Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#190
Expected Predictive Rating-11.2#311
Pace68.2#219
Improvement-0.3#207

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#76
First Shot+3.0#88
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#120
Layup/Dunks-2.5#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#103
Freethrows+2.2#69
Improvement-1.0#311

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#321
First Shot-5.7#325
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks+2.5#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#337
Freethrows+1.9#86
Improvement+0.8#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 11.0% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 45.7% 70.2% 41.8%
.500 or above in Conference 57.3% 71.6% 55.0%
Conference Champion 8.0% 13.1% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 2.8% 6.9%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round7.0% 10.9% 6.3%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 14.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 85 - 12
Quad 49 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 313   San Jose St. L 71-79 85%     0 - 1 -20.5 -7.7 -12.8
  Nov 09, 2019 269   Monmouth W 94-74 75%     1 - 1 +11.4 +12.6 -2.6
  Nov 13, 2019 162   @ Bucknell L 71-86 33%     1 - 2 -12.1 -4.0 -7.5
  Nov 21, 2019 78   @ UCLA L 71-82 14%    
  Nov 24, 2019 215   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 74-76 43%    
  Nov 27, 2019 172   @ San Diego L 69-73 35%    
  Dec 01, 2019 340   Holy Cross W 82-70 86%    
  Dec 07, 2019 143   @ St. Bonaventure L 67-73 29%    
  Dec 10, 2019 174   Stony Brook W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 19, 2019 210   @ Princeton L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 22, 2019 263   Manhattan W 73-66 74%    
  Dec 28, 2019 219   @ James Madison L 83-84 45%    
  Dec 30, 2019 165   @ Towson L 70-75 35%    
  Jan 02, 2020 150   William & Mary W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 04, 2020 305   Elon W 79-69 82%    
  Jan 09, 2020 103   @ Northeastern L 72-81 22%    
  Jan 16, 2020 280   @ UNC Wilmington W 80-78 57%    
  Jan 18, 2020 128   @ College of Charleston L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 23, 2020 153   Delaware W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 25, 2020 245   Drexel W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 30, 2020 305   @ Elon W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 01, 2020 150   @ William & Mary L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 08, 2020 103   Northeastern L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 13, 2020 128   College of Charleston L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 15, 2020 280   UNC Wilmington W 83-75 75%    
  Feb 20, 2020 245   @ Drexel L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 22, 2020 153   @ Delaware L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 27, 2020 165   Towson W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 29, 2020 219   James Madison W 86-81 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.4 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 8.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 11.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 5.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.0 3.7 0.6 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 5.5 3.8 0.6 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.5 3.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.5 5.9 7.8 10.4 11.9 12.9 12.0 10.7 8.5 6.1 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 98.8% 0.8    0.8 0.1
15-3 88.5% 1.8    1.4 0.4 0.0
14-4 60.4% 2.4    1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 30.1% 1.8    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.0% 8.0 4.5 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 34.6% 34.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 37.8% 37.8% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.0% 30.9% 30.9% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-4 4.0% 22.5% 22.5% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.1
13-5 6.1% 19.4% 19.4% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 4.9
12-6 8.5% 13.0% 13.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 7.4
11-7 10.7% 9.6% 9.6% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 9.7
10-8 12.0% 5.9% 5.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 11.3
9-9 12.9% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 12.2
8-10 11.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.6
7-11 10.4% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.2
6-12 7.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-13 5.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-14 3.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 2.4 1.8 92.7 0.0%