Tulsa
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#120
Achievement Rating+7.2#94
Pace67.8#236
Improvement+1.6#65

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#119
First Shot+2.5#106
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#189
Layup/Dunks+5.9#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#292
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#300
Freethrows+3.6#24
Improvement-1.1#272

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#121
First Shot+1.0#138
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#131
Layups/Dunks+6.1#18
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#322
Freethrows-1.1#243
Improvement+2.7#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 7.2% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.4% 4.9% 1.3%
Average Seed 10.7 10.6 11.5
.500 or above 78.1% 81.0% 57.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 50.6% 38.7%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.9% 4.6%
First Four1.9% 2.1% 0.7%
First Round5.6% 6.0% 2.2%
Second Round1.6% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 88.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 345   Alcorn St. W 73-56 97%     1 - 0 -1.9 -5.2 +3.9
  Nov 10, 2018 342   South Carolina St. W 74-52 96%     2 - 0 +5.4 +0.1 +7.5
  Nov 16, 2018 236   California Baptist W 82-79 85%     3 - 0 -4.6 +0.2 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2018 238   Arkansas Little Rock W 88-78 86%     4 - 0 +2.2 +1.1 -0.2
  Nov 22, 2018 10   Nevada L 86-96 10%     4 - 1 +7.7 +18.2 -10.4
  Nov 23, 2018 99   Southern Illinois L 69-79 44%     4 - 2 -4.8 +1.1 -6.1
  Nov 27, 2018 254   Texas Arlington W 72-58 87%     5 - 2 +5.7 +2.8 +3.9
  Dec 01, 2018 134   @ Utah L 64-69 43%     5 - 3 +0.6 -3.5 +3.8
  Dec 05, 2018 73   Oklahoma St. W 74-71 49%     6 - 3 +6.9 +2.8 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2018 26   Kansas St. W 47-46 28%     7 - 3 +10.8 -12.5 +23.3
  Dec 13, 2018 263   New Orleans W 74-62 88%    
  Dec 16, 2018 70   Dayton L 68-71 38%    
  Dec 22, 2018 319   @ Oral Roberts W 78-67 84%    
  Jan 02, 2019 33   @ Houston L 59-70 15%    
  Jan 05, 2019 193   South Florida W 71-62 79%    
  Jan 10, 2019 25   Cincinnati L 62-68 29%    
  Jan 12, 2019 114   @ SMU L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 16, 2019 78   Connecticut W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 19, 2019 43   @ Central Florida L 61-71 19%    
  Jan 24, 2019 25   @ Cincinnati L 59-71 13%    
  Jan 27, 2019 33   Houston L 62-67 32%    
  Jan 30, 2019 116   Memphis W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 02, 2019 115   @ Wichita St. L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 09, 2019 68   Temple L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 14, 2019 212   @ Tulane W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 17, 2019 259   @ East Carolina W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 20, 2019 115   Wichita St. W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 23, 2019 68   @ Temple L 67-73 28%    
  Feb 28, 2019 212   Tulane W 77-67 81%    
  Mar 03, 2019 259   East Carolina W 77-65 86%    
  Mar 09, 2019 116   @ Memphis L 75-78 38%    
Projected Record 17.6 - 13.4 8.5 - 9.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.4 1.6 0.1 9.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 5.7 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 6.7 3.5 0.3 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 6.6 4.4 0.6 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.9 6.1 4.9 0.9 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.0 4.2 0.9 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.3 6.5 10.2 13.5 15.5 15.1 12.9 9.5 6.2 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 95.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 82.0% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.1% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 96.6% 24.1% 72.4% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.5%
16-2 0.2% 87.5% 18.1% 69.4% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.7%
15-3 0.6% 78.7% 15.5% 63.2% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 74.8%
14-4 1.5% 62.8% 11.8% 51.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 57.8%
13-5 3.3% 41.5% 8.6% 32.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 36.0%
12-6 6.2% 24.1% 7.0% 17.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7 18.4%
11-7 9.5% 11.2% 4.3% 6.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.4 7.2%
10-8 12.9% 5.0% 3.1% 1.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.2 1.9%
9-9 15.1% 2.0% 1.6% 0.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.8 0.4%
8-10 15.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 15.3 0.0%
7-11 13.5% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.4
6-12 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2
5-13 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.4
4-14 3.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.7% 2.4% 4.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 93.3 4.4%