8 7.2% 5.1% 2.8% 2.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.9 2.4%
9-9 0.4% 2.7% 2.2% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 33.5% 6.4% 27.2% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 5.7 12.2 10.3 2.6 0.1 66.5 29.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 8.1 1.3 11.1 22.8 27.7 19.7 12.4 5.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1% 89.2% 10.2 1.2 6.2 15.7 30.3 26.9 7.8 1.0 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.7% 78.3% 10.7 0.2 1.8 6.9 21.6 30.7 14.9 2.1 0.2
Lose Out 0.2%