DePaul
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#98
Achievement Rating+5.8#97
Pace72.4#92
Improvement+0.7#160

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#63
First Shot+3.0#86
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#95
Layup/Dunks+2.8#80
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#275
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement+1.7#101

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#137
First Shot+0.5#152
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#114
Layups/Dunks+2.1#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#319
Freethrows+2.5#30
Improvement-1.0#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.3% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.6 11.4 12.3
.500 or above 66.0% 86.7% 48.6%
.500 or above in Conference 9.2% 18.0% 1.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.2% 7.4% 34.6%
First Four0.6% 1.2% 0.1%
First Round1.6% 2.6% 0.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 45.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 303   Bethune-Cookman W 80-58 92%     1 - 0 +11.0 +14.1 -0.3
  Nov 12, 2018 334   Morgan St. W 91-63 96%     2 - 0 +12.9 +11.1 +1.3
  Nov 15, 2018 57   Penn St. W 72-70 49%     3 - 0 +7.3 -3.1 +10.2
  Nov 24, 2018 65   @ Notre Dame L 70-95 32%     3 - 1 -15.0 -2.3 -11.3
  Nov 28, 2018 306   Cleveland St. W 83-73 93%     4 - 1 -1.2 +0.1 -1.7
  Dec 03, 2018 325   Florida A&M W 65-50 95%     5 - 1 +1.5 -4.1 +7.1
  Dec 08, 2018 63   @ Northwestern L 68-75 31%     5 - 2 +3.1 +4.4 -1.3
  Dec 12, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 104-70 99%     6 - 2 +11.3 +9.5 -1.7
  Dec 14, 2018 196   Illinois-Chicago W 90-70 82%     7 - 2 +15.1 +5.7 +7.2
  Dec 19, 2018 339   Incarnate Word W 81-71 97%     8 - 2 -6.3 +0.6 -6.5
  Dec 22, 2018 97   Boston College L 62-65 61%     8 - 3 -0.7 -13.7 +13.2
  Dec 29, 2018 82   Xavier L 65-74 57%     8 - 4 0 - 1 -5.7 -4.7 -1.5
  Jan 02, 2019 19   @ Villanova L 68-73 12%     8 - 5 0 - 2 +12.8 +5.8 +6.6
  Jan 06, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 75-74 44%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +7.5 +2.8 +4.7
  Jan 12, 2019 42   @ St. John's W 79-71 22%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +21.3 +9.6 +11.3
  Jan 16, 2019 46   Butler L 69-87 44%     10 - 6 2 - 3 -11.3 -1.0 -10.6
  Jan 19, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall W 97-93 25%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +16.0 +24.3 -8.5
  Jan 23, 2019 24   @ Marquette L 69-79 14%     11 - 7 3 - 4 +6.4 -2.6 +9.8
  Jan 27, 2019 80   @ Providence L 67-70 35%     11 - 8 3 - 5 +6.0 +2.0 +4.0
  Jan 30, 2019 19   Villanova L 74-86 25%     11 - 9 3 - 6 +0.2 +12.1 -13.2
  Feb 02, 2019 80   Providence W 67-55 56%     12 - 9 4 - 6 +15.5 -2.3 +17.6
  Feb 09, 2019 82   @ Xavier W 74-62 36%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +20.8 +4.7 +16.2
  Feb 12, 2019 24   Marquette L 73-92 29%     13 - 10 5 - 7 -8.1 +6.4 -15.1
  Feb 16, 2019 46   @ Butler L 78-91 25%     13 - 11 5 - 8 -0.8 +15.5 -17.2
  Feb 20, 2019 51   Creighton L 78-79 46%    
  Feb 27, 2019 68   @ Georgetown L 79-84 32%    
  Mar 03, 2019 42   St. John's L 76-79 41%    
  Mar 06, 2019 68   Georgetown W 82-81 54%    
  Mar 09, 2019 51   @ Creighton L 75-82 25%    
Projected Record 15.0 - 14.0 7.0 - 11.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 0.9 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 2.9 4.2 0.4 7.5 4th
5th 1.2 10.3 2.1 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 10.1 8.0 0.3 0.0 18.4 6th
7th 2.6 16.7 0.8 20.1 7th
8th 0.7 11.6 4.6 0.0 16.9 8th
9th 4.0 10.5 0.3 14.8 9th
10th 4.5 1.9 0.0 6.4 10th
Total 9.1 26.5 33.0 22.1 7.9 1.3 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 1.3% 28.5% 4.0% 24.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 25.6%
9-9 7.9% 9.0% 3.0% 6.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.2 6.2%
8-10 22.1% 2.2% 2.1% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 21.7 0.2%
7-11 33.0% 0.9% 0.9% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 32.7
6-12 26.5% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 26.4
5-13 9.1% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.0% 1.2% 0.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 98.0 0.9%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 8.9 9.6 30.8 26.9 23.1 9.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 64.0% 10.6 7.2 23.4 21.6 9.0 2.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4% 38.3% 11.1 2.4 6.4 15.2 12.5 1.9
Lose Out 5.9%