Cleveland St.
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#312
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#246
Pace69.7#168
Improvement+2.8#61

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#324
First Shot-7.3#339
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#85
Layup/Dunks+4.2#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.1#352
Freethrows+2.0#49
Improvement+4.7#9

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#266
First Shot-2.4#239
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#242
Layups/Dunks+1.5#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#186
Freethrows-3.1#324
Improvement-1.8#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 10.3% 19.3% 4.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 18.6% 9.4% 24.5%
First Four0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 39.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 31 - 91 - 16
Quad 49 - 69 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 35   @ Minnesota L 50-85 2%     0 - 1 -20.5 -17.4 -2.9
  Nov 12, 2019 147   @ Missouri St. L 53-73 11%     0 - 2 -15.9 -16.4 +0.3
  Nov 15, 2019 91   @ South Carolina L 63-90 6%     0 - 3 -18.3 -13.5 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2019 154   Florida International L 61-107 25%     0 - 4 -48.1 -21.3 -21.6
  Nov 22, 2019 313   UNC Wilmington W 47-46 50%     1 - 4 -8.3 -26.1 +17.9
  Nov 23, 2019 311   Eastern Kentucky W 65-51 50%     2 - 4 +4.7 -14.1 +18.4
  Nov 30, 2019 223   Robert Morris W 70-59 39%     3 - 4 +4.5 -5.0 +9.6
  Dec 04, 2019 119   Toledo L 65-80 18%     3 - 5 -14.7 -10.1 -4.3
  Dec 07, 2019 108   @ Kent St. L 59-81 7%     3 - 6 -15.1 -11.0 -4.4
  Dec 15, 2019 155   @ Bowling Green L 58-72 12%     3 - 7 -10.5 -16.1 +5.7
  Dec 18, 2019 61   DePaul L 65-73 9%     3 - 8 -2.4 -12.8 +11.4
  Dec 21, 2019 66   @ East Tennessee St. L 55-80 4%     3 - 9 -14.4 -11.3 -3.5
  Dec 28, 2019 229   @ Illinois-Chicago L 66-71 22%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -6.1 -0.4 -6.0
  Dec 30, 2019 321   @ IUPUI W 82-80 40%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -4.8 +4.2 -9.0
  Jan 04, 2020 232   Youngstown St. W 82-74 40%     5 - 10 2 - 1 +1.2 +12.9 -10.9
  Jan 09, 2020 267   Detroit Mercy W 64-59 48%     6 - 10 3 - 1 -3.8 -11.2 +7.7
  Jan 11, 2020 207   Oakland L 55-68 37%     6 - 11 3 - 2 -18.8 -13.8 -6.4
  Jan 16, 2020 117   @ Wright St. L 62-75 8%     6 - 12 3 - 3 -6.6 -7.3 +0.5
  Jan 18, 2020 115   @ Northern Kentucky L 49-75 8%     6 - 13 3 - 4 -19.4 -14.2 -8.5
  Jan 23, 2020 214   Green Bay L 77-80 39%    
  Jan 25, 2020 245   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 30, 2020 321   IUPUI W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 01, 2020 229   Illinois-Chicago L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 08, 2020 232   @ Youngstown St. L 65-73 22%    
  Feb 13, 2020 207   @ Oakland L 61-70 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 267   @ Detroit Mercy L 69-75 28%    
  Feb 20, 2020 115   Northern Kentucky L 61-71 17%    
  Feb 22, 2020 117   Wright St. L 67-77 18%    
  Feb 27, 2020 245   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65-72 24%    
  Feb 29, 2020 214   @ Green Bay L 74-83 21%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 6.3 0.9 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.6 9.1 2.8 0.1 14.7 7th
8th 0.2 3.2 11.5 6.8 0.4 21.9 8th
9th 0.6 5.7 14.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 30.3 9th
10th 2.2 4.3 2.4 0.2 9.1 10th
Total 2.7 10.2 19.6 23.4 20.3 13.5 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 12.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 2.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 2.7
9-9 6.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.6
8-10 13.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 13.4
7-11 20.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 20.1
6-12 23.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 23.3
5-13 19.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.6
4-14 10.2% 10.2
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%