IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.4	#240
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.8	#341
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.2	#214

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#268

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.8%	6.7%	3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.6	15.1

.500 or above	37.3%	52.1%	26.4%
.500 or above in Conference	44.5%	54.1%	37.4%
Conference Champion	4.6%	6.8%	3.0%
Last Place in Conference	11.9%	7.6%	15.0%

First Four	0.9%	0.9%	0.9%
First Round	4.4%	6.3%	2.9%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Neutral) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 8	4 - 11
Quad 4	11 - 6	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	201	Oakland	L	69-71	42%
Nov 09, 2019	207	Southern Illinois	L	64-66	44%
Nov 10, 2019	121	Texas San Antonio	L	70-78	24%
Nov 16, 2019	261	@ Lafayette	L	70-72	42%
Nov 19, 2019	248	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	69-72	41%
Nov 27, 2019	196	Stony Brook	W	68-67	52%
Nov 29, 2019	350	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	55-40	90%
Dec 02, 2019	173	Columbia	L	69-70	47%
Dec 07, 2019	190	@ George Washington	L	64-69	32%
Dec 14, 2019	11	Villanova	L	55-76	4%
Dec 16, 2019	349	Delaware St.	W	58-47	82%
Dec 20, 2019	210	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	69-73	35%
Dec 28, 2019	268	UNC Wilmington	W	75-71	65%
Dec 30, 2019	123	College of Charleston	L	65-69	35%
Jan 03, 2020	254	@ Drexel	L	70-72	43%
Jan 09, 2020	232	@ James Madison	L	64-67	38%
Jan 11, 2020	181	@ Towson	L	62-68	31%
Jan 16, 2020	246	William & Mary	W	72-69	61%
Jan 18, 2020	317	Elon	W	73-65	75%
Jan 23, 2020	148	@ Hofstra	L	67-75	24%
Jan 25, 2020	130	@ Northeastern	L	63-72	21%
Feb 01, 2020	254	Drexel	W	73-69	62%
Feb 06, 2020	181	Towson	W	65-64	50%
Feb 08, 2020	232	James Madison	W	67-64	58%
Feb 13, 2020	317	@ Elon	W	70-68	57%
Feb 15, 2020	246	@ William & Mary	L	69-72	41%
Feb 20, 2020	130	Northeastern	L	66-69	39%
Feb 22, 2020	148	Hofstra	L	70-72	42%
Feb 27, 2020	123	@ College of Charleston	L	62-72	20%
Feb 29, 2020	268	@ UNC Wilmington	L	72-74	45%
Projected Record						13 - 17	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.9	1.4	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.0		4.6	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	2.2	2.2	1.2	0.3	0.0				7.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.6	3.5	3.0	1.0	0.1	0.0					9.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	2.5	4.6	3.0	0.8	0.1							11.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.7	5.1	3.0	0.6	0.0								11.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.4	5.3	2.9	0.6	0.0									12.7	6th
7th					0.1	0.8	3.5	5.1	2.8	0.4	0.0										12.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	1.1	3.7	4.9	2.5	0.3	0.0											12.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.4	1.8	3.4	3.2	1.5	0.2													10.5	9th
10th	0.3	0.9	1.9	2.3	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0													7.4	10th

Total	0.3	0.9	2.3	4.2	6.1	8.2	10.5	11.7	11.4	11.1	9.8	7.9	6.3	4.2	2.8	1.4	0.6	0.3	0.0			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	93.4%	0.5		0.5	0.1
15-3	78.9%	1.1		0.8	0.4	0.0
14-4	51.1%	1.4		0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	21.7%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
12-6	4.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.6%	4.6		2.5	1.6	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		32.3%	22.6%	9.7%	11.4						0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		12.5%
17-1	0.3%		54.0%	51.0%	3.0%	12.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.1		6.2%
16-2	0.6%		40.8%	40.7%	0.1%	13.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3		0.1%
15-3	1.4%		27.5%	27.5%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.0
14-4	2.8%		21.9%	21.9%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	2.2
13-5	4.2%		16.2%	16.2%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	3.5
12-6	6.3%		12.0%	12.0%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	5.6
11-7	7.9%		7.6%	7.6%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	7.3
10-8	9.8%		5.4%	5.4%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	9.3
9-9	11.1%		2.5%	2.5%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.2	10.9
8-10	11.4%		2.3%	2.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	11.1
7-11	11.7%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																0.0	0.2	11.5
6-12	10.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.4
5-13	8.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
4-14	6.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
3-15	4.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
2-16	2.3%																							2.3
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		4.8%	4.7%	0.0%	14.8						0.0					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.4	1.7	95.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%