Georgetown
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#50
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#52
Pace77.3#27
Improvement-0.8#214

Offense
Total Offense+7.5#20
First Shot+5.2#45
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#40
Layup/Dunks-1.3#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#251
Freethrows+1.9#48
Improvement-0.8#226

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#99
First Shot+0.9#134
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#46
Layups/Dunks+3.3#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#313
Freethrows+1.0#117
Improvement-0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 5.2% 8.3% 2.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.5% 58.1% 31.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.2% 55.8% 29.3%
Average Seed 8.8 8.5 9.3
.500 or above 83.8% 92.8% 75.2%
.500 or above in Conference 24.3% 36.4% 12.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 6.8% 17.7%
First Four7.7% 8.1% 7.4%
First Round40.9% 54.1% 28.2%
Second Round19.6% 26.7% 12.7%
Sweet Sixteen6.6% 9.0% 4.2%
Elite Eight2.3% 3.2% 1.4%
Final Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Home) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 45 - 11
Quad 25 - 311 - 14
Quad 32 - 113 - 15
Quad 45 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 270   Mount St. Mary's W 81-68 95%     1 - 0 +4.0 +3.0 +0.8
  Nov 10, 2019 306   Central Arkansas W 89-78 97%     2 - 0 -0.5 -3.9 +1.8
  Nov 14, 2019 24   Penn St. L 66-81 50%     2 - 1 -5.0 -9.6 +6.4
  Nov 17, 2019 108   Georgia St. W 91-83 79%     3 - 1 +9.5 +9.0 -0.4
  Nov 21, 2019 63   Texas W 82-66 57%     4 - 1 +24.1 +17.8 +6.9
  Nov 22, 2019 2   Duke L 73-81 16%     4 - 2 +12.5 +0.5 +13.0
  Nov 30, 2019 83   UNC Greensboro L 61-65 73%     4 - 3 -0.3 -7.2 +6.9
  Dec 04, 2019 64   @ Oklahoma St. W 81-74 47%     5 - 3 +17.8 +11.7 +5.8
  Dec 07, 2019 68   @ SMU W 91-74 47%     6 - 3 +27.7 +21.0 +7.0
  Dec 14, 2019 49   Syracuse W 89-79 61%     7 - 3 +17.2 +14.4 +2.4
  Dec 17, 2019 293   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 81-55 96%     8 - 3 +15.7 +1.0 +13.8
  Dec 21, 2019 286   Samford W 99-71 96%     9 - 3 +18.2 +6.7 +8.1
  Dec 28, 2019 220   American W 80-60 93%     10 - 3 +13.4 +0.5 +12.3
  Dec 31, 2019 62   @ Providence L 60-76 46%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -4.9 -5.0 -0.2
  Jan 03, 2020 10   @ Seton Hall L 62-78 21%     10 - 5 0 - 2 +2.4 -5.3 +8.9
  Jan 08, 2020 69   St. John's W 87-66 69%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +25.7 +11.2 +12.8
  Jan 11, 2020 16   @ Villanova L 66-80 25%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +2.9 +5.3 -3.4
  Jan 15, 2020 30   Creighton W 83-80 52%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +12.5 +8.0 +4.4
  Jan 18, 2020 26   Marquette L 80-84 50%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +6.0 +15.5 -9.8
  Jan 22, 2020 51   @ Xavier L 57-66 39%     12 - 8 2 - 5 +3.8 -5.9 +9.5
  Jan 28, 2020 21   Butler L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 02, 2020 69   @ St. John's L 79-80 47%    
  Feb 05, 2020 10   Seton Hall L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 08, 2020 77   DePaul W 81-75 71%    
  Feb 15, 2020 21   @ Butler L 69-75 27%    
  Feb 19, 2020 62   Providence W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 22, 2020 77   @ DePaul W 79-78 51%    
  Feb 26, 2020 26   @ Marquette L 78-84 28%    
  Mar 01, 2020 51   Xavier W 76-73 61%    
  Mar 04, 2020 30   @ Creighton L 77-82 31%    
  Mar 07, 2020 16   Villanova L 74-75 46%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 3.3 0.6 7.1 4th
5th 0.3 3.6 6.6 1.7 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.3 4.7 9.9 3.7 0.2 18.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.7 10.5 4.9 0.4 20.9 7th
8th 0.5 3.6 9.3 5.2 0.4 0.0 19.0 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 5.6 3.4 0.3 11.5 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 2.4 1.5 0.3 5.7 10th
Total 0.2 1.5 5.0 11.1 17.9 21.0 19.1 14.0 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 40.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 7.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 100.0% 11.9% 88.1% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 2.5% 100.0% 15.0% 85.0% 5.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
10-8 7.1% 99.6% 8.4% 91.2% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.5%
9-9 14.0% 94.5% 6.4% 88.1% 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.8 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.8 94.1%
8-10 19.1% 71.6% 6.1% 65.5% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.6 4.4 4.2 0.3 5.4 69.8%
7-11 21.0% 29.0% 2.2% 26.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.2 0.8 14.9 27.3%
6-12 17.9% 6.2% 2.0% 4.2% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 16.8 4.3%
5-13 11.1% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.9 0.4%
4-14 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 5.0
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 44.5% 4.1% 40.4% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.8 5.8 7.4 8.0 8.0 8.6 1.5 55.5 42.2%