Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#227
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#242
Pace74.4#81
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#300
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#143
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 9.8% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 38.6% 50.1% 27.3%
.500 or above in Conference 58.5% 64.5% 52.7%
Conference Champion 9.0% 11.0% 7.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 6.0% 11.6%
First Four2.3% 2.5% 2.0%
First Round6.9% 8.7% 5.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wyoming (Away) - 49.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 410 - 614 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 72   @ BYU L 58-76 10%     0 - 1 -7.6 -15.4 +8.8
  Nov 09, 2019 94   @ Stanford L 54-70 13%     0 - 2 -7.7 -15.0 +7.9
  Nov 13, 2019 283   @ Wyoming W 60-59 49%    
  Nov 24, 2019 185   Hofstra W 75-74 53%    
  Nov 27, 2019 301   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-71 66%    
  Nov 29, 2019 302   Denver W 73-69 64%    
  Nov 30, 2019 117   @ Santa Clara L 65-74 20%    
  Dec 04, 2019 239   @ Pacific L 65-67 41%    
  Dec 07, 2019 286   Sacramento St. W 73-67 70%    
  Dec 11, 2019 176   San Diego W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 14, 2019 106   San Francisco L 68-73 35%    
  Dec 22, 2019 146   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-69 26%    
  Dec 28, 2019 88   @ UCLA L 66-79 14%    
  Jan 09, 2020 210   Hawaii W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 11, 2020 247   @ UC Riverside L 63-65 42%    
  Jan 15, 2020 104   UC Irvine L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 262   @ Long Beach St. L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 22, 2020 297   @ UC Davis W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 25, 2020 263   Cal St. Northridge W 80-75 65%    
  Jan 30, 2020 313   @ Cal Poly W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 01, 2020 104   @ UC Irvine L 63-74 19%    
  Feb 05, 2020 247   UC Riverside W 66-62 62%    
  Feb 08, 2020 297   UC Davis W 70-63 72%    
  Feb 15, 2020 313   Cal Poly W 75-66 77%    
  Feb 20, 2020 158   UC Santa Barbara L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 28, 2020 210   @ Hawaii L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 29, 2020 263   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-78 45%    
  Mar 05, 2020 158   @ UC Santa Barbara L 65-72 27%    
  Mar 07, 2020 262   Long Beach St. W 76-72 64%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.2 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.8 2.8 1.2 0.1 12.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 5.0 6.0 2.3 0.4 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.3 5.6 2.0 0.2 14.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 5.3 5.9 1.6 0.1 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.4 4.9 1.3 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.2 3.9 0.8 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 5.4 9th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.2 5.3 8.3 10.0 12.2 13.6 12.9 11.4 8.5 5.8 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
14-2 95.7% 1.8    1.4 0.3
13-3 67.8% 2.5    1.6 0.8 0.1
12-4 44.7% 2.6    1.2 1.1 0.3
11-5 14.0% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.3 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.6% 37.9% 37.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 1.8% 35.3% 35.3% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.2
13-3 3.7% 28.2% 28.2% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 2.7
12-4 5.8% 21.6% 21.6% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 4.6
11-5 8.5% 14.7% 14.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 7.3
10-6 11.4% 9.8% 9.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 10.3
9-7 12.9% 7.1% 7.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 12.0
8-8 13.6% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.1 0.6 12.9
7-9 12.2% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.8
6-10 10.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 9.8
5-11 8.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.2
4-12 5.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.3
3-13 3.2% 3.2
2-14 1.8% 1.8
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.9 92.1 0.0%