Central Arkansas
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#295
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#158
Pace77.6#38
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#324
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 6.1% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 16.8% 26.4% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 52.4% 59.5% 47.6%
Conference Champion 5.1% 7.0% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 3.1% 6.3%
First Four1.6% 1.9% 1.4%
First Round3.9% 5.2% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Home) - 40.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 31 - 41 - 11
Quad 410 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 15   @ Baylor L 61-105 2%     0 - 1 -26.4 -10.6 -10.8
  Nov 10, 2019 72   @ Georgetown L 78-89 6%     0 - 2 -1.0 -2.3 +2.9
  Nov 12, 2019 2   @ Duke L 54-105 1%     0 - 3 -27.4 -13.1 -7.6
  Nov 17, 2019 200   Arkansas Little Rock L 78-80 41%    
  Nov 22, 2019 197   @ California Baptist L 78-87 21%    
  Dec 05, 2019 67   @ Wichita St. L 65-84 5%    
  Dec 07, 2019 81   @ Utah L 73-90 6%    
  Dec 14, 2019 113   @ Pepperdine L 76-90 11%    
  Dec 18, 2019 347   Incarnate Word W 82-72 82%    
  Dec 21, 2019 303   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-70 62%    
  Dec 28, 2019 17   @ Marquette L 66-91 1%    
  Jan 02, 2020 293   @ Houston Baptist L 88-91 39%    
  Jan 04, 2020 307   McNeese St. W 79-75 65%    
  Jan 08, 2020 262   @ New Orleans L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 11, 2020 182   Sam Houston St. L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 15, 2020 259   Stephen F. Austin W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 18, 2020 248   @ Nicholls St. L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 25, 2020 283   Abilene Christian W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 29, 2020 318   SE Louisiana W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 01, 2020 343   @ Northwestern St. W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 05, 2020 282   @ Lamar L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 08, 2020 307   @ McNeese St. L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 12, 2020 262   New Orleans W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 15, 2020 182   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 19, 2020 259   @ Stephen F. Austin L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 22, 2020 248   Nicholls St. L 78-79 50%    
  Feb 29, 2020 283   @ Abilene Christian L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 04, 2020 318   @ SE Louisiana L 76-77 49%    
  Mar 07, 2020 343   Northwestern St. W 81-72 76%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.1 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 3.3 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 2.5 0.4 8.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.2 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.2 1.2 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.4 1.6 0.1 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.7 2.1 0.1 9.6 9th
10th 0.4 2.3 3.7 2.2 0.3 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.1 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.9 1.0 0.3 5.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 3.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.6 4.9 6.6 8.6 11.1 11.7 11.5 10.7 9.2 7.9 5.4 3.6 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 88.9% 1.1    1.0 0.2 0.0
16-4 57.3% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 32.0% 1.1    0.4 0.6 0.2
14-6 14.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 54.9% 54.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.5% 45.7% 45.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.3% 37.7% 37.7% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.8
16-4 2.2% 25.4% 25.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.7
15-5 3.6% 20.5% 20.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.9
14-6 5.4% 11.7% 11.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 4.8
13-7 7.9% 12.8% 12.8% 15.9 0.1 0.9 6.9
12-8 9.2% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.4 8.8
11-9 10.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.4
10-10 11.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.4
9-11 11.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.6
8-12 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
7-13 8.6% 8.6
6-14 6.6% 6.6
5-15 4.9% 4.9
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 95.4 0.0%