Columbia
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#251
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#315
Pace70.6#147
Improvement-3.0#299

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#268
First Shot-1.8#235
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#284
Layup/Dunks-3.6#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#102
Freethrows-1.4#274
Improvement+0.7#133

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#221
First Shot-2.0#229
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#160
Layups/Dunks-2.5#273
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#182
Freethrows+2.5#46
Improvement-3.7#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.1% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 17.3% 22.3% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 31.5% 21.2% 53.7%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 68.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 47 - 59 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 193   @ Lafayette L 63-65 28%     0 - 1 -1.0 -10.7 +9.8
  Nov 10, 2019 110   @ Wake Forest L 63-65 14%     0 - 2 +4.9 -13.0 +18.1
  Nov 13, 2019 333   Binghamton W 75-63 81%     1 - 2 -2.2 -6.5 +4.4
  Nov 16, 2019 46   @ Virginia L 42-60 5%     1 - 3 -4.8 -11.4 +3.9
  Nov 20, 2019 78   @ St. John's L 63-82 9%     1 - 4 -9.2 -8.3 +0.8
  Nov 23, 2019 189   Rider L 63-87 36%     1 - 5 -25.3 -17.7 -5.3
  Nov 24, 2019 350   Central Connecticut St. W 82-52 88%     2 - 5 +12.0 +3.7 +9.3
  Nov 30, 2019 257   Lehigh W 68-64 63%     3 - 5 -4.4 -7.9 +3.7
  Dec 02, 2019 199   @ Delaware L 76-84 30%     3 - 6 -7.5 +1.0 -8.4
  Dec 06, 2019 233   @ Bryant L 65-67 36%     3 - 7 -3.2 -10.4 +7.2
  Dec 09, 2019 89   @ Duquesne L 54-90 11%     3 - 8 -27.3 -12.9 -14.8
  Dec 22, 2019 129   @ Colgate L 71-89 17%     3 - 9 -12.8 -3.4 -8.8
  Dec 28, 2019 337   Marist W 69-54 83%     4 - 9 -0.2 -0.9 +2.4
  Dec 30, 2019 225   Albany L 66-67 56%     4 - 10 -7.6 -6.9 -0.7
  Jan 02, 2020 340   @ Maine L 72-75 OT 68%     4 - 11 -12.8 -11.7 -0.8
  Jan 18, 2020 286   Cornell W 70-65 68%    
  Jan 25, 2020 286   @ Cornell L 67-68 46%    
  Jan 31, 2020 71   @ Yale L 58-73 8%    
  Feb 01, 2020 195   @ Brown L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 07, 2020 130   Penn L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 08, 2020 175   Princeton L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 14, 2020 209   @ Dartmouth L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 15, 2020 92   @ Harvard L 63-76 11%    
  Feb 21, 2020 195   Brown W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 22, 2020 71   Yale L 61-71 19%    
  Feb 28, 2020 92   Harvard L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 29, 2020 209   Dartmouth W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 06, 2020 175   @ Princeton L 66-73 25%    
  Mar 07, 2020 130   @ Penn L 67-77 18%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.8 3rd
4th 0.2 3.2 4.8 1.5 0.1 9.8 4th
5th 0.4 4.7 7.9 2.3 0.1 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 6.5 10.2 3.2 0.1 20.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 8.8 10.6 3.8 0.2 25.8 7th
8th 0.9 3.8 7.1 5.9 1.7 0.1 19.5 8th
Total 0.9 4.0 9.4 15.5 19.2 19.0 14.8 8.9 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-3 73.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-4 32.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0
12-2 0.0% 15.0% 15.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.3% 10.2% 10.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-4 0.8% 10.7% 10.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7
9-5 2.3% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.1
8-6 5.1% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.2 4.9
7-7 8.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 8.7
6-8 14.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.7
5-9 19.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.0
4-10 19.2% 19.2
3-11 15.5% 15.5
2-12 9.4% 9.4
1-13 4.0% 4.0
0-14 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%