Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#153
Achievement Rating+2.6#137
Pace72.2#97
Improvement+0.8#145

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#185
First Shot-0.6#198
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#150
Layup/Dunks-2.2#255
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#109
Freethrows+0.5#137
Improvement+0.9#141

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#147
First Shot+2.8#86
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#327
Layups/Dunks+0.2#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#47
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement-0.1#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.9% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 93.1% 100.0% 89.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.2% 2.9% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 31.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 207   William & Mary W 84-70 72%     1 - 0 +8.6 +8.7 +0.2
  Nov 12, 2018 197   Illinois-Chicago W 89-88 70%     2 - 0 -3.8 +5.1 -9.0
  Nov 17, 2018 137   Radford W 69-64 54%     3 - 0 +4.5 -6.0 +10.6
  Nov 20, 2018 65   @ Notre Dame L 56-67 19%     3 - 1 -1.1 -6.1 +3.8
  Nov 25, 2018 240   Umass Lowell W 83-71 78%     4 - 1 +4.7 -4.9 +8.4
  Nov 30, 2018 91   Pittsburgh L 53-74 32%     4 - 2 -15.6 -16.1 +0.8
  Dec 05, 2018 202   Marshall W 93-82 71%     5 - 2 +5.9 +5.6 -1.0
  Dec 09, 2018 299   Longwood W 80-71 85%     6 - 2 -1.7 +1.9 -3.8
  Dec 13, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-57 98%     7 - 2 -8.3 -7.2 -0.4
  Dec 16, 2018 316   Maine W 72-46 88%     8 - 2 +13.9 -3.4 +18.0
  Dec 19, 2018 57   Penn St. L 67-73 33%     8 - 3 -0.7 -2.1 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2018 263   Eastern Kentucky W 85-84 81%     9 - 3 -7.6 -11.8 +3.9
  Dec 31, 2018 194   NJIT L 67-78 70%     9 - 4 -15.7 -8.1 -7.2
  Jan 05, 2019 80   @ Davidson L 61-65 21%     9 - 5 0 - 1 +5.0 -0.9 +5.5
  Jan 09, 2019 236   Fordham W 66-61 77%     10 - 5 1 - 1 -2.2 -4.6 +2.8
  Jan 12, 2019 184   Saint Joseph's W 85-84 67%     11 - 5 2 - 1 -3.0 +3.4 -6.4
  Jan 16, 2019 179   @ Richmond W 74-68 46%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +7.7 +1.7 +6.1
  Jan 20, 2019 255   @ George Washington W 91-85 63%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +3.2 +8.6 -6.0
  Jan 23, 2019 123   Saint Louis W 77-73 50%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +4.6 -0.4 +4.5
  Jan 26, 2019 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 74-80 28%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +0.6 +6.3 -5.4
  Jan 30, 2019 136   Rhode Island W 75-72 54%     15 - 6 6 - 2 +2.6 +5.3 -2.6
  Feb 02, 2019 71   @ Dayton L 64-68 20%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +5.5 +3.5 +1.4
  Feb 06, 2019 144   St. Bonaventure L 49-51 57%     15 - 8 6 - 4 -3.1 -21.9 +18.8
  Feb 09, 2019 236   @ Fordham W 74-66 59%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +6.2 -2.7 +8.6
  Feb 13, 2019 193   @ La Salle L 72-73 50%     16 - 9 7 - 5 -0.2 -0.6 +0.4
  Feb 16, 2019 255   George Washington W 85-69 80%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +7.8 +15.5 -6.7
  Feb 23, 2019 132   @ George Mason L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 27, 2019 144   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-69 36%    
  Mar 02, 2019 188   Massachusetts W 75-70 70%    
  Mar 06, 2019 123   @ Saint Louis L 65-70 30%    
  Mar 09, 2019 71   Dayton L 70-73 38%    
Projected Record 19.1 - 11.9 10.1 - 7.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 4.8 0.8 7.3 3rd
4th 0.9 9.7 3.0 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.4 12.3 10.9 0.4 24.0 5th
6th 0.1 6.5 16.8 1.2 24.6 6th
7th 1.6 12.5 4.0 0.0 18.1 7th
8th 3.2 5.4 0.2 8.9 8th
9th 1.9 0.7 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 6.9 25.5 34.2 23.6 8.6 1.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 1.2% 8.5% 8.5% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-6 8.6% 5.3% 5.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.2
11-7 23.6% 3.1% 3.1% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 22.8
10-8 34.2% 1.6% 1.6% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 33.6
9-9 25.5% 1.1% 1.1% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 25.2
8-10 6.9% 0.8% 0.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.0 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.9 29.0 48.4 22.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 3.6%