Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#222
Achievement Rating-6.5#262
Pace77.1#30
Improvement+2.3#81

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#167
First Shot+2.6#100
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#318
Layup/Dunks+2.4#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#97
Freethrows+0.7#129
Improvement-1.5#252

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#278
First Shot-3.0#266
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#264
Layups/Dunks+0.8#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#326
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement+3.8#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.8% 17.3% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 7.1% 14.6% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 93.2% 100.0% 89.1%
Conference Champion 11.7% 28.2% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.6% 9.6% 9.6%
First Round9.9% 13.3% 7.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 37.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 293   Albany W 72-68 74%     1 - 0 -6.2 -7.2 +0.9
  Nov 13, 2018 155   @ New Mexico L 83-90 26%     1 - 1 -3.7 -0.1 -2.6
  Nov 19, 2018 221   Long Beach St. L 85-86 50%     1 - 2 -4.4 -0.6 -3.7
  Nov 21, 2018 188   Hartford W 80-75 43%     2 - 2 +3.3 +2.6 +0.6
  Nov 24, 2018 80   @ Providence L 79-91 12%     2 - 3 -3.0 +9.1 -11.5
  Nov 27, 2018 209   @ Ohio L 65-89 37%     2 - 4 -24.1 -12.4 -8.6
  Dec 01, 2018 47   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 59-88 8%     2 - 5 -16.9 -6.8 -8.1
  Dec 09, 2018 237   Columbia L 71-74 54%     2 - 6 -7.6 -6.1 -1.4
  Dec 15, 2018 164   Princeton L 81-85 37%     2 - 7 -4.2 +8.4 -12.5
  Dec 22, 2018 88   @ Yale L 84-99 13%     2 - 8 -6.4 +5.3 -9.9
  Dec 30, 2018 234   Holy Cross L 71-78 64%     2 - 9 -14.2 +0.3 -15.1
  Jan 03, 2019 271   Monmouth W 103-84 70%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +10.0 +22.9 -14.1
  Jan 05, 2019 286   Fairfield W 94-87 73%     4 - 9 2 - 0 -2.8 +8.5 -12.0
  Jan 11, 2019 299   @ Niagara L 90-95 56%     4 - 10 2 - 1 -10.1 +1.0 -10.5
  Jan 13, 2019 247   @ Canisius W 88-70 46%     5 - 10 3 - 1 +15.7 +7.9 +6.7
  Jan 18, 2019 235   Marist W 90-77 64%     6 - 10 4 - 1 +5.8 +14.3 -8.2
  Jan 20, 2019 271   @ Monmouth L 81-83 50%     6 - 11 4 - 2 -5.5 +4.6 -9.9
  Jan 25, 2019 195   Rider W 77-71 55%     7 - 11 5 - 2 +1.2 -3.7 +4.4
  Jan 27, 2019 286   @ Fairfield L 68-80 53%     7 - 12 5 - 3 -16.3 -8.2 -7.5
  Jan 31, 2019 235   @ Marist L 74-78 43%     7 - 13 5 - 4 -5.7 -2.0 -3.7
  Feb 02, 2019 251   Siena L 54-56 67%     7 - 14 5 - 5 -10.1 -10.7 +0.1
  Feb 08, 2019 211   Quinnipiac L 65-66 59%     7 - 15 5 - 6 -6.8 -8.5 +1.7
  Feb 10, 2019 299   Niagara W 79-76 75%     8 - 15 6 - 6 -7.6 -4.8 -3.0
  Feb 13, 2019 251   @ Siena W 57-52 47%     9 - 15 7 - 6 +2.4 -9.3 +12.3
  Feb 15, 2019 310   St. Peter's W 62-46 78%     10 - 15 8 - 6 +4.5 -2.9 +10.0
  Feb 19, 2019 211   @ Quinnipiac L 76-79 37%    
  Feb 22, 2019 308   @ Manhattan W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 24, 2019 247   Canisius W 81-77 67%    
  Mar 01, 2019 195   @ Rider L 81-85 34%    
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 10.0 - 8.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 6.0 5.7 11.7 1st
2nd 1.0 12.6 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 7.7 5.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.5 16.1 0.3 16.8 4th
5th 0.0 4.7 10.9 15.6 5th
6th 0.5 13.4 1.8 15.7 6th
7th 2.7 6.7 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 3.6 0.9 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 6.8 26.1 37.5 23.8 5.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 5.7    2.4 2.8 0.5
11-7 25.2% 6.0    0.0 0.5 1.7 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.7% 11.7 2.4 3.3 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 5.7% 24.3% 24.3% 15.6 0.0 0.6 0.8 4.3
11-7 23.8% 20.2% 20.2% 15.9 0.3 4.5 19.0
10-8 37.5% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 0.1 4.9 32.5
9-9 26.1% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2 23.9
8-10 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.5 6.4
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.9 12.9 86.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 15.6 1.2 42.6 56.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%
Lose Out 2.8%