Preseason Rankings
Lafayette
Patriot League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#261
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.0#119
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#188
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#315
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 6.5% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 29.4% 43.3% 18.7%
.500 or above in Conference 39.6% 49.4% 32.0%
Conference Champion 4.4% 6.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 16.4% 11.6% 20.1%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round4.1% 6.1% 2.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 43.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 173   Columbia L 76-78 44%    
  Nov 09, 2019 293   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 74-75 47%    
  Nov 13, 2019 143   @ Princeton L 69-78 20%    
  Nov 16, 2019 240   Delaware W 72-70 58%    
  Nov 19, 2019 98   Penn L 71-78 27%    
  Nov 24, 2019 252   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-74 60%    
  Dec 03, 2019 221   @ Saint Joseph's L 74-79 32%    
  Dec 07, 2019 282   @ Cornell L 74-76 44%    
  Dec 22, 2019 66   @ Rutgers L 65-82 8%    
  Dec 29, 2019 249   @ Sacred Heart L 80-84 38%    
  Jan 02, 2020 200   @ Boston University L 72-78 31%    
  Jan 05, 2020 159   Bucknell L 77-80 42%    
  Jan 08, 2020 312   Holy Cross W 73-66 71%    
  Jan 11, 2020 209   @ Loyola Maryland L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 15, 2020 127   Colgate L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 267   @ Navy L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 22, 2020 244   Army W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 25, 2020 227   @ Lehigh L 79-84 35%    
  Jan 29, 2020 127   @ Colgate L 70-81 18%    
  Feb 01, 2020 184   American L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 03, 2020 159   @ Bucknell L 74-83 24%    
  Feb 08, 2020 227   Lehigh W 82-81 54%    
  Feb 12, 2020 244   @ Army L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 15, 2020 312   @ Holy Cross W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 19, 2020 200   Boston University W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 22, 2020 209   Loyola Maryland W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 26, 2020 184   @ American L 71-78 30%    
  Feb 29, 2020 267   Navy W 75-72 61%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.9 4.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.8 4.1 4.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.4 1.3 2.6 3.1 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.7 10th
Total 0.4 1.3 3.1 5.0 7.4 9.9 10.7 11.4 11.3 10.5 8.9 6.9 5.4 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.0% 0.5    0.5 0.1
15-3 82.9% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 55.5% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 26.0% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 52.2% 52.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 54.4% 48.8% 5.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.0%
16-2 0.5% 36.6% 36.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.4% 26.6% 26.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.3% 25.9% 25.9% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.7
13-5 3.7% 15.9% 15.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.1
12-6 5.4% 14.0% 14.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 4.6
11-7 6.9% 8.9% 8.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 6.3
10-8 8.9% 5.6% 5.6% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.4
9-9 10.5% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.0
8-10 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.0
7-11 11.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.3
6-12 10.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.6
5-13 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-15 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.8 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%