Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#193
Expected Predictive Rating+16.4#14
Pace60.3#349
Improvement+0.2#156

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#267
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#286
Layup/Dunks-1.9#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#285
Freethrows-1.4#248
Improvement+0.0#164

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#133
First Shot+1.0#138
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#171
Layups/Dunks+9.1#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#340
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement+0.2#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.4 13.0
.500 or above 30.7% 41.3% 18.2%
.500 or above in Conference 30.5% 37.3% 22.5%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.7% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 17.3% 29.0%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round2.7% 3.8% 1.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Neutral) - 54.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 36 - 87 - 15
Quad 45 - 212 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2019 151   @ North Texas W 56-51 31%     1 - 0 +8.5 -4.5 +13.7
  Nov 22, 2019 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 59-58 54%    
  Nov 24, 2019 327   N.C. A&T W 67-58 80%    
  Nov 30, 2019 98   @ UC Irvine L 57-66 19%    
  Dec 03, 2019 176   Valparaiso W 65-63 58%    
  Dec 07, 2019 284   @ Detroit Mercy W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 17, 2019 103   Northeastern L 64-67 40%    
  Dec 21, 2019 1   @ Michigan St. L 52-78 1%    
  Dec 28, 2019 149   @ UNLV L 59-64 31%    
  Jan 04, 2020 134   Akron L 61-62 47%    
  Jan 07, 2020 158   @ Ohio L 61-66 33%    
  Jan 11, 2020 160   @ Northern Illinois L 60-65 33%    
  Jan 14, 2020 101   Ball St. L 61-64 38%    
  Jan 18, 2020 158   Ohio W 64-63 54%    
  Jan 21, 2020 99   @ Bowling Green L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 25, 2020 161   @ Miami (OH) L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 87   Toledo L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 04, 2020 104   Buffalo L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 08, 2020 134   @ Akron L 58-65 28%    
  Feb 11, 2020 132   @ Central Michigan L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 15, 2020 241   Western Michigan W 69-63 68%    
  Feb 18, 2020 120   Kent St. L 63-65 45%    
  Feb 22, 2020 101   @ Ball St. L 58-67 21%    
  Feb 25, 2020 160   Northern Illinois W 63-62 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 132   Central Michigan L 73-74 47%    
  Mar 03, 2020 241   @ Western Michigan L 65-66 48%    
  Mar 06, 2020 87   @ Toledo L 59-70 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.4 2.3 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.1 0.7 0.1 6.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 3.8 1.4 0.1 7.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.2 2.2 0.2 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.4 3.3 0.4 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.7 4.0 0.8 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.7 4.9 1.2 0.1 12.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.8 3.9 1.3 0.1 13.5 11th
12th 0.6 2.2 4.0 4.5 2.9 0.9 0.1 15.2 12th
Total 0.6 2.2 4.6 7.4 9.6 10.8 12.3 11.4 10.6 9.2 7.6 5.4 3.7 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 86.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 63.1% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 28.0% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 67.4% 41.3% 26.1% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 44.4%
16-2 0.3% 52.5% 36.5% 16.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 25.2%
15-3 0.6% 39.4% 31.9% 7.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.9%
14-4 1.2% 24.2% 20.4% 3.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 4.7%
13-5 2.4% 13.9% 12.9% 1.0% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 1.1%
12-6 3.7% 11.4% 11.1% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.3 0.4%
11-7 5.4% 7.9% 7.8% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.9 0.1%
10-8 7.6% 4.4% 4.4% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.3
9-9 9.2% 2.6% 2.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.0
8-10 10.6% 1.4% 1.4% 14.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.4
7-11 11.4% 0.7% 0.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.3
6-12 12.3% 0.4% 0.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
5-13 10.8% 0.4% 0.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
4-14 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 9.6
3-15 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 7.4
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 2.8% 2.6% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 97.2 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%