Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#207
Achievement Rating-1.4#189
Pace62.8#332
Improvement+2.8#25

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#207
First Shot+3.0#92
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#348
Layup/Dunks-3.4#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#46
Freethrows-1.4#248
Improvement-0.5#207

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#219
First Shot-3.2#272
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#81
Layups/Dunks+5.6#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#330
Freethrows-1.4#260
Improvement+3.3#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 13.6% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 66.6% 81.0% 60.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.5% 78.6% 68.4%
Conference Champion 12.4% 16.3% 10.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 2.5% 4.8%
First Four2.4% 2.0% 2.6%
First Round9.8% 12.8% 8.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 31.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 276   @ Army L 69-73 53%     0 - 1 -7.4 +0.5 -8.2
  Nov 10, 2018 264   Columbia W 82-76 72%     1 - 1 -2.9 +0.9 -3.8
  Nov 13, 2018 148   @ Lehigh L 72-78 26%     1 - 2 -2.2 -0.5 -1.7
  Nov 20, 2018 159   @ Stephen F. Austin L 60-64 29%     1 - 3 -0.9 -5.9 +4.7
  Nov 24, 2018 23   @ Buffalo L 49-76 5%     1 - 4 -11.0 -13.4 +0.3
  Nov 29, 2018 247   Dartmouth W 76-58 59%     2 - 4 +12.9 +4.0 +10.2
  Nov 30, 2018 244   LIU Brooklyn W 70-53 59%     3 - 4 +12.0 -3.5 +16.1
  Dec 08, 2018 338   @ Stetson W 79-75 75%     4 - 4 -5.6 +1.4 -7.0
  Dec 15, 2018 168   @ Colgate L 65-70 31%    
  Dec 19, 2018 343   @ New Hampshire W 69-61 79%    
  Dec 22, 2018 176   Brown W 69-68 55%    
  Dec 29, 2018 216   @ Hartford L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 03, 2019 226   Canisius W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 08, 2019 310   Manhattan W 64-55 79%    
  Jan 11, 2019 269   Siena W 68-62 72%    
  Jan 13, 2019 265   @ St. Peter's W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 18, 2019 198   @ Iona L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 21, 2019 310   @ Manhattan W 61-58 61%    
  Jan 25, 2019 249   Quinnipiac W 68-63 69%    
  Jan 27, 2019 125   @ Rider L 71-80 21%    
  Jan 31, 2019 198   Iona W 74-72 59%    
  Feb 02, 2019 256   Fairfield W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 04, 2019 226   @ Canisius L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 08, 2019 241   Niagara W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 15, 2019 249   @ Quinnipiac L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 17, 2019 304   @ Monmouth W 67-65 59%    
  Feb 22, 2019 265   St. Peter's W 66-60 71%    
  Feb 24, 2019 269   @ Siena W 66-65 51%    
  Mar 01, 2019 256   @ Fairfield L 70-71 49%    
  Mar 03, 2019 125   Rider L 74-77 40%    
Projected Record 16.2 - 13.8 10.1 - 7.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.7 3.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 12.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.7 5.2 2.4 0.6 0.1 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.0 6.3 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 6.0 3.6 0.6 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.2 3.6 0.5 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.9 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.4 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 5.1 7.6 10.4 12.3 13.6 13.3 11.6 9.1 6.2 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 95.4% 1.5    1.4 0.2
15-3 81.8% 2.8    2.1 0.6 0.0 0.0
14-4 58.6% 3.6    2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 29.9% 2.7    1.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.3% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.4% 12.4 7.3 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 44.3% 44.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 38.7% 38.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.6% 35.1% 35.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.4% 30.0% 30.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.4
14-4 6.2% 24.8% 24.8% 14.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 4.6
13-5 9.1% 19.1% 19.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 7.4
12-6 11.6% 15.9% 15.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 9.7
11-7 13.3% 12.2% 12.2% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.7
10-8 13.6% 7.9% 7.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 12.5
9-9 12.3% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.1 0.6 11.6
8-10 10.4% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.1
7-11 7.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.5
6-12 5.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 5.0
5-13 3.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-14 1.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.0 5.1 89.1 0.0%