Lafayette
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#316
Achievement Rating-12.3#312
Pace69.3#197
Improvement+0.4#143

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#272
First Shot-4.5#295
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#110
Layup/Dunks-4.2#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#86
Freethrows-4.1#336
Improvement-1.3#284

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#325
First Shot-5.9#331
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#181
Layups/Dunks+0.9#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#227
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#327
Freethrows-0.5#205
Improvement+1.7#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 1.1% 2.3% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 9.2% 12.6% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 41.3% 35.1% 44.3%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 267   @ St. Peter's L 86-93 26%     0 - 1 -9.9 +5.5 -14.7
  Nov 10, 2018 258   @ La Salle W 77-76 25%     1 - 1 -1.6 +1.8 -3.3
  Nov 13, 2018 92   @ Penn L 61-91 5%     1 - 2 -21.3 -7.1 -14.5
  Nov 18, 2018 283   St. Francis Brooklyn L 72-84 51%     1 - 3 -21.8 -12.8 -7.8
  Nov 25, 2018 266   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-76 26%     2 - 3 +1.1 +8.4 -7.1
  Nov 28, 2018 231   Cornell L 58-63 41%     2 - 4 -12.2 -18.6 +6.4
  Dec 02, 2018 296   Sacred Heart L 62-64 54%     2 - 5 -12.4 -18.2 +5.7
  Dec 05, 2018 78   @ Connecticut L 63-90 5%     2 - 6 -17.5 -8.8 -7.4
  Dec 08, 2018 247   @ Quinnipiac L 77-88 24%     2 - 7 -13.1 +5.4 -18.4
  Dec 21, 2018 190   Princeton L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 02, 2019 149   @ Lehigh L 71-84 11%    
  Jan 05, 2019 262   @ Army L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 09, 2019 298   Loyola Maryland W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 12, 2019 155   @ Holy Cross L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 16, 2019 311   Navy W 70-68 59%    
  Jan 19, 2019 191   @ American L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 23, 2019 166   @ Colgate L 66-78 13%    
  Jan 26, 2019 262   Army L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 30, 2019 149   Lehigh L 74-81 25%    
  Feb 02, 2019 160   Bucknell L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 06, 2019 186   @ Boston University L 65-76 16%    
  Feb 10, 2019 155   Holy Cross L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 13, 2019 311   @ Navy L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 17, 2019 298   @ Loyola Maryland L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 20, 2019 191   American L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 24, 2019 160   @ Bucknell L 68-81 13%    
  Feb 27, 2019 186   Boston University L 68-73 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 166   Colgate L 69-75 29%    
Projected Record 7.5 - 20.5 5.1 - 12.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.4 5.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 5.7 6.9 2.9 0.3 0.0 17.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.2 8.3 7.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 24.4 9th
10th 1.1 4.0 7.8 8.8 5.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 29.4 10th
Total 1.1 4.1 8.7 13.2 15.7 15.9 13.9 10.8 7.4 4.6 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 92.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 71.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 41.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 14.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 26.9% 26.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 11.3% 11.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 8.1% 8.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 8.8% 8.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2
10-8 2.5% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.4
9-9 4.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
8-10 7.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.3
7-11 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.7
6-12 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 15.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.9
4-14 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
3-15 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
2-16 8.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.7
1-17 4.1% 4.1
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%