Mercer
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#234
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#225
Pace78.2#31
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#212
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.5% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 15.1
.500 or above 25.8% 31.8% 12.4%
.500 or above in Conference 29.4% 33.5% 20.4%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.0% 8.8% 15.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.2% 1.5% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 68.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 63 - 13
Quad 49 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 87   @ St. John's L 79-109 12%     0 - 1 -21.0 -2.0 -14.3
  Nov 11, 2019 332   Kennesaw St. W 74-62 84%     1 - 1 -2.4 -14.2 +10.3
  Nov 15, 2019 279   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-72 69%    
  Nov 19, 2019 112   @ Georgia Southern L 78-88 18%    
  Nov 23, 2019 206   @ Illinois-Chicago L 69-74 34%    
  Nov 26, 2019 160   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-73 27%    
  Dec 01, 2019 305   Canisius W 78-73 67%    
  Dec 07, 2019 159   Georgia St. L 79-80 47%    
  Dec 16, 2019 267   @ UNC Wilmington L 81-82 44%    
  Dec 20, 2019 55   Furman L 70-80 18%    
  Dec 22, 2019 171   Florida Atlantic L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 01, 2020 90   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-81 13%    
  Jan 04, 2020 245   Chattanooga W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 11, 2020 182   @ Western Carolina L 78-84 31%    
  Jan 15, 2020 318   VMI W 84-75 79%    
  Jan 18, 2020 183   @ Samford L 77-83 32%    
  Jan 22, 2020 182   Western Carolina W 82-81 51%    
  Jan 25, 2020 318   @ VMI W 81-78 62%    
  Jan 29, 2020 70   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-83 11%    
  Feb 01, 2020 306   The Citadel W 92-84 75%    
  Feb 05, 2020 55   @ Furman L 67-83 9%    
  Feb 08, 2020 70   East Tennessee St. L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 12, 2020 110   @ Wofford L 73-83 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 90   UNC Greensboro L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 19, 2020 183   Samford W 80-79 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 245   @ Chattanooga L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 26, 2020 306   @ The Citadel W 89-87 57%    
  Feb 29, 2020 110   Wofford L 76-80 35%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.6 0.9 0.1 8.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.1 4.9 3.7 0.8 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.1 6.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 17.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.7 6.8 6.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 18.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.5 6.8 4.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 17.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 2.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.3 10th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.1 5.7 8.9 12.1 13.5 13.4 12.3 10.0 8.1 5.2 3.3 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 82.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 63.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 33.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 34.8% 34.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 20.7% 20.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.8% 12.7% 12.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.6% 7.9% 7.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
12-6 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
11-7 5.2% 4.4% 4.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.0
10-8 8.1% 2.8% 2.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7.9
9-9 10.0% 1.8% 1.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.8
8-10 12.3% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.2
7-11 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.4
6-12 13.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-13 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-14 8.9% 8.9
3-15 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.7
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 98.8 0.0%