Princeton
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#164
Achievement Rating+3.4#127
Pace67.2#234
Improvement+3.1#57

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#260
First Shot-0.6#197
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#321
Layup/Dunks+2.4#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#149
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement-0.5#214

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#103
First Shot+1.4#128
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#57
Layups/Dunks+2.6#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#107
Freethrows+0.4#147
Improvement+3.6#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 12.0% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 91.3% 97.1% 77.4%
.500 or above in Conference 91.3% 97.1% 77.3%
Conference Champion 4.7% 6.2% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round10.8% 12.0% 7.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2018 158   @ Lehigh L 57-72 38%     0 - 1 -11.9 -16.7 +4.4
  Nov 21, 2018 250   Fairleigh Dickinson L 66-77 77%     0 - 2 -19.1 -11.0 -8.6
  Nov 24, 2018 271   @ Monmouth W 60-57 63%     1 - 2 -0.5 -3.2 +3.1
  Nov 28, 2018 314   @ Maine W 73-59 73%     2 - 2 +7.4 +4.4 +4.2
  Dec 01, 2018 256   George Washington W 73-52 78%     3 - 2 +12.7 -1.2 +14.0
  Dec 05, 2018 182   Saint Joseph's L 82-92 65%     3 - 3 -14.1 +3.4 -17.2
  Dec 09, 2018 42   St. John's L 74-89 16%     3 - 4 -4.5 -0.5 -2.5
  Dec 15, 2018 222   Iona W 85-81 63%     4 - 4 +0.5 +5.7 -5.3
  Dec 18, 2018 1   @ Duke L 50-101 1%     4 - 5 -23.6 -14.2 -6.1
  Dec 21, 2018 295   @ Lafayette W 81-79 67%     5 - 5 -2.8 -1.5 -1.4
  Dec 29, 2018 54   @ Arizona St. W 67-66 14%     6 - 5 +12.5 +0.8 +11.8
  Jan 05, 2019 132   Penn W 68-65 50%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +2.8 -9.0 +11.7
  Jan 12, 2019 132   @ Penn W 62-53 30%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +14.3 -6.5 +21.0
  Feb 01, 2019 237   @ Columbia W 55-43 56%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +10.2 -15.8 +26.4
  Feb 02, 2019 210   @ Cornell W 70-61 50%     10 - 5 4 - 0 +8.8 -5.6 +14.0
  Feb 08, 2019 88   @ Yale L 60-74 20%     10 - 6 4 - 1 -5.4 -11.4 +6.7
  Feb 09, 2019 154   @ Brown L 70-78 37%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -4.7 -1.6 -2.7
  Feb 15, 2019 117   Harvard L 69-78 45%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -7.9 -0.1 -7.9
  Feb 16, 2019 203   Dartmouth W 69-68 69%     11 - 8 5 - 3 -4.2 -1.1 -3.0
  Feb 22, 2019 210   Cornell W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 23, 2019 237   Columbia W 70-63 76%    
  Mar 01, 2019 203   @ Dartmouth L 68-69 47%    
  Mar 02, 2019 117   @ Harvard L 61-68 26%    
  Mar 08, 2019 154   Brown W 68-66 59%    
  Mar 09, 2019 88   Yale L 69-72 39%    
Projected Record 14.2 - 10.8 8.2 - 5.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.8 4.7 1st
2nd 0.1 3.8 13.1 8.3 0.5 25.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 6.8 23.3 12.3 1.0 43.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 10.6 3.5 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.2 3.9 3.0 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.8 2.0 0.1 2.9 6th
7th 0.2 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 1.2 7.5 20.6 30.7 25.9 11.8 2.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 77.8% 1.8    0.7 1.0 0.0
10-4 21.3% 2.5    0.3 1.4 0.7 0.0
9-5 1.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 1.1 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 2.3% 23.8% 23.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8
10-4 11.8% 17.4% 17.4% 13.9 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.3 9.7
9-5 25.9% 13.7% 13.7% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.4 0.0 22.4
8-6 30.7% 10.8% 10.8% 14.7 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.2 27.4
7-7 20.6% 6.2% 6.2% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.1 19.3
6-8 7.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
5-9 1.2% 1.2
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.6 4.6 0.3 89.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 12.9 2.0 25.2 58.9 13.5 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 1.2%