Maine
America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#314
Achievement Rating-13.3#329
Pace62.7#326
Improvement+5.1#18

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#318
First Shot-3.8#286
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#324
Layup/Dunks+2.2#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#228
Freethrows-3.1#333
Improvement+5.4#12

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#256
First Shot-3.5#280
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#155
Layups/Dunks+0.6#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#309
Freethrows-1.3#261
Improvement-0.3#201
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.8% 3.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.3% 3.3%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 297   @ Denver L 50-63 34%     0 - 1 -18.0 -21.5 +1.8
  Nov 08, 2018 95   @ Utah L 61-75 6%     0 - 2 -6.1 -9.2 +2.4
  Nov 10, 2018 61   @ San Francisco L 50-93 4%     0 - 3 -32.5 -13.6 -22.5
  Nov 17, 2018 32   @ North Carolina St. L 63-82 2%     0 - 4 -4.4 -3.6 -0.8
  Nov 20, 2018 138   @ North Texas L 63-74 10%     0 - 5 -6.3 +2.0 -9.7
  Nov 25, 2018 211   @ Quinnipiac L 50-58 20%     0 - 6 -8.3 -19.1 +9.9
  Nov 28, 2018 164   Princeton L 59-73 27%     0 - 7 -16.9 -7.6 -10.5
  Dec 01, 2018 310   @ St. Peter's L 59-63 37%     0 - 8 -10.0 -12.3 +2.2
  Dec 04, 2018 226   Fordham W 75-68 40%     1 - 8 +0.3 -4.2 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2018 203   @ Dartmouth L 52-78 18%     1 - 9 -25.7 -17.6 -10.9
  Dec 16, 2018 152   @ Duquesne L 46-72 12%     1 - 10 -22.6 -23.4 +0.1
  Dec 22, 2018 305   Central Connecticut St. L 90-93 57%     1 - 11 -14.1 -6.4 -7.1
  Dec 29, 2018 90   @ Rutgers L 55-70 6%     1 - 12 -6.7 -0.6 -8.9
  Jan 02, 2019 154   @ Brown L 67-75 12%     1 - 13 -4.7 -0.5 -4.2
  Jan 05, 2019 219   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 52-61 20%     1 - 14 0 - 1 -9.6 -11.4 +0.8
  Jan 09, 2019 81   Vermont L 49-73 12%     1 - 15 0 - 2 -20.6 -17.3 -5.9
  Jan 12, 2019 293   @ Albany W 66-62 32%     2 - 15 1 - 2 -0.6 -1.4 +1.2
  Jan 16, 2019 188   Hartford L 76-77 32%     2 - 16 1 - 3 -5.5 -0.2 -5.3
  Jan 19, 2019 170   Stony Brook L 61-64 27%     2 - 17 1 - 4 -6.1 -11.4 +5.3
  Jan 26, 2019 336   @ Binghamton L 66-78 51%     2 - 18 1 - 5 -21.7 -6.5 -15.9
  Jan 30, 2019 236   @ Umass Lowell W 78-59 24%     3 - 18 2 - 5 +17.2 +4.6 +13.4
  Feb 03, 2019 347   New Hampshire W 62-53 80%     4 - 18 3 - 5 -9.0 -10.3 +1.9
  Feb 06, 2019 81   @ Vermont L 63-86 5%     4 - 19 3 - 6 -14.1 -2.1 -13.3
  Feb 10, 2019 219   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-67 38%     4 - 20 3 - 7 -7.1 -1.5 -5.7
  Feb 13, 2019 188   @ Hartford L 73-81 17%     4 - 21 3 - 8 -7.0 +6.1 -13.9
  Feb 17, 2019 293   Albany W 64-63 54%    
  Feb 23, 2019 170   @ Stony Brook L 58-70 13%    
  Feb 27, 2019 236   Umass Lowell L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 02, 2019 336   Binghamton W 67-61 71%    
  Mar 05, 2019 347   @ New Hampshire W 62-59 61%    
Projected Record 6.4 - 23.6 5.4 - 10.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.3 4th
5th 1.0 6.9 1.5 9.4 5th
6th 0.2 10.8 24.6 7.0 0.1 42.7 6th
7th 9.3 21.0 6.0 0.1 36.5 7th
8th 2.9 6.8 1.1 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.2 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 3.1 16.3 32.9 31.7 14.2 1.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
7-9 14.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-10 31.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 31.5
5-11 32.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 32.8
4-12 16.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.2
3-13 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 3.0%