Cleveland St.
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.7#342
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#290
Pace73.2#94
Improvement-1.1#297

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#331
First Shot-4.2#290
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#297
Layup/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#307
Freethrows+1.4#99
Improvement-0.3#220

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#337
First Shot-6.7#335
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#184
Layups/Dunks+4.7#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#340
Freethrows-1.6#256
Improvement-0.8#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.0% 3.5% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 71.2% 63.1% 73.8%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Neutral) - 24.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 31 - 101 - 17
Quad 43 - 94 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 73   @ Minnesota L 50-85 2%     0 - 1 -24.9 -16.8 -7.9
  Nov 12, 2019 124   @ Missouri St. L 53-73 5%     0 - 2 -14.7 -14.7 -0.1
  Nov 15, 2019 80   @ South Carolina L 63-90 3%     0 - 3 -17.7 -12.5 -1.3
  Nov 19, 2019 119   Florida International L 61-107 11%     0 - 4 -46.4 -21.6 -19.6
  Nov 22, 2019 281   UNC Wilmington L 74-81 25%    
  Nov 23, 2019 264   Eastern Kentucky L 78-86 23%    
  Nov 30, 2019 283   Robert Morris L 66-70 35%    
  Dec 04, 2019 86   Toledo L 65-82 6%    
  Dec 07, 2019 117   @ Kent St. L 63-82 4%    
  Dec 15, 2019 103   @ Bowling Green L 66-87 3%    
  Dec 18, 2019 75   DePaul L 66-84 6%    
  Dec 21, 2019 72   @ East Tennessee St. L 60-84 2%    
  Dec 28, 2019 204   @ Illinois-Chicago L 63-77 10%    
  Dec 30, 2019 251   @ IUPUI L 68-80 15%    
  Jan 04, 2020 248   Youngstown St. L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 09, 2020 284   Detroit Mercy L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 179   Oakland L 65-75 20%    
  Jan 16, 2020 109   @ Wright St. L 66-86 4%    
  Jan 18, 2020 142   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-81 5%    
  Jan 23, 2020 182   Green Bay L 76-86 21%    
  Jan 25, 2020 247   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 30, 2020 251   IUPUI L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 01, 2020 204   Illinois-Chicago L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 08, 2020 248   @ Youngstown St. L 68-80 15%    
  Feb 13, 2020 179   @ Oakland L 62-78 8%    
  Feb 15, 2020 284   @ Detroit Mercy L 72-82 21%    
  Feb 20, 2020 142   Northern Kentucky L 66-78 15%    
  Feb 22, 2020 109   Wright St. L 69-83 11%    
  Feb 27, 2020 247   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65-77 16%    
  Feb 29, 2020 182   @ Green Bay L 73-89 9%    
Projected Record 4 - 26 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 3.2 0.9 0.1 9.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 5.5 7.2 5.3 1.4 0.1 21.2 9th
10th 7.9 14.9 17.1 12.6 5.7 1.1 0.1 59.4 10th
Total 7.9 15.0 18.9 18.3 14.4 10.5 6.5 4.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 66.7% 0.0    0.0
13-5 10.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 30.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 10.0% 10.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 32.6% 32.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.2
8-10 2.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
7-11 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
6-12 6.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-13 10.5% 10.5
4-14 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
3-15 18.3% 18.3
2-16 18.9% 18.9
1-17 15.0% 15.0
0-18 7.9% 7.9
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.0%