Preseason Rankings
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#177
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace80.5#13
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#193
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#191
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.4% 14.8% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.9
.500 or above 58.4% 69.1% 42.0%
.500 or above in Conference 79.1% 83.5% 72.4%
Conference Champion 13.4% 16.2% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.2% 3.3%
First Four1.4% 1.0% 1.9%
First Round11.9% 14.5% 8.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Middle Tennessee (Home) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 44 - 10
Quad 411 - 415 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 174   Middle Tennessee W 78-75 60%    
  Nov 12, 2019 272   @ Tennessee St. W 81-79 58%    
  Nov 15, 2019 126   @ Duquesne L 77-84 27%    
  Nov 20, 2019 80   Belmont L 82-87 33%    
  Nov 22, 2019 267   @ Navy W 76-74 55%    
  Nov 25, 2019 310   @ Tennessee Tech W 79-74 67%    
  Nov 30, 2019 23   @ Xavier L 67-84 7%    
  Dec 03, 2019 80   @ Belmont L 79-90 17%    
  Dec 17, 2019 310   Tennessee Tech W 82-71 82%    
  Dec 20, 2019 84   @ Vermont L 69-79 19%    
  Dec 29, 2019 25   @ Auburn L 71-88 8%    
  Jan 02, 2020 336   @ Stetson W 85-77 75%    
  Jan 04, 2020 257   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 09, 2020 320   Kennesaw St. W 84-72 84%    
  Jan 11, 2020 313   North Alabama W 82-71 82%    
  Jan 16, 2020 175   @ NJIT L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 18, 2020 87   @ Liberty L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 23, 2020 298   Jacksonville W 86-76 79%    
  Jan 25, 2020 155   North Florida W 86-85 55%    
  Feb 01, 2020 336   Stetson W 88-74 87%    
  Feb 06, 2020 313   @ North Alabama W 79-74 65%    
  Feb 08, 2020 320   @ Kennesaw St. W 81-75 68%    
  Feb 13, 2020 175   NJIT W 77-74 58%    
  Feb 15, 2020 257   Florida Gulf Coast W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 20, 2020 298   @ Jacksonville W 83-79 62%    
  Feb 22, 2020 155   @ North Florida L 83-88 36%    
  Feb 29, 2020 87   Liberty L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.2 3.9 2.2 0.5 13.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 5.9 7.6 4.2 0.8 21.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.5 7.7 6.2 2.0 0.1 20.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 4.6 6.8 4.2 0.7 0.0 17.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.9 5.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.8 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.7 5.8 8.3 11.3 12.6 14.2 13.3 11.6 8.6 4.8 2.2 0.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 100.0% 2.2    2.0 0.2
14-2 82.2% 3.9    2.7 1.2 0.0
13-3 49.6% 4.2    1.9 2.0 0.3 0.0
12-4 17.1% 2.0    0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0
11-5 3.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 7.9 4.5 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 57.8% 51.5% 6.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.9%
15-1 2.2% 49.0% 48.0% 1.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 2.1%
14-2 4.8% 36.8% 36.8% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.0 0.0%
13-3 8.6% 27.2% 27.2% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.1 6.2
12-4 11.6% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 0.3 9.3 0.0%
11-5 13.3% 13.8% 13.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 11.5
10-6 14.2% 8.3% 8.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 13.0
9-7 12.6% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 11.9
8-8 11.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.8
7-9 8.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.0
6-10 5.8% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.6
5-11 3.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.7
4-12 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-13 0.9% 0.9
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.4% 12.4% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.8 3.7 2.8 87.6 0.1%