Preseason Rankings
Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#180
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace82.2#9
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#149
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#234
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.9% 21.6% 12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 74.2% 78.9% 52.6%
.500 or above in Conference 83.2% 85.5% 72.5%
Conference Champion 25.6% 27.8% 15.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.3% 4.1%
First Four3.0% 3.0% 3.1%
First Round18.6% 20.3% 10.6%
Second Round1.3% 1.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 82.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 43 - 7
Quad 415 - 618 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 348   @ Coppin St. W 86-76 82%    
  Nov 08, 2019 349   @ Delaware St. W 67-56 84%    
  Nov 17, 2019 65   @ Arizona St. L 79-92 12%    
  Nov 20, 2019 237   @ Massachusetts L 79-80 49%    
  Nov 23, 2019 173   Columbia L 81-82 47%    
  Dec 03, 2019 159   Bucknell W 83-82 55%    
  Dec 14, 2019 210   LIU Brooklyn W 86-82 65%    
  Dec 16, 2019 328   Marist W 80-68 85%    
  Dec 21, 2019 83   @ Temple L 76-87 17%    
  Dec 31, 2019 33   @ Wisconsin L 64-80 8%    
  Jan 05, 2020 251   Siena W 73-66 71%    
  Jan 07, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac W 81-80 52%    
  Jan 10, 2020 161   Iona W 87-86 56%    
  Jan 12, 2020 328   @ Marist W 77-71 68%    
  Jan 17, 2020 315   @ Niagara W 88-83 65%    
  Jan 19, 2020 295   @ Canisius W 81-78 61%    
  Jan 24, 2020 307   St. Peter's W 76-66 79%    
  Jan 26, 2020 259   @ Manhattan W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 31, 2020 288   Fairfield W 83-74 76%    
  Feb 02, 2020 239   @ Monmouth L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 07, 2020 295   Canisius W 84-75 77%    
  Feb 09, 2020 315   Niagara W 91-80 81%    
  Feb 14, 2020 251   @ Siena W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 16, 2020 256   Quinnipiac W 84-77 70%    
  Feb 21, 2020 161   @ Iona L 84-89 36%    
  Feb 23, 2020 307   @ St. Peter's W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 28, 2020 239   Monmouth W 80-74 69%    
  Mar 01, 2020 288   @ Fairfield W 80-77 58%    
  Mar 04, 2020 259   Manhattan W 72-65 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.8 5.8 6.2 4.6 2.4 0.9 25.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 3.3 5.5 5.6 3.0 1.0 0.1 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.0 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.7 1.2 0.1 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 2.1 0.8 0.1 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.9 4.4 5.4 7.3 8.8 9.7 11.4 11.1 10.7 9.0 7.2 4.7 2.4 0.9 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
19-1 100.0% 2.4    2.4 0.1
18-2 97.2% 4.6    4.2 0.4 0.0
17-3 86.1% 6.2    4.9 1.3 0.0
16-4 64.6% 5.8    3.7 1.9 0.2 0.0
15-5 35.4% 3.8    1.7 1.5 0.5 0.0
14-6 14.6% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 25.6% 25.6 18.3 5.9 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.9% 68.0% 66.9% 1.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 3.4%
19-1 2.4% 59.4% 58.5% 0.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.0 2.1%
18-2 4.7% 51.0% 50.8% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 0.3%
17-3 7.2% 42.3% 42.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.1 4.2
16-4 9.0% 32.9% 32.9% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.4 6.0
15-5 10.7% 26.7% 26.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.8 7.8
14-6 11.1% 20.7% 20.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 8.8
13-7 11.4% 16.7% 16.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 9.5
12-8 9.7% 11.1% 11.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.6
11-9 8.8% 8.4% 8.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 8.1
10-10 7.3% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.9
9-11 5.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.3
8-12 4.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.3
7-13 2.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
6-14 1.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-15 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.9% 19.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 4.5 5.9 5.9 80.1 0.0%