College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#141
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#143
Pace64.2#311
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#115
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.6% 21.9% 16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 79.2% 87.0% 67.3%
.500 or above in Conference 82.8% 86.9% 76.5%
Conference Champion 26.2% 30.0% 20.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.8% 2.5%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round19.4% 21.8% 15.7%
Second Round2.3% 2.9% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 60.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 57 - 9
Quad 411 - 217 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 342   South Carolina Upstate W 74-55 94%     1 - 0 +2.7 -4.2 +7.5
  Nov 09, 2019 159   Georgia St. W 84-80 67%     2 - 0 +1.0 +2.1 -1.4
  Nov 13, 2019 46   Oklahoma St. L 54-73 29%     2 - 1 -11.7 -7.9 -6.2
  Nov 19, 2019 239   @ Marshall W 79-76 60%    
  Nov 23, 2019 122   @ Central Florida L 64-68 35%    
  Nov 28, 2019 100   Wake Forest L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 14, 2019 115   @ Richmond L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 18, 2019 42   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-72 28%    
  Dec 21, 2019 327   South Carolina St. W 78-63 91%    
  Dec 28, 2019 236   @ Drexel W 71-69 59%    
  Dec 30, 2019 191   @ Delaware W 66-65 50%    
  Jan 02, 2020 156   Towson W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 04, 2020 235   James Madison W 78-70 77%    
  Jan 09, 2020 315   @ Elon W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 11, 2020 174   @ William & Mary L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 16, 2020 131   Northeastern W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 18, 2020 185   Hofstra W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 25, 2020 267   UNC Wilmington W 79-69 80%    
  Jan 30, 2020 235   @ James Madison W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 01, 2020 156   @ Towson L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 06, 2020 174   William & Mary W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 08, 2020 315   Elon W 77-63 89%    
  Feb 13, 2020 185   @ Hofstra L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 15, 2020 131   @ Northeastern L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 22, 2020 267   @ UNC Wilmington W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 27, 2020 191   Delaware W 69-63 70%    
  Feb 29, 2020 236   Drexel W 74-66 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 4.1 6.9 6.4 4.6 2.0 0.6 26.2 1st
2nd 0.2 2.3 5.9 6.6 3.3 0.9 0.1 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 5.9 4.6 1.6 0.2 14.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.5 3.0 4.9 6.8 9.0 10.8 12.9 12.8 12.2 10.4 7.3 4.7 2.0 0.6 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 100.0% 2.0    2.0 0.0
16-2 98.3% 4.6    4.3 0.3
15-3 87.1% 6.4    5.1 1.2 0.1
14-4 66.6% 6.9    4.2 2.4 0.4
13-5 33.2% 4.1    1.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
12-6 11.7% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 26.2% 26.2 18.0 6.4 1.5 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 68.0% 61.5% 6.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 17.0%
17-1 2.0% 56.4% 53.9% 2.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 5.4%
16-2 4.7% 44.7% 44.6% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.6 0.2%
15-3 7.3% 38.6% 38.5% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.1 4.5 0.1%
14-4 10.4% 31.1% 31.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.2 0.1%
13-5 12.2% 24.8% 24.8% 13.9 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.1 9.2
12-6 12.8% 20.8% 20.8% 14.3 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.1 10.2
11-7 12.9% 14.1% 14.1% 14.5 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.2 11.1
10-8 10.8% 10.6% 10.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 9.7
9-9 9.0% 7.1% 7.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 8.4
8-10 6.8% 4.8% 4.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.5
7-11 4.9% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.7
6-12 3.0% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.0
5-13 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 19.6% 19.5% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.4 5.7 3.9 1.4 80.4 0.1%