Tulsa
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#99
Achievement Rating+6.8#79
Pace71.3#114
Improvement+3.3#52

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#130
First Shot+3.1#86
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#277
Layup/Dunks+3.2#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#258
Freethrows+2.7#30
Improvement+0.4#165

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#77
First Shot+3.2#77
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#138
Layups/Dunks+6.0#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#314
Freethrows+1.1#105
Improvement+2.9#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.9% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.2 14.7
.500 or above 0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 49.3% 27.9% 59.5%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round1.5% 1.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Home) - 32.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 349   Alcorn St. W 73-56 98%     1 - 0 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Nov 10, 2018 342   South Carolina St. W 74-52 97%     2 - 0 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Nov 16, 2018 212   California Baptist W 82-79 85%     3 - 0 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Nov 19, 2018 205   Arkansas Little Rock W 88-78 84%     4 - 0 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2018 13   Nevada L 86-96 15%     4 - 1 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Nov 23, 2018 146   Southern Illinois L 69-79 63%     4 - 2 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Nov 27, 2018 167   Texas Arlington W 72-58 78%     5 - 2 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Dec 01, 2018 96   @ Utah L 64-69 39%     5 - 3 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Dec 05, 2018 90   Oklahoma St. W 74-71 59%     6 - 3 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Dec 08, 2018 26   Kansas St. W 47-46 31%     7 - 3 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Dec 13, 2018 279   New Orleans W 70-60 90%     8 - 3 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Dec 16, 2018 71   Dayton W 72-67 43%     9 - 3 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Dec 22, 2018 271   @ Oral Roberts W 69-59 80%     10 - 3 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 02, 2019 20   @ Houston L 56-74 12%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 05, 2019 118   South Florida W 78-75 65%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 10, 2019 31   Cincinnati L 65-70 33%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 12, 2019 103   @ SMU L 57-77 41%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 16, 2019 84   Connecticut W 89-83 57%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 19, 2019 52   @ Central Florida L 62-64 26%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 24, 2019 31   @ Cincinnati L 64-88 18%     12 - 8 2 - 5 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 27, 2019 20   Houston L 65-77 25%     12 - 9 2 - 6 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Jan 30, 2019 76   Memphis W 95-79 55%     13 - 9 3 - 6 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Feb 02, 2019 110   @ Wichita St. L 68-79 43%     13 - 10 3 - 7 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Feb 09, 2019 69   Temple W 76-58 53%     14 - 10 4 - 7 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Feb 14, 2019 291   @ Tulane W 80-57 82%     15 - 10 5 - 7 +0.6 +2.5 -1.9
  Feb 17, 2019 266   @ East Carolina W 74-66 78%    
  Feb 20, 2019 110   Wichita St. W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 23, 2019 69   @ Temple L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 28, 2019 291   Tulane W 78-63 92%    
  Mar 03, 2019 266   East Carolina W 77-63 91%    
  Mar 09, 2019 76   @ Memphis L 77-81 34%    
Projected Record 18.9 - 12.1 8.9 - 9.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 1.4 4.0 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 4.7 22.5 26.2 11.7 2.0 0.1 67.1 11th
12th 11.2 9.9 2.4 0.1 0.0 23.6 12th
Total 15.9 32.4 29.9 15.9 5.0 0.9 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.1% 54.8% 6.5% 48.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 51.7%
7-11 0.9% 9.2% 2.9% 6.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 6.5%
6-12 5.0% 2.2% 2.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 0.1%
5-13 15.9% 1.8% 1.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 15.6
4-14 29.9% 1.3% 1.3% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 29.5
3-15 32.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 31.9
2-16 15.9% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.1 0.1 15.7
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.4% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 98.5 0.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.8% 14.9% 15.1 1.1 11.2 2.6