Providence
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#36
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#150
Pace70.3#167
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#53
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#38
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.3% 3.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 11.4% 11.4% 2.1%
Top 6 Seed 22.4% 22.5% 4.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 54.7% 54.9% 21.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.0% 50.2% 18.3%
Average Seed 7.0 7.0 8.4
.500 or above 81.9% 82.1% 45.7%
.500 or above in Conference 62.6% 62.8% 32.8%
Conference Champion 10.9% 10.9% 8.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 5.6% 19.3%
First Four3.5% 3.5% 2.1%
First Round53.1% 53.3% 19.6%
Second Round32.8% 33.0% 10.7%
Sweet Sixteen14.7% 14.8% 0.0%
Elite Eight6.3% 6.4% 0.0%
Final Four2.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Championship Game1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 8
Quad 25 - 310 - 11
Quad 33 - 113 - 12
Quad 45 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 285   Sacred Heart W 106-60 97%     1 - 0 +36.1 +19.4 +13.7
  Nov 09, 2019 191   NJIT W 76-47 93%     2 - 0 +24.3 -0.3 +23.8
  Nov 13, 2019 111   @ Northwestern L 63-72 70%     2 - 1 -2.7 -4.2 +1.6
  Nov 16, 2019 330   St. Peter's W 75-49 99%    
  Nov 19, 2019 292   Merrimack W 82-60 98%    
  Nov 23, 2019 109   Penn W 77-66 84%    
  Nov 28, 2019 260   Long Beach St. W 83-66 93%    
  Dec 06, 2019 92   @ Rhode Island W 71-68 62%    
  Dec 14, 2019 208   Stony Brook W 78-61 94%    
  Dec 17, 2019 22   Florida L 64-66 45%    
  Dec 21, 2019 21   Texas W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 31, 2019 72   Georgetown W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 04, 2020 80   @ DePaul W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 07, 2020 17   @ Marquette L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 10, 2020 39   Butler W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 15, 2020 87   St. John's W 81-72 78%    
  Jan 18, 2020 43   @ Creighton L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 22, 2020 19   @ Seton Hall L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 25, 2020 13   Villanova L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 01, 2020 39   @ Butler L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 05, 2020 43   Creighton W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 08, 2020 26   @ Xavier L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 12, 2020 87   @ St. John's W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 19   Seton Hall W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 19, 2020 72   @ Georgetown W 78-76 55%    
  Feb 22, 2020 17   Marquette W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 13   @ Villanova L 66-72 30%    
  Mar 04, 2020 26   Xavier W 70-68 57%    
  Mar 07, 2020 80   DePaul W 78-70 75%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.9 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 10.9 1st
2nd 0.3 2.0 3.9 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.3 5.1 3.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 6.1 3.4 0.8 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 5.8 3.5 0.6 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.1 5.0 3.2 0.6 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.7 3.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.3 6.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.3 3.0 4.6 7.3 9.4 10.8 12.2 12.7 11.2 9.3 7.3 4.9 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 97.8% 1.3    1.2 0.1
15-3 83.0% 2.5    2.1 0.5 0.0
14-4 60.6% 2.9    1.6 1.1 0.2
13-5 33.8% 2.5    1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
12-6 10.2% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.5% 100.0% 48.2% 51.8% 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
16-2 1.3% 100.0% 41.1% 58.9% 2.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 3.1% 100.0% 33.7% 66.3% 3.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.9% 100.0% 27.8% 72.2% 4.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 7.3% 99.0% 19.8% 79.2% 5.3 0.2 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.8%
12-6 9.3% 97.3% 13.1% 84.2% 6.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 96.9%
11-7 11.2% 88.8% 10.8% 78.0% 7.9 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.9 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 87.4%
10-8 12.7% 75.1% 9.0% 66.1% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.6 0.1 3.2 72.6%
9-9 12.2% 49.8% 4.9% 44.8% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.3 6.2 47.2%
8-10 10.8% 21.0% 3.1% 17.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 8.5 18.5%
7-11 9.4% 5.9% 1.0% 4.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.8 4.9%
6-12 7.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2 0.4%
5-13 4.6% 1.2% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6
4-14 3.0% 3.0
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 54.7% 9.4% 45.3% 7.0 1.0 2.3 4.1 3.9 4.5 6.5 6.4 7.8 6.6 6.1 4.6 0.7 0.0 45.3 50.0%