IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.2	#254
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.1	#93
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.7	#204

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.5	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.9%	6.9%	3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.1	14.9

.500 or above	31.9%	61.3%	29.1%
.500 or above in Conference	39.2%	59.1%	37.4%
Conference Champion	3.9%	8.3%	3.5%
Last Place in Conference	14.8%	5.8%	15.7%

First Four	0.7%	0.6%	0.7%
First Round	3.6%	6.6%	3.3%
Second Round	0.2%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 8.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 7	3 - 11
Quad 4	10 - 6	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	83	@ Temple	L	69-84	9%
Nov 08, 2019	315	Niagara	W	84-77	74%
Nov 10, 2019	286	Abilene Christian	W	73-68	67%
Nov 13, 2019	66	@ Rutgers	L	66-82	7%
Nov 16, 2019	290	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	74-75	46%
Nov 20, 2019	314	Bryant	W	81-74	72%
Nov 30, 2019	206	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	67-72	32%
Dec 04, 2019	143	Princeton	L	72-75	39%
Dec 07, 2019	189	La Salle	L	76-77	50%
Dec 15, 2019	79	@ South Florida	L	66-81	10%
Dec 20, 2019	256	Quinnipiac	W	77-76	50%
Dec 28, 2019	123	College of Charleston	L	71-76	33%
Dec 30, 2019	268	UNC Wilmington	W	83-79	62%
Jan 03, 2020	240	Delaware	W	72-70	57%
Jan 09, 2020	181	@ Towson	L	68-75	29%
Jan 11, 2020	232	@ James Madison	L	71-75	36%
Jan 16, 2020	317	Elon	W	80-73	74%
Jan 18, 2020	246	William & Mary	W	79-77	59%
Jan 23, 2020	130	@ Northeastern	L	69-79	20%
Jan 25, 2020	148	@ Hofstra	L	74-83	23%
Feb 01, 2020	240	@ Delaware	L	69-73	38%
Feb 06, 2020	232	James Madison	W	74-72	55%
Feb 08, 2020	181	Towson	L	71-72	48%
Feb 13, 2020	246	@ William & Mary	L	76-80	39%
Feb 15, 2020	317	@ Elon	W	77-76	55%
Feb 20, 2020	148	Hofstra	L	77-80	40%
Feb 22, 2020	130	Northeastern	L	72-76	37%
Feb 27, 2020	268	@ UNC Wilmington	L	80-82	43%
Feb 29, 2020	123	@ College of Charleston	L	68-79	18%
Projected Record						12 - 17	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.1	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.1		3.9	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	1.9	1.8	1.1	0.2	0.0				5.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.6	3.1	2.1	0.7	0.1						7.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.9	4.1	2.8	0.6	0.0							9.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.7	4.8	3.1	0.5	0.0								11.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	3.4	5.5	3.0	0.4	0.0									12.9	6th
7th					0.0	1.0	3.8	5.2	2.6	0.4	0.0										13.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.4	4.1	5.2	2.2	0.3	0.0											13.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.5	2.2	4.2	3.9	1.5	0.2	0.0												12.6	9th
10th	0.3	1.3	2.7	2.7	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0													9.4	10th

Total	0.3	1.3	3.2	5.1	7.3	9.6	11.3	11.4	11.3	10.3	9.3	7.3	5.0	3.4	2.2	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.1			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	98.1%	0.6		0.5	0.1
15-3	84.6%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	48.1%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	26.1%	0.9		0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0
12-6	4.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.9%	3.9		2.1	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		31.1%	31.1%		12.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.1%		37.3%	36.9%	0.3%	12.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		0.5%
16-2	0.6%		40.8%	40.7%	0.2%	13.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3		0.3%
15-3	1.1%		25.2%	25.2%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.8
14-4	2.2%		21.6%	21.6%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.7
13-5	3.4%		18.2%	18.2%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	2.8
12-6	5.0%		11.7%	11.7%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	4.4
11-7	7.3%		6.5%	6.5%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	6.8
10-8	9.3%		5.2%	5.2%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	8.8
9-9	10.3%		3.3%	3.3%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	9.9
8-10	11.3%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	11.2
7-11	11.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.3
6-12	11.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
5-13	9.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
4-14	7.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.3
3-15	5.1%																							5.1
2-16	3.2%																							3.2
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		3.9%	3.9%	0.0%	14.8												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	1.2	1.4	96.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%