Preseason Rankings
Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#259
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace58.4#351
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#131
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 8.6% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 46.6% 49.9% 22.4%
.500 or above in Conference 58.6% 60.8% 42.8%
Conference Champion 9.2% 9.9% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 6.4% 12.5%
First Four2.5% 2.5% 2.4%
First Round6.8% 7.3% 3.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 88.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 413 - 815 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 349   Delaware St. W 54-41 88%    
  Nov 16, 2019 178   Albany L 61-62 47%    
  Nov 19, 2019 142   @ Samford L 61-70 20%    
  Nov 23, 2019 317   @ Elon W 64-63 55%    
  Nov 27, 2019 86   @ Rhode Island L 55-70 10%    
  Dec 02, 2019 196   @ Stony Brook L 59-65 29%    
  Dec 07, 2019 233   @ Fordham L 56-60 35%    
  Dec 14, 2019 231   Western Michigan W 64-62 55%    
  Dec 22, 2019 148   @ Hofstra L 61-70 21%    
  Jan 03, 2020 295   @ Canisius L 62-63 46%    
  Jan 05, 2020 315   @ Niagara W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 10, 2020 288   @ Fairfield L 61-62 45%    
  Jan 12, 2020 251   Siena W 57-54 59%    
  Jan 16, 2020 256   Quinnipiac W 65-62 60%    
  Jan 18, 2020 239   Monmouth W 62-60 56%    
  Jan 22, 2020 328   @ Marist W 60-58 57%    
  Jan 26, 2020 180   Rider L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 31, 2020 307   @ St. Peter's L 55-56 50%    
  Feb 02, 2020 161   Iona L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 07, 2020 315   Niagara W 70-63 71%    
  Feb 09, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac L 62-65 41%    
  Feb 14, 2020 161   @ Iona L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 16, 2020 251   @ Siena L 54-57 40%    
  Feb 21, 2020 307   St. Peter's W 59-53 68%    
  Feb 23, 2020 295   Canisius W 65-60 66%    
  Feb 26, 2020 328   Marist W 63-55 75%    
  Mar 01, 2020 239   @ Monmouth L 59-63 37%    
  Mar 04, 2020 180   @ Rider L 65-72 29%    
  Mar 06, 2020 288   Fairfield W 64-59 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.3 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.0 3.3 3.1 1.5 0.3 0.1 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.0 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.8 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.6 4.1 1.4 0.1 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.5 3.6 1.3 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.5 0.9 0.1 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.8 1.7 0.6 0.1 6.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.8 3.9 5.8 7.5 8.9 9.5 10.5 9.8 9.6 8.1 7.0 5.6 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 93.1% 1.1    1.0 0.1 0.0
17-3 89.3% 2.2    1.8 0.3 0.0
16-4 59.4% 2.3    1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 33.0% 1.8    0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0
14-6 13.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 63.7% 63.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 46.0% 46.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.2% 40.1% 40.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-3 2.4% 31.3% 31.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.7
16-4 3.9% 26.3% 26.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.9
15-5 5.6% 20.8% 20.8% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 4.4
14-6 7.0% 16.9% 16.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 5.8
13-7 8.1% 11.8% 11.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 7.1
12-8 9.6% 8.6% 8.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 8.8
11-9 9.8% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 9.1
10-10 10.5% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.1
9-11 9.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 9.3
8-12 8.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.7
7-13 7.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.5
6-14 5.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-15 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.9
4-16 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.0 4.1 91.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%