Central Arkansas
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#296
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#309
Pace79.7#13
Improvement+3.4#51

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#263
First Shot-3.1#271
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#212
Layup/Dunks-0.4#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#230
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement+0.6#148

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#298
First Shot-4.1#304
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#191
Layups/Dunks-1.4#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#333
Freethrows-0.4#223
Improvement+2.8#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 30 - 70 - 15
Quad 49 - 69 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 5   @ Baylor L 61-105 1%     0 - 1 -23.7 -7.8 -10.9
  Nov 10, 2019 66   @ Georgetown L 78-89 5%     0 - 2 +0.0 -2.4 +4.0
  Nov 12, 2019 3   @ Duke L 54-105 1%     0 - 3 -30.3 -16.0 -7.6
  Nov 17, 2019 134   Arkansas Little Rock L 56-76 25%     0 - 4 -20.7 -19.1 -1.5
  Nov 22, 2019 201   @ California Baptist L 98-104 OT 20%     0 - 5 -5.0 +2.9 -6.7
  Nov 23, 2019 226   Prairie View L 72-78 OT 35%     0 - 6 -9.8 -14.5 +5.9
  Dec 05, 2019 39   @ Wichita St. L 69-95 3%     0 - 7 -12.4 -8.2 +1.1
  Dec 07, 2019 105   @ Utah L 67-98 8%     0 - 8 -23.4 -11.5 -8.0
  Dec 14, 2019 135   @ Pepperdine L 79-92 12%     0 - 9 -7.8 -2.0 -4.4
  Dec 18, 2019 345   Incarnate Word W 88-82 OT 84%     1 - 9 1 - 0 -12.4 -8.5 -4.9
  Dec 21, 2019 312   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-67 65%     2 - 9 2 - 0 -7.7 -7.3 -0.5
  Dec 28, 2019 29   @ Marquette L 54-106 3%     2 - 10 -36.5 -18.4 -13.2
  Jan 02, 2020 342   @ Houston Baptist L 107-111 OT 64%     2 - 11 2 - 1 -15.4 -6.9 -7.5
  Jan 04, 2020 289   McNeese St. W 79-69 60%     3 - 11 3 - 1 -0.4 -6.3 +5.4
  Jan 08, 2020 327   @ New Orleans L 78-86 51%     3 - 12 3 - 2 -16.1 -7.3 -8.2
  Jan 11, 2020 224   Sam Houston St. W 89-82 46%     4 - 12 4 - 2 +0.3 +5.5 -5.8
  Jan 15, 2020 113   Stephen F. Austin L 76-77 20%     4 - 13 4 - 3 +0.0 +5.4 -5.4
  Jan 18, 2020 209   @ Nicholls St. L 72-79 22%     4 - 14 4 - 4 -6.5 +0.6 -7.2
  Jan 25, 2020 192   Abilene Christian L 69-70 OT 38%     4 - 15 4 - 5 -5.6 -9.8 +4.3
  Jan 29, 2020 341   SE Louisiana W 88-68 78%     5 - 15 5 - 5 +4.0 +0.0 +2.1
  Feb 01, 2020 286   @ Northwestern St. W 79-71 36%     6 - 15 6 - 5 +4.1 +1.3 +2.5
  Feb 05, 2020 248   @ Lamar L 67-74 30%     6 - 16 6 - 6 -9.2 -6.9 -2.1
  Feb 08, 2020 289   @ McNeese St. W 82-76 OT 37%     7 - 16 7 - 6 +1.7 -5.4 +6.5
  Feb 12, 2020 327   New Orleans W 73-68 73%     8 - 16 8 - 6 -9.1 -8.6 -0.4
  Feb 15, 2020 224   @ Sam Houston St. L 67-82 25%     8 - 17 8 - 7 -15.7 -14.7 +1.0
  Feb 19, 2020 113   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-83 9%     8 - 18 8 - 8 -8.0 -9.4 +3.5
  Feb 22, 2020 209   Nicholls St. W 84-65 42%     9 - 18 9 - 8 +13.4 +2.1 +9.6
  Feb 29, 2020 192   @ Abilene Christian L 70-75 19%     9 - 19 9 - 9 -3.6 -4.0 +0.7
  Mar 04, 2020 341   @ SE Louisiana L 65-69 59%     9 - 20 9 - 10 -14.0 -15.6 +1.9
  Mar 07, 2020 286   Northwestern St. L 85-100 59%     9 - 21 9 - 11 -25.0 +1.6 -25.7
Projected Record 9 - 21 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%