Towson
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#161
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#162
Pace63.6#316
Improvement+0.5#158

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#168
First Shot-0.1#181
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#130
Layup/Dunks-4.7#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#210
Freethrows+1.9#49
Improvement+0.4#146

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#172
First Shot+0.5#142
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#246
Layups/Dunks+1.2#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#192
Freethrows-0.5#211
Improvement+0.0#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.2% 15.3% 12.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 86.9% 93.1% 75.1%
.500 or above in Conference 96.4% 96.8% 95.6%
Conference Champion 19.2% 20.1% 17.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round14.1% 15.2% 11.9%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 35 - 75 - 12
Quad 413 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 191   George Washington W 72-58 68%     1 - 0 +9.3 +1.3 +8.8
  Nov 11, 2019 113   Kent St. L 80-84 OT 48%     1 - 1 -3.2 -2.4 -0.3
  Nov 14, 2019 22   @ Florida L 60-66 8%     1 - 2 +10.1 +0.4 +9.1
  Nov 21, 2019 51   Xavier L 51-73 18%     1 - 3 -12.1 -11.5 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2019 135   Buffalo L 73-76 43%     1 - 4 -1.1 -5.8 +4.9
  Nov 24, 2019 249   Saint Joseph's W 76-64 69%     2 - 4 +7.0 -4.8 +11.2
  Dec 01, 2019 285   @ Cornell W 66-62 65%    
  Dec 04, 2019 322   @ Morgan St. W 76-59 75%     3 - 4 +10.2 +7.4 +4.4
  Dec 07, 2019 86   @ Vermont L 38-55 19%     3 - 5 -7.6 -22.9 +12.8
  Dec 10, 2019 293   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-71 84%     4 - 5 -4.3 +9.6 -13.2
  Dec 20, 2019 85   Liberty L 54-66 27%     4 - 6 -5.5 -7.6 +0.7
  Dec 21, 2019 183   Tulane W 86-82 OT 54%     5 - 6 +3.1 +8.4 -5.5
  Dec 28, 2019 130   Northeastern L 45-61 53%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -16.7 -28.8 +11.5
  Dec 30, 2019 148   Hofstra L 67-75 58%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -9.8 -8.7 -1.0
  Jan 02, 2020 133   @ College of Charleston L 69-81 33%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -7.2 +1.9 -10.0
  Jan 04, 2020 302   @ UNC Wilmington W 67-60 71%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +1.6 -5.3 +7.2
  Jan 09, 2020 223   Drexel W 89-73 74%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +9.4 +15.5 -5.7
  Jan 11, 2020 192   Delaware W 84-68 69%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +11.1 +12.6 -0.4
  Jan 18, 2020 275   James Madison W 69-61 82%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -1.4 -10.2 +8.7
  Jan 23, 2020 309   @ Elon W 72-61 72%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +5.2 +4.2 +2.4
  Jan 25, 2020 174   @ William & Mary W 70-58 42%     11 - 9 6 - 3 +14.3 +4.4 +11.3
  Jan 30, 2020 302   UNC Wilmington W 71-60 86%    
  Feb 01, 2020 133   College of Charleston W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 06, 2020 192   @ Delaware L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 08, 2020 223   @ Drexel W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 15, 2020 275   @ James Madison W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 20, 2020 174   William & Mary W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 22, 2020 309   Elon W 74-62 87%    
  Feb 27, 2020 148   @ Hofstra L 68-72 36%    
  Mar 01, 2020 130   @ Northeastern L 65-70 31%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 3.8 9.4 5.2 0.7 19.2 1st
2nd 0.0 2.1 11.3 4.8 0.3 18.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 10.1 6.7 0.3 17.7 3rd
4th 0.3 6.1 9.5 0.8 16.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.7 9.3 2.2 14.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 5.2 3.0 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.7 0.2 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.4 3.2 9.9 19.2 24.1 22.5 14.5 5.4 0.7 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
14-4 95.0% 5.2    3.8 1.3 0.0
13-5 65.0% 9.4    3.3 4.5 1.5 0.2
12-6 16.7% 3.8    0.2 0.9 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.2% 19.2 8.0 6.7 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.7% 28.2% 28.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
14-4 5.4% 24.4% 24.4% 13.6 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 4.1
13-5 14.5% 21.8% 21.8% 13.9 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 11.3
12-6 22.5% 17.1% 17.1% 14.3 0.4 1.9 1.6 0.0 18.7
11-7 24.1% 11.8% 11.8% 14.7 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.3 21.3
10-8 19.2% 10.2% 10.2% 15.0 0.3 1.3 0.3 17.3
9-9 9.9% 6.9% 6.9% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 9.2
8-10 3.2% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.0
7-11 0.4% 0.4
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 14.4 0.1 1.8 5.6 5.6 1.0 85.9 0.0%