Vermont
America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#109
Achievement Rating+9.2#76
Pace62.4#336
Improvement-0.4#210

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#65
First Shot+5.3#44
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#223
Layup/Dunks-5.1#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#9
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement-2.1#323

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#160
First Shot+0.4#162
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#189
Layups/Dunks+0.7#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#122
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement+1.7#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 51.8% 54.6% 48.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.1 12.8 13.7
.500 or above 99.8% 99.9% 99.6%
.500 or above in Conference 99.5% 99.7% 99.3%
Conference Champion 70.7% 73.8% 66.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round51.6% 54.3% 48.0%
Second Round8.7% 10.1% 6.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.2% 2.5% 1.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 186   @ Boston University W 78-72 62%     1 - 0 +7.5 +8.9 -1.2
  Nov 12, 2018 4   @ Kansas L 68-84 6%     1 - 1 +5.7 +3.2 +3.0
  Nov 16, 2018 32   @ Louisville L 78-86 16%     1 - 2 +7.2 +15.7 -8.9
  Nov 21, 2018 101   Yale W 79-70 60%     2 - 2 +11.1 +10.1 +1.3
  Nov 25, 2018 160   Bucknell L 61-69 76%     2 - 3 -11.0 -11.3 +0.1
  Nov 28, 2018 279   @ George Washington W 69-53 78%     3 - 3 +12.4 +7.0 +8.2
  Nov 30, 2018 282   @ Towson W 70-64 79%     4 - 3 +2.2 +4.8 -1.9
  Dec 03, 2018 170   @ George Mason W 72-67 58%     5 - 3 +7.5 +1.1 +6.4
  Dec 08, 2018 93   Harvard W 71-65 58%     6 - 3 +8.6 +3.5 +5.3
  Dec 16, 2018 86   Northeastern W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 18, 2018 152   St. Bonaventure W 70-63 74%    
  Dec 21, 2018 71   @ Lipscomb L 73-78 31%    
  Jan 02, 2019 237   Dartmouth W 78-66 87%    
  Jan 05, 2019 265   @ Albany W 71-64 75%    
  Jan 09, 2019 330   @ Maine W 69-56 88%    
  Jan 12, 2019 217   Hartford W 76-65 84%    
  Jan 16, 2019 341   @ New Hampshire W 74-59 91%    
  Jan 19, 2019 326   Binghamton W 77-59 95%    
  Jan 23, 2019 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-62 83%    
  Jan 26, 2019 165   @ Stony Brook W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 02, 2019 275   @ Umass Lowell W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 06, 2019 330   Maine W 72-53 96%    
  Feb 09, 2019 265   Albany W 74-61 89%    
  Feb 13, 2019 341   New Hampshire W 77-56 97%    
  Feb 16, 2019 217   @ Hartford W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 21, 2019 211   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 23, 2019 326   @ Binghamton W 74-62 86%    
  Mar 02, 2019 165   Stony Brook W 74-66 76%    
  Mar 05, 2019 275   Umass Lowell W 83-69 89%    
Projected Record 21.6 - 7.4 13.1 - 2.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 7.1 15.8 21.2 17.5 7.6 70.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.9 7.1 4.2 0.9 18.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.6 2.6 0.8 0.1 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.9 9.2 15.0 20.1 22.0 17.5 7.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 7.6    7.6
15-1 100.0% 17.5    17.2 0.3
14-2 96.1% 21.2    18.6 2.6 0.0
13-3 78.7% 15.8    10.6 4.9 0.4
12-4 47.2% 7.1    2.9 3.2 0.9 0.1
11-5 15.5% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 70.7% 70.7 57.1 11.6 1.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 7.6% 72.4% 70.2% 2.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 7.2%
15-1 17.5% 64.9% 64.1% 0.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 4.0 1.2 0.1 6.1 2.2%
14-2 22.0% 58.3% 58.1% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.2 0.4%
13-3 20.1% 50.8% 50.8% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 4.2 1.1 0.0 9.9 0.1%
12-4 15.0% 43.0% 43.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 1.6 0.1 8.5
11-5 9.2% 35.7% 35.7% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.3 0.1 5.9
10-6 4.9% 27.8% 27.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 3.5
9-7 2.3% 24.1% 24.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.8
8-8 0.9% 19.1% 19.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
7-9 0.3% 13.1% 13.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3
6-10 0.1% 15.3% 15.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
5-11 0.0% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0
4-12 0.0% 0.0
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 51.8% 51.4% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 3.5 11.0 16.2 13.8 5.8 0.7 48.2 0.7%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 10.7 0.2 0.3 1.3 4.5 5.2 20.1 45.7 21.7 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 23.0% 11.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 8.7 10.0 0.9 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 14.1% 11.4 1.7 6.8 4.0 1.7