Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#163
Achievement Rating+6.7#101
Pace69.4#194
Improvement-0.8#238

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#155
First Shot+1.4#139
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#214
Layup/Dunks-1.1#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#98
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement+1.0#94

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#184
First Shot+0.7#151
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#263
Layups/Dunks+5.1#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#183
Freethrows-1.9#281
Improvement-1.8#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.3% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 78.7% 79.8% 50.7%
.500 or above in Conference 45.1% 45.8% 28.4%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 5.6% 11.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round2.2% 2.2% 1.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 96.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 198   William & Mary W 84-70 69%     1 - 0 +8.8 +6.0 +3.2
  Nov 12, 2018 168   Illinois-Chicago W 89-88 63%     2 - 0 -2.5 +3.4 -6.1
  Nov 17, 2018 133   Radford W 69-64 51%     3 - 0 +4.6 -4.2 +8.9
  Nov 20, 2018 56   @ Notre Dame L 56-67 13%     3 - 1 +0.9 -4.7 +4.3
  Nov 25, 2018 275   Umass Lowell W 83-71 81%     4 - 1 +2.7 -6.1 +7.5
  Nov 30, 2018 122   Pittsburgh L 53-74 36%     4 - 2 -17.4 -15.8 -1.3
  Dec 05, 2018 131   Marshall W 93-82 51%     5 - 2 +10.7 +10.1 -0.6
  Dec 09, 2018 300   Longwood W 80-71 84%     6 - 2 -1.7 +4.8 -6.7
  Dec 13, 2018 348   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-58 96%    
  Dec 16, 2018 330   Maine W 71-57 91%    
  Dec 19, 2018 54   Penn St. L 65-71 28%    
  Dec 22, 2018 274   Eastern Kentucky W 88-79 80%    
  Dec 31, 2018 200   NJIT W 72-67 69%    
  Jan 05, 2019 81   @ Davidson L 67-76 19%    
  Jan 09, 2019 250   Fordham W 71-63 77%    
  Jan 12, 2019 103   Saint Joseph's L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 16, 2019 172   @ Richmond L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 20, 2019 279   @ George Washington W 73-69 62%    
  Jan 23, 2019 76   Saint Louis L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 26, 2019 80   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 30, 2019 113   Rhode Island L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 02, 2019 70   @ Dayton L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 06, 2019 152   St. Bonaventure W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 09, 2019 250   @ Fordham W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 13, 2019 258   @ La Salle W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 16, 2019 279   George Washington W 76-66 80%    
  Feb 23, 2019 170   @ George Mason L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 27, 2019 152   @ St. Bonaventure L 67-71 37%    
  Mar 02, 2019 139   Massachusetts W 77-76 53%    
  Mar 06, 2019 76   @ Saint Louis L 62-72 19%    
  Mar 09, 2019 70   Dayton L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 17.8 - 13.2 8.2 - 9.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.0 0.4 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.5 0.9 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.2 2.2 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.4 3.6 0.3 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.8 0.8 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.2 1.5 0.1 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.6 2.0 0.2 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.9 7.8 10.9 13.3 14.2 13.4 11.6 8.6 5.7 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 81.2% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.2% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.9% 17.0% 34.0% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.9%
16-2 0.2% 35.2% 18.1% 17.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 20.9%
15-3 0.7% 21.7% 13.4% 8.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 9.6%
14-4 1.6% 15.7% 11.9% 3.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.3%
13-5 3.4% 10.7% 10.0% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.8%
12-6 5.7% 7.0% 6.9% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.3 0.1%
11-7 8.6% 4.3% 4.2% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.0%
10-8 11.6% 2.1% 2.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.3
9-9 13.4% 1.4% 1.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.2
8-10 14.2% 0.9% 0.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.1
7-11 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2
6-12 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.8
5-13 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-15 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.3% 2.1% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 97.7 0.2%