IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+10.1	#47
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.8	#234
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.5	#63

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.6	#37

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	1.1%	1.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	3.2%	3.3%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	10.6%	10.9%	1.8%
Top 6 Seed	20.5%	21.0%	3.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	45.2%	46.0%	18.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	43.8%	44.6%	17.9%
Average Seed	6.8	6.8	8.3

.500 or above	68.7%	69.9%	31.7%
.500 or above in Conference	43.4%	44.1%	19.5%
Conference Champion	2.0%	2.1%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	7.5%	7.1%	21.0%

First Four	3.2%	3.3%	2.5%
First Round	43.6%	44.4%	17.2%
Second Round	26.6%	27.1%	9.7%
Sweet Sixteen	11.2%	11.4%	3.3%
Elite Eight	4.7%	4.8%	1.1%
Final Four	2.0%	2.0%	0.5%
Championship Game	0.7%	0.7%	0.2%
National Champion	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 97.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	3 - 3	4 - 10
Quad 2	5 - 3	9 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	13 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	283	Western Illinois	W	79-59	97%
Nov 09, 2019	270	Portland St.	W	83-64	96%
Nov 12, 2019	313	North Alabama	W	80-58	98%
Nov 16, 2019	297	Troy	W	80-59	97%
Nov 20, 2019	143	Princeton	W	74-62	86%
Nov 25, 2019	116	Louisiana Tech	W	73-63	80%
Nov 30, 2019	224	South Dakota St.	W	83-66	93%
Dec 03, 2019	18	Florida St.	L	70-71	49%
Dec 07, 2019	33	@ Wisconsin	L	61-66	35%
Dec 10, 2019	73	Connecticut	W	74-71	60%
Dec 13, 2019	88	Nebraska	W	72-65	74%
Dec 21, 2019	41	Notre Dame	L	67-68	47%
Dec 29, 2019	57	Arkansas	W	76-72	63%
Jan 04, 2020	9	@ Maryland	L	64-74	21%
Jan 08, 2020	99	Northwestern	W	69-60	77%
Jan 11, 2020	14	Ohio St.	L	66-68	44%
Jan 15, 2020	66	@ Rutgers	L	68-69	47%
Jan 18, 2020	88	@ Nebraska	W	69-68	54%
Jan 23, 2020	1	Michigan St.	L	67-76	23%
Jan 26, 2020	9	Maryland	L	67-71	39%
Jan 29, 2020	43	@ Penn St.	L	68-72	38%
Feb 01, 2020	14	@ Ohio St.	L	63-71	26%
Feb 08, 2020	12	Purdue	L	68-71	41%
Feb 13, 2020	39	Iowa	W	77-75	57%
Feb 16, 2020	21	@ Michigan	L	62-68	32%
Feb 19, 2020	70	@ Minnesota	L	70-71	49%
Feb 23, 2020	43	Penn St.	W	71-69	57%
Feb 27, 2020	12	@ Purdue	L	65-74	24%
Mar 01, 2020	42	@ Illinois	L	73-77	38%
Mar 04, 2020	70	Minnesota	W	73-67	68%
Mar 07, 2020	33	Wisconsin	W	64-63	54%
Projected Record						18 - 13	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	1.1	1.5	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			4.4	2nd
3rd												0.1	0.6	1.6	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.0					5.6	3rd
4th											0.1	0.7	2.5	2.7	0.9	0.2	0.0						7.0	4th
5th										0.0	0.7	2.9	2.9	1.0	0.2	0.0							7.7	5th
6th									0.0	0.6	2.9	3.5	1.4	0.2	0.0								8.5	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	2.4	4.0	1.8	0.2	0.0									8.9	7th
8th							0.0	0.3	2.4	4.1	2.1	0.2	0.0										9.1	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.8	4.0	2.9	0.4	0.0											9.3	9th
10th						0.3	1.6	3.9	2.8	0.6	0.0												9.2	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.4	3.5	2.9	0.7	0.0													8.8	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.2	1.3	3.0	2.6	0.8	0.0														8.0	12th
13th		0.0	0.4	1.4	2.6	2.0	0.5	0.0	0.0														6.9	13th
14th	0.1	0.6	1.0	1.4	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0															4.4	14th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	3.0	5.1	6.8	8.5	9.9	10.5	10.7	10.1	9.1	7.7	5.9	4.5	2.9	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	99.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	80.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0	0.0
17-3	57.5%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
16-4	31.8%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	11.1%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	34.0%	66.0%	1.0		0.0																		100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	46.8%	53.2%	1.1		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.4%		100.0%	32.6%	67.4%	1.6		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.0%		100.0%	17.7%	82.3%	1.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-4	1.8%		100.0%	14.6%	85.4%	2.7		0.2	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	2.9%		100.0%	10.2%	89.8%	3.6		0.1	0.5	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0									100.0%
14-6	4.5%		100.0%	9.2%	90.8%	4.5		0.1	0.2	0.9	1.3	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0								100.0%
13-7	5.9%		98.5%	6.3%	92.2%	5.4		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	1.4	1.2	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		98.4%
12-8	7.7%		96.5%	3.2%	93.4%	6.8		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.1	1.6	1.5	1.1	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0					0.3		96.4%
11-9	9.1%		89.2%	2.6%	86.6%	8.0			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.5	1.6	1.5	0.9	0.7	0.1					1.0		88.9%
10-10	10.1%		70.6%	1.0%	69.6%	9.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.3	1.4	1.3	1.3	0.3	0.0				3.0		70.3%
9-11	10.7%		39.0%	0.7%	38.3%	9.6					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.9	1.1	0.4	0.0				6.5		38.6%
8-12	10.5%		14.6%	0.3%	14.2%	10.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0				9.0		14.3%
7-13	9.9%		3.5%	0.1%	3.4%	10.1								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				9.5		3.4%
6-14	8.5%		0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	10.9									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0					8.4		0.2%
5-15	6.8%																							6.8
4-16	5.1%																							5.1
3-17	3.0%																							3.0
2-18	1.4%																							1.4
1-19	0.6%																							0.6
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		45.2%	2.4%	42.8%	6.8		1.1	2.1	3.3	4.1	4.7	5.1	5.4	5.3	4.9	4.2	3.9	1.0	0.0				54.8		43.8%