Columbia
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#169
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#283
Pace69.3#193
Improvement+0.5#110

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#220
First Shot-1.2#208
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#188
Layup/Dunks-0.7#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#138
Freethrows-0.8#224
Improvement+0.7#73

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#135
First Shot+5.0#53
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#334
Layups/Dunks+1.1#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#23
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement-0.3#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 13.6% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 45.2% 65.4% 39.8%
.500 or above in Conference 59.0% 68.8% 56.4%
Conference Champion 11.7% 17.3% 10.2%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 6.9% 11.6%
First Four0.6% 0.3% 0.7%
First Round9.7% 13.6% 8.6%
Second Round0.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 21.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 314 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 219   @ Lafayette L 63-65 49%     0 - 1 -2.1 -12.9 +10.8
  Nov 10, 2019 106   @ Wake Forest L 63-65 25%     0 - 2 +4.7 -12.2 +17.1
  Nov 13, 2019 336   Binghamton W 75-63 91%     1 - 2 -3.3 -5.0 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2019 10   @ Virginia L 42-60 4%     1 - 3 +1.9 -10.5 +9.6
  Nov 20, 2019 89   @ St. John's L 69-78 21%    
  Nov 23, 2019 193   Rider W 77-76 55%    
  Nov 30, 2019 236   Lehigh W 77-70 73%    
  Dec 02, 2019 154   @ Delaware L 64-68 36%    
  Dec 06, 2019 245   @ Bryant W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 09, 2019 96   @ Duquesne L 65-73 21%    
  Dec 22, 2019 151   @ Colgate L 69-73 36%    
  Dec 28, 2019 332   Marist W 70-56 90%    
  Dec 30, 2019 195   Albany W 69-64 65%    
  Jan 02, 2020 306   @ Maine W 68-62 70%    
  Jan 18, 2020 271   Cornell W 73-65 78%    
  Jan 25, 2020 271   @ Cornell W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 31, 2020 121   @ Yale L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 01, 2020 227   @ Brown W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 07, 2020 132   Penn W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 08, 2020 200   Princeton W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 14, 2020 205   @ Dartmouth L 62-63 46%    
  Feb 15, 2020 100   @ Harvard L 65-73 23%    
  Feb 21, 2020 227   Brown W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 22, 2020 121   Yale W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 28, 2020 100   Harvard L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 29, 2020 205   Dartmouth W 65-60 66%    
  Mar 06, 2020 200   @ Princeton L 68-69 46%    
  Mar 07, 2020 132   @ Penn L 66-71 31%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.1 3.8 2.7 0.8 0.2 11.7 1st
2nd 0.2 2.4 6.1 5.0 1.5 0.1 15.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 7.6 5.0 0.9 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 7.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 7.4 3.8 0.4 14.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 6.0 3.1 0.2 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.7 2.1 0.2 9.4 7th
8th 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.4 0.9 0.1 6.1 8th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.8 8.3 11.0 14.0 14.0 14.3 12.6 9.0 5.3 2.9 0.8 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
12-2 95.6% 2.7    2.3 0.4
11-3 71.5% 3.8    2.3 1.3 0.2
10-4 34.5% 3.1    1.0 1.5 0.6 0.0
9-5 8.0% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 11.7% 11.7 6.7 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 41.9% 41.1% 0.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4%
13-1 0.8% 48.0% 47.5% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8%
12-2 2.9% 39.0% 39.0% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7
11-3 5.3% 27.6% 27.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.8
10-4 9.0% 25.4% 25.4% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 6.8
9-5 12.6% 17.4% 17.4% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.4 10.4
8-6 14.3% 12.5% 12.5% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 12.5
7-7 14.0% 4.2% 4.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 13.4
6-8 14.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
5-9 11.0% 11.0
4-10 8.3% 8.3
3-11 4.8% 4.8
2-12 2.1% 2.1
1-13 0.8% 0.8
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.8 3.3 1.7 90.1 0.0%